CT Rain Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 the new NAM is a disaster. astounding the changes this model makes in 6 hours. Yeah what a terrible, terrible model. It is nice to see that it is moved toward the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 no pics from anyone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Interesting. 18z NAM keeps the trough more intact. It doesn't get sheared apart as much. Should produce more during the day Thursday for CNE and NNE with the upper level vort passing over SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Ryan believes it lol It's the changes that it makes. Ridiculous. I do think it came back down to Earth at least, but it went in the other direction..lol. We'll have to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jt5019 Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Funny, not a single flake has stuck here on Main St. across from the river in Middletown. Elevation? Westfield side of town near moody school Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 It's the changes that it makes. Ridiculous. I do think it came back down to Earth at least, but it went in the other direction..lol. We'll have to see. If the Euro held its own or even ticked colder I would have been much more interested in tomorrow AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 it's probably gone overboard because that's what it does. the only thing i don't like is seeing the bigger low-to-mid level warm push it shows given the general synoptic set-up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adamrivers Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 We have hit .75" here at IJD... and still nothing on the roads. Flakes pretty small, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 It's the changes that it makes. Ridiculous. I do think it came back down to Earth at least, but it went in the other direction..lol. We'll have to see. This is precisely..precisely why I love the Euro..very little run to run changes as we get under 3 days..Once it locks..it locks..and yet folks again and again and again believe the GFS/NAM horror show Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Interesting. 18z NAM keeps the trough more intact. It doesn't get sheared apart as much. Should produce more during the day Thursday for CNE and NNE with the upper level vort passing over SNE Yeah I did notice that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SquatchinNY Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 no pics from anyone? I just posted pics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow Bow Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 HPC probabilities liking SNH,Extreme SSW ME, and a small portion of north central MA for >8": Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adamrivers Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 This is precisely..precisely why I love the Euro..very little run to run changes as we get under 3 days..Once it locks..it locks..and yet folks again and again and again believe the GFS/NAM horror show It's not gonna snow tomorrow at your house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 This is precisely..precisely why I love the Euro..very little run to run changes as we get under 3 days..Once it locks..it locks..and yet folks again and again and again believe the GFS/NAM horror show But the Euro was paltry on qpf until this morning... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 no pics from anyone? obs thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 If the Euro held its own or even ticked colder I would have been much more interested in tomorrow AM. FWIW I thought 3-6" would be my total here. More confident in 3-5". At least for my immediate area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 ryan - is there really sleet at DXR? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solar Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Westfield side of town near moody school Ah. You probably have an extra 250-300 feet on me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 no pics from anyone? Are you serious? Scroll down to the bottom of any page and you will see a nice little feature that allows you to move back or forward within a thread. It's actually a great advancement in world-wide-web technology (although I'm not sure if Al Gore had much to do with Bulletin Board features). My gut tells me that many of the photos that have been posted this afternoon have not been removed by mods. Go ahead, and have at it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Professional Lurker Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 I think I win the award of snowhole from round 1, unless things drastically improve here, I'll be screwed. Less than an inch here. ...looks like just to the north is getting the goods, though. Taking the kids out of school on Friday and heading up to Bromley ftw, I guess... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 This is precisely..precisely why I love the Euro..very little run to run changes as we get under 3 days..Once it locks..it locks..and yet folks again and again and again believe the GFS/NAM horror show Well you also have to remember that a model run that is closer to the event also needs to be given some thought. The NAM went overboard probably because like Phil says...that's what it does, but I don't disagree with a possible good mid level warm push..especially with it being dependent on how everything redevelops later tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Im sure its going to snow at his house tomorrow It's not gonna snow tomorrow at your house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 But the Euro was paltry on qpf until this morning... I'm not talking about qpf..people need to stop focusing on qpf ..you need to focus on synoptics and temp profiles..look at model bias and errors..It all leads to the Euro being superior. If the setup is there it is going to add up..regardless of modelled qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Much better snow growth with this band coming in...after we were in that sucker hole for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 ryan - is there really sleet at DXR? Radar has that sleety appeal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cycloneslurry Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 boy that first string of moisture is relly breaking up now on radar. Looks to be moving pretty fast as well. Huge dry slot opening up on a SE-NW axis from boston all the way out rt 2 into vermont. This first bathc looks to be done by 7-8 o clock. Nothing on roads here in north central MA. BUST? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Well you also have to remember that a model run that is closer to the event also needs to be given some thought. The NAM went overboard probably because like Phil says...that's what it does, but I don't disagree with a possible good mid level warm push..especially with it being dependent on how everything redevelops later tonight. Yeah, many people have highlighted that for areas south of the pike. WAA at 800mb is pretty strong in this event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwoman Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 We keep flipping from rain to snow have been back to snow for the last ten minutes are so....We must be just on that line lol.... Ansonia, CT 34/35 Dew 28 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 ryan - is there really sleet at DXR? Yes, flipped over totally to sleet at DXR and even up into portions of Litchfield County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 I think I win the award of snowhole from round 1, unless things drastically improve here, I'll be screwed. Less than an inch here. ...looks like just to the north is getting the goods, though. Taking the kids out of school on Friday and heading up to Bromley ftw, I guess... About 1" here too but not ever yet. I expect to see many facebook statuses from people complaining when it stops at 8-9 after only 2-3" here until we get the 6z-12z thump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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