educate Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 nope....not if you look at his entire forecast. he had merrimack valley(and yes a bunch of us live here) as well as a host of others at about 2". Hell, i have 4 right now w/mod snow and tomorrow nws thinks we may get as much as a foot up here when all is said and done. borderline irresponsible, i'd say. and no, if bos stays at an inch or 2 and he fails to an exponential degree in other areas, i would call that a big loss! Bouchard FTW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 10+ certainly looking like a good call here. The NAM is looking great so far too. (for us) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 Guess that American guidence is good for something after all We'll have to see where the chips fall overnight but this could be a huge win for the GFS. It hardly budged for 4 days. And was consistently saying C/NNE. I don't know how things will shake out for the pike region up to n MA...but I'm nervous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 She sounds lovely. The snow here is fairly dry. You'll have a good time at the B'east. The snow will be great in the hills. It's snowing moderately here with just over 3" so I imagine Chrlemont must be close to 5 or 6" I'm planning for a few hours of turns there in the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 As of ~8:45 P.M., snow has started up here in Waterbury. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow Bow Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 Having some melted and refrozen plate like snowflakes mix in here and there, still some nice aggregates too though so it seems I might be ok with regards to keeping decent snow growth. Little under 3.25" Temp is 27 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 Couple inches at home. Sounds like it may be transitioning shortly to sleet. Road from foxboro to taunton was not not bad. Slushy at times on backroads but mostly just wet. 31-32f. Very picturesque. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 As of ~8:45 P.M., snow has started up here in Waterbury. Very nice to hear! Good luck...I think you're good for a solid 6"! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 This is a nice run for boston metro west and north, really hope it works out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 WOTY on accuweather board is quite a feat. Kevin would be like a pro met over there. beer on the keyboard, thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 If the NAM is right through 12 hrs I'm going to have one HELL of a day tomorrow at Berkshire East...good lawd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 Having some melted and refrozen plate like snowflakes mix in here and there, still some nice aggregates too though so it seems I might be ok with regards to keeping decent snow growth. Little under 3.25" Temp is 27 There is some drier air working in high aloft so nucleation in the moist layer is there, but it isn't what I'd call great. With the moist low levels I'd assume there's quite a bit of riming of the flakes which give them that "refrozen" look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 Don't wake Kevin but the NAM is snowless for tolland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 The guy doing the measuring studied meteorology in the military, maybe he doesn't know how to measure but they had 1.1" as of about 6pm. That's a good 10+ north of the NWS taunton office. Boston has .9 From what u gathered from people in the area they had 2" with spots near 2.5". But I don't line in Easton so maybe they were in a screw zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 A little over 2" at home in Woburn. Steady temp over the last hour at 32.4F Driving home, the roads were just wet. Took 93 and once I got into Quincy (by the gas tank), temp shot up to 36 and it rained until the Tip O'Neil. Once you got to Medford, it was all snow. By Stoneham/Woburn...it was starting to stick to the highway pavement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 Look at the IR satellite loop (PA-NJ) Little surface system going on just off the coast. What that translates to? Thats why I read. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 This will be a weenie run for C/S NH and SW ME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 you gonna meet us? Not likely Chris, wagons north for me. Need steep bumps. WOTY on accuweather board is quite a feat. Kevin would be like a pro met over there. LOL. The snow will be great in the hills. It's snowing moderately here with just over 3" so I imagine Chrlemont must be close to 5 or 6" I'm planning for a few hours of turns there in the morning. Nice, it should be awesome with few people there. About 6" here so that seems like a good call for Charlemont. Skied with Ginxxx and Pro lurker there Monday, it was fun then, even better now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 Don't wake Kevin but the NAM is snowless for tolland. AEBKT As everyone but kevin thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 Honestly if the consensus for a storm is that it will be 6-12" I'll expect the 6" and hope for the foot. In this case the consensus this morning seemed to be a 4-8"/ 5-10" snowfall total for both rounds. Working outside affords me the opportunity to watch the weather unfold minute by minute. When the snow moved in at 2k earlier than progged and the intensity quickly ramped up it just felt like a better than expected showing was in the cards. So, expecting it to over-perform is a function of original expectations meeting new information and morphing into current expectations. I'm currently expecting 12+" but if things break right I might think that the second expectation was low and thus, sensing yet even more over-performance I might then expect 14+" which is the current expectation of some local mets. Of course if my current expectation of 12+" verifies they might feel it under performed if the 12+" turns out to be 13" and not their expected 14+". It's really quite simple. Regardless, the end result is going to be me shirking all responsibilities for the next several days in favor of skiing, skiing, skiing. That's the expectation anyway. I hope that answered your question Scott. Hahaha well said Pete...I think you are a lock for 10-12 if you already have six. You'll be snowing harder than radar indicates too with low level upslope flow. Enjoy the backyard turns...headlamp tour in the snow tonight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow Bow Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 There is some drier air working in high aloft so nucleation in the moist layer is there, but it isn't what I'd call great. With the moist low levels I'd assume there's quite a bit of riming of the flakes which give them that "refrozen" look. Wasn't quite sure whether it was rimed or refrozen, but that seems to be what's going on. After that last event I got a little interested when I start hearing the snow when it hits my jacket. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 If the NAM is right through 12 hrs I'm going to have one HELL of a day tomorrow at Berkshire East...good lawd. Bro, it's pouring snow in Greenfield at 400', you're good to go tomorrow up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 Cpick the winds turn ne tomorrow am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 The new NAM has close to .5" for Mt. Tolland between now and 10 AM...course doesn't mean it's snow. Anyone else feel SNE could be totally screwed with convection going north and south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 The NAM is looking great so far too. (for us) Getting close to its wheelhouse also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 Not likely Chris, wagons north for me. Need steep bumps. LOL. Nice, it should be awesome with few people there. About 6" here so that seems like a good call for Charlemont. Skied with Ginxxx and Pro lurker there Monday, it was fun then, even better now. I thought you said BEast was steep.. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 Nam holds out hope for BOS. echoes don't look bad out west, I am not sure why everyone is freaking out, it's actually comical, same people acting the same way with every storm.. not you Jerry, I know it sucks to see rain but Scooter/Will and other said it could happen during the lull, so as Scooter said, everything still on track, if we wake up tomorrow and is raining then we are screwed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow Bow Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 Getting close to its wheelhouse also. Nice, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 If it all pans out, Kevin will claim a victory for the euro while in reality it may get it's zzz handed to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 Getting close to its wheelhouse also. Yeah...3 or 4 more runs and it should have a firm grasp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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