wxsniss Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 big GFS cave to NAM, qpf and temp-wise Kev... you've said it again and again all season, this time, you are so right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 yup solid pounding by GFS. Be interesting if PB changes or sticks with futility forecast. Welp, he's sticking with 0 for Boston and 1-3 still for me although it appears he put Worcester in 3-6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 where is the bus? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 GFS caving some on this run...much colder as it keeps BOS all snow...also has that secondary burst of snow around 06z to 12z. The changes were subtle at first but you could clearly see the evolution to a more southerly/colder solution. Reasonable solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 appears site crash. anyone know what happened? in case it crashes again, another medium for status updates: http://www.facebook.com/americanwx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Great trends on the 00z runs so far! N MA / S NH are looking very favorable for 8+" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 big GFS cave to NAM, qpf and temp-wise Kev... you've said it again and again all season, this time, you are so right. dont give him too much credit. nams gotten smoked down here all season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 yup solid pounding by GFS. Be interesting if PB changes or sticks with futility forecast. Welp, he's sticking with 0 for Boston and 1-3 still for me although it appears he put Worcester in 3-6. Pete B...this could be real bad for you. Many ppl watch the 11pm news, go to bed, wake up early, grab coffee and head out for the day. People who watch WHDH will only think a coating is coming...boy could they be in for quite the surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Actually the GFS evolution looks very similar to the NAM. Warmest it gets at 850md is 36h before temps collapse back S. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 RGEM, NAM, now GFS. Game on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 29, 2012 Author Share Posted February 29, 2012 Well that sucked. GFS caved finally. Solid snowstorm en route for many. I found this quite funny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 I really would love to hear from Will, Tip, Scooter and other mets before I head to bed.. long day and looks like night tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Looks like a long duration event up here that gets some to .75" with low rates. Basically a tempered version of the nam with wot. Probably pretty realistic... Basically cut qpf by 1/3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 29, 2012 Author Share Posted February 29, 2012 RGEM, NAM, now GFS. Game on. Jerry, I am glad you are getting some snow. Futility be damned Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Great trends on the 00z runs so far! N MA / S NH are looking very favorable for 8+" GFS finally caved towards the NAM with QPF. and it was slightly colder than 18Z. Suddenly liking my local a little bit more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 The changes were subtle at first but you could clearly see the evolution to a more southerly/colder solution. Reasonable solution. .South trend, Shocker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 dont give him too much credit. nams gotten smoked down here all season i'm not lol. even a broken clock... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Just about to board for Hong Kong. See no need to back off 12-18 for my house. Good luck all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Definitely feel comfortable with my map at this point. Might add a bit more into NE MA and SE NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 I don't know why but I get the feeling that ORH will clean up in this. I know it probably looks just north of there right now, but they usually find a way to do really good in these situations. Easterly flow adding some upslope cooling to keep it all snow and slightly higher precip rates on long duration easterly wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Just about to board for Hong Kong. See no need to back off 12-18 for my house. Good luck all! Safe travels! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 29, 2012 Author Share Posted February 29, 2012 I don't know why but I get the feeling that ORH will clean up in this. I know it probably looks just north of there right now, but they usually find a way to do really good in these situations. Easterly flow adding some upslope cooling to keep it all snow and slightly higher precip rates on long duration easterly wind. Keep it 20 miles north please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Interesting post from Matt Noyes "...my reasoning for keeping amounts down actually comes thousands of feet above our heads. The temperature though a deep layer of the snow-producing cloud layer over New England is sub-freezing - warm enough for snow - but not cold enough for efficiently accumulating snow crystals. Rather, the temperature aloft is supportive of some of the worst kind of accumulating flakes that can develop. As a result, I've kept amounts reasonable..." http://www.mattnoyes.net/new_england_weather/2012/02/as-latest-forecast-data-comes-in-no-change-to-the-new-england-snowfall-accumulation-forecast.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 I can go to be happy tonight now but im still staying up for the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neweathereye Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Pete B has been very conservative for a long time and seems like a Ed Carrol forecast from BZ back in the 90's...lame ass storm forecast..I am surprised that he gave such a low end snow totals..Its gonna bite him on his arse wednesday am...sort of decieving the viewers... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 RGEM, NAM, now GFS. Game on. Add to that list: if you look at the SREF plumes, mean 7.6" snowfall for kbos, but 8 of the members cluster > 10". Not only will futility fall, Boston could more than double total seasonal snowfall by Friday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 The RGEM is colder around here at 850 than the GFS/NAM. That almost never happens. I hope it's right because the NAM got a little warmer and now has us on the fence from 0Z to 12Z with good qpf, but could be badly tainted by sleet. The GFS held serve so the NAM came to it in terms of thermal profile around here. The 12Z Euro was more like the RGEM...we'll see what 0Z brings. RGEM, NAM, now GFS. Game on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Interesting post from Matt Noyes "...my reasoning for keeping amounts down actually comes thousands of feet above our heads. The temperature though a deep layer of the snow-producing cloud layer over New England is sub-freezing - warm enough for snow - but not cold enough for efficiently accumulating snow crystals. Rather, the temperature aloft is supportive of some of the worst kind of accumulating flakes that can develop. As a result, I've kept amounts reasonable..." http://www.mattnoyes...n-forecast.html Goes back to the question I asked earlier about having that nose of warm air at about 700. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheetah440 Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Pete B has been very conservative for a long time and seems like a Ed Carrol forecast from BZ back in the 90's...lame ass storm forecast..I am surprised that he gave such a low end snow totals..Its gonna bite him on his arse wednesday am...sort of decieving the viewers... he just doubled down, says Jerry better buy an umbrella. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobbieL241 Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 I can go to be happy tonight now but im still staying up for the euro I won't. But I will be checking the short range models (RUC/HRRR) in the morning. Final call in case i didn't post it already. Blend of NAM/SREF probs. BDR: 1-3 HVN 1-3 GON: 1-3 HFD: 4-6 BDL: 4-6 ORH: 6-10 BOS: 5-7 PVD: 2-4 TAN: 2-4 CQX:1-3 HYA:2-4 CON: 8-12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.