bboughton Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Euro looks like 6-9" on the wundermaps snowfall model around 128. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adamrivers Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Im pretty close to staying all snow here if it stays that way balls to the wall tomorrow! We are not staying all snow here. Even the NAM has us for rain from 36-42 hours. No chance in hell...even if surface never hits 32, one of the mid-levels will at least flip it to sleet. 2-4" max out of this one in the Springfield area. EURO verbatim suggests around 7". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 I'm gonna be really bummed if we don't get 6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 I'm gonna be really bummed if we don't get 6" Newton has a pretty solid shot at getting that...but I could see a bit less too like 4-5"...I'd keep expectations in the 4-7" range there and then work up as need be...but you certainly could get something in the 6-10" range too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 It could take a while to get going in earnest for E MA tomorrow...so I fully expect some suicide posts while CT is getting it good on the front end thump while its light snow in E MA that has trouble sticking. The real stuff for them will come overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 I think Will and Pete are going to beat BUF this year in the snow department lol. Congrats guys...at least it was snowing here about an hour ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 I think Will and Pete are going to beat BUF this year in the snow department lol. Congrats guys...at least it was snowing here about an hour ago. I can't BUF only has 34" of snow...that has to be one of their worst. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 I can't BUF only has 34" of snow...that has to be one of their worst. It's standing at #2...with 6" of room. 22.6" was the worst...but it was taken downtown not at the airport in the late 1800s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 It's standing at #2...with 6" of room. 22.6" was the worst...but it was taken downtown not at the airport in the late 1800s. I had the good fortune of happening to be in Ithaca NY for their least snowiest season on record in '01-'02...great timing. They had like 25.2" I think, lol. Its so hard to get under 40" out there because of all the LES...even if not in the snow belt like Ithaca wasn't....but so many 1-3/2-4 events all winter long. Their variance was lower than ORH despite the two places averaging very similar for the season...which is to be expected since almost all the snow here is synoptic and a little less "dependable" than the LES. What a terrible LES season it was in general...even the tug hill got totally porked this year. Hopefully this current storm can take some of the sting out of this winter here...BUF needs like a March of '99 or something synoptically (I know ROC cleaned up, I'm assuming BUF did at least decent). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 I had the good fortune of happening to be in Ithaca NY for their least snowiest season on record in '01-'02...great timing. They had like 25.2" I think, lol. Its so hard to get under 40" out there because of all the LES...even if not in the snow belt like Ithaca wasn't....but so many 1-3/2-4 events all winter long. Their variance was lower than ORH despite the two places averaging very similar for the season...which is to be expected since almost all the snow here is synoptic and a little less "dependable" than the LES. What a terrible LES season it was in general...even the tug hill got totally porked this year. Hopefully this current storm can take some of the sting out of this winter here...BUF needs like a March of '99 or something synoptically (I know ROC cleaned up, I'm assuming BUF did at least decent). March '08 would be fine...21.3"...probably one of BUF's greatest synoptic storms ever...total of 29.3" on the month. It would be the perfect going away present before I head to the snowless subtropics of Bermuda on March 15th. I'm amazed the BUF only got like 10" in 99 lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 BOX still going 3-6 along the pike and inside 128. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Is it just me, or are the 2-meter temps. forecasted for 06z by the Euro way too cold? It's 33 and mostly cloudy right now at DXR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 the peak of the Tug Hill area had about 85" going into a bad February...I can't imagine anyone with over 120"...and that may be optimistic. That place averages slightly over 300" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 BOX still going 3-6 along the pike and inside 128. I haven't seen any update since earlier. Their current AFD update is just for the near term...the storm discussion is the same as earlier. They will prob update their storm products around 4-430am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 http://www.erh.noaa....rm02212011.html This is a nifty page my friend who was a forecaster for the Air Force for a few years showed me. Don't know if any of you guys use it (I'm sure Will and Scott have). Great tool for nowcasting. A snowfall map from 2/21/11? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 http://www.erh.noaa....rm02212011.html This is a nifty page my friend who was a forecaster for the Air Force for a few years showed me. Don't know if any of you guys use it (I'm sure Will and Scott have). Great tool for nowcasting. lol... nowcasting at 5pm feb 21, 2011 i'm probably missing something, but i think you got the wrong link --------- anyone comment on snowgrowth on Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 lol... nowcasting at 5pm feb 21, 2011 i'm probably missing something, but i think you got the wrong link --------- anyone comment on snowgrowth on Euro? A snowfall map from 2/21/11? Lol, well this is embarrassing. http://www.aviationweather.gov/adds/metars/java/ There we go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 http://www.eas.slu.edu/CIPS/ANALOG/COLD/stats.php?reg=EC&model=GFS212&fhr=F036&flg= CIPS analogs, FWTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 10 out of the 12 GFS ensemble members give BOS over an inch of qpf. The ones that don't are just shy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 10 out of the 12 GFS ensemble members give BOS over an inch of qpf. The ones that don't are just shy. All snow again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 All snow again? There a couple that flip them to sleet or rain..but 9 or 10 of the 12 are all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 There a couple that flip them to sleet or rain..but 9 or 10 of the 12 are all snow. Is there any way that 1" of QPF translates to less than 6" of snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Is there any way that 1" of QPF translates to less than 6" of snow? If it stays all snow...there's probably no chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Wow. Based on euro and ensembles, hard to not be excited.Still some time though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 03z SREFs upped QPF again...esp for tomorrow night's overnight burst. Has 1"+ for most of SNE by Thursday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Wow. Based on euro and ensembles, hard to not be excited.Still some time though. I figured you went ot bed before the Euro because you would have been posting about it after it came out, lol....I can't believe how much it collapsed toward the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 I figured you went ot bed before the Euro because you would have been posting about it after it came out, lol....I can't believe how much it collapsed toward the NAM. I passed out. Still a little sleepy but wow at 06z-12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 I passed out. Still a little sleepy but wow at 06z-12z. I wont be shocked if BOS goes into a winter storm warning at 4am...def the suburbs will I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 I do like how CUMBERLAND will be the Best place to be in RI. NE all the way for This one baby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Looks like the east slope of the Berkshires is going for double digits. Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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