MJHUB Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Torch-ville on the NAM. should enjoy my snow before it starts raining in the overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
educate Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 i think you have the main thump of this first part on you southwest doorstep. you will snow heavily soon and for a while i think. 31F here in Westborough... No sticking to the roads, but not trouble sticking to everything else. Hasn't snowed very hard here yet - had 3/4 mile snow for small period but not we are in a meso no-snow band. 31 on January 29 is a whole lot different than 31 on Feb 29 during the daylight hours. After dark and it probably dries out some. Rad over all doesn't appear impressive to me with this "front end" thing.. .shredded, with some moderate bands here and there, others getting very little. Would like to see a solid 3 level green spanning more than the width of a township or 2, lest this looks like a GFS QPF/NAM right about cold thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Torch-ville on the NAM. should enjoy my snow before it starts raining in the overnight. Quite a bit warmer this evening/tonight around the Boston burbs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amarshall Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Yeah this first band wasn't really for us, esp BOS north. The forcing weakens big time. Scott what do you think No Quincy/Dot? I'm literally a block from the beach. Am I looking at brown grass? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neweathereye Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 This cold high is really doing a good job on the supression of our storm..This better not last long or were not going to see much snow here in Maine,except for York and Cumberland county...wtf.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 18z Nam rips here part 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
centralmass Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wackymann Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Snow has become very light in Lexington, MA. It looks like some kind of dry slot running from Leominster to the SE... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 As guessed, 18z NAM is excellent for western Maine. Much much stronger / tucked in with the secondary Thursday afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TOOTH Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 http://www.erh.noaa....talSnowFcst.png I just saw that. What the hell are they seeing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Big upgrade Big Big Upgrade! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 I just saw that. What the hell are they seeing? Must of based it off the 18z nam, The others had trended upwards today as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neweathereye Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Regarding that new Gray NWS map...like wow....what a change from this am..Warnings now for Central Maine I gather...10-14" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Big upgrade Big Big Upgrade! Yup!! That's more like it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trat Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 just upgraded to wsw for north shore of mass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Yup!! That's more like it Makes your map verify better...........lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TOOTH Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Now I can be Vim Tooth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Big upgrade Big Big Upgrade! Thanks for putting a smile on my face Jeff! It's gonna snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cycloneslurry Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 how will this second batch of mositure evole tonight. will there be a long lull in precip? juswonderong because there does not seemt o be more than 3-4 hours left in this firsct batch and nothing behind it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Must of based it off the 18z nam, The others had trended upwards today as well The increase in QPF today is why I bumped TOOTH to 6". Wasn't expecting that drastic of an upgrade, though. Holy hell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Big upgrade Big Big Upgrade! Well, I guess! Was 2-4" for MBY, now 10-14"! Looks like the 12z gfs clown map. (New GYX zone 'cast for S.Franklin has 8-12".) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 The increase in QPF today is why I bumped TOOTH to 6". Wasn't expecting that drastic of an upgrade, though. Holy hell. Nam had him at .19" and GFS was .42", Lot more now....lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Well, I guess! Was 2-4" for MBY, now 10-14"! Looks like the 12z gfs clown map. (New GYX zone 'cast for S.Franklin has 8-12".) Same here, Looking at 8-12" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Now I can be Vim Tooth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Wow! Big jump north on the Nam for part 2. SW Nova Scotia gets raked hard. Will have to wait and see if other guidance jumps on board with this shift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 29, 2012 Author Share Posted February 29, 2012 The increase in QPF today is why I bumped TOOTH to 6". Wasn't expecting that drastic of an upgrade, though. Holy hell. Awesome for you guys! The double digit club is growing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Expecting some pretty high ratios, .SYNOPSIS... A WARM FRONT WILL STALL SOUTH OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT AND THURSDAY AS LOW PRES DEVELOPS AND MOVES EAST ALONG THE FRONT. THIS STORM SYSTEM THEN EXITS QUICKLY INTO THE MARITIMES THURSDAY NIGHT WITH A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TO FOLLOW FOR FRIDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL PUSH NORTH ACROSS THE REGION EARLY SATURDAY, FOLLOWED BY A STRONG COLD FRONT LATE SATURDAY. GENERALLY HIGH PRESSURE WILL PREVAIL LATE IN THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. && .NEAR AND SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/... SNOW THAT HAD SPREAD ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE THIS AFTERNOON WILL SLOWLY SPREAD NORTH AND EAST TONIGHT OVERSPREADING THE ENTIRE FA BY MORNING. WE HAVE KEPT THE CURRENT WINTER STORM WARNINGS IN PLACE AND ALSO UPGRADED ALL WINTER WX ADVISORIES TO WINTER STORM WARNINGS AS WELL XCPT THE FAR NRN REACHES OF OUR FA IN CENTRAL SOMERSET COUNTY MAINE WHERE AN ADVSRY SHOULD SUFFICE. THRU THIS EVENT THE ARCTIC HIGH REMAINS IN PLACE TO THE NORTH WITH A CONSTANT SUPPLY OF COLD NNELY DRAINAGE WINDS SO AN ALL SNOW EVENT IS FOR CERTAIN. THIS WILL BE A TWO PART SYSTEM WITH SRN AREAS RECEIVING MUCH OF THEIR SNOWFALL FROM THE COASTAL LOW THAT DVLPS ACROSS THE SRN NEW ENGLAND COAST TNGT AND ALSO DUE TO BEING CLOSER TO THE BAROCLINIC ZNE OF BEST WAA TO OUR S. NRN AND ERN AREAS WILL NOT RECEIVE ANY SNOW UNTIL LATER TNGT AS THE LOW LEVEL ELY FLOW DEEPENS WITH TIME AND GRADUALLY SATURATES THE LOWER LEVELS WITH SOME LGT SNOWS. DURING THE DAY THURS THE HVIER SNOW FALL ACROSS NRN/ERN AREAS IN RESPONSE TO STG UVV FROM THE APPROACHING MID/UPPR LOW. OF NOTE WILL BE HIGH SNOW RATIOS OVER SRN AREAS OF ARND 15:1 DUE TO THE COLD AIR MASS IN PLACE. OVER NRN/ERN AREAS SOME 20:1 RATIOS EXPECTED. THIS IS NOW A VERY HIGH CONFIDENCE FORECAST AS THE NAM HAS COME MORE IN LINE A LITTLE FURTHER N INLINE WITH THE CURRENT/PREV GFS RUNS AND ALSO THE OLD/CURRENT EURO. THE NAM HAS MOST OF ITS FOCUS ON THE SRN SYSTEM WHILE THE EURO/GFS BOTH KEEP FOCUS THE MAIN MID/UPPER LOW THAT TRACKS ACROSS CENTRAL NEW ENGLAND WITH SIG LIFT DURING THE DAY THURS INTO THE EVNG. OF ONE CONCERN WOULD BE THE LATEST EURO KEEPS SNOW CONTINUING THROUGH MOST OF OUR NRN/ERN AREAS THURS NIGHT WHICH ARE ALL 1-2 DEGS N OF THE ELONGATED TROF AXIS. TEMPERATURES WERE ONCE AGAIN MUCH TOO WARM ON THURS AND HAD TO LOWER THEM ONCE AGAIN. OVERNIGHT LOWS SEEMED REASONABLE. MODELS TRY TO SLOWLY BRING THE SNOW TOO AN END THURS EVENG AND WILL GO WITH THAT THINKING ALTHOUGH KEEPING IN MIND IF THE EURO IS RIGHT THAN A PROLONGED PERIOD OF SNOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE NRN/ERN AREAS THURS NIGHT. STAY TUNED. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Awesome for you guys! The double digit club is growing Thanks dave Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neweathereye Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Hmmm..This was my snow total map from yesterday...glad I went with it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Nam had him at .19" and GFS was .42", Lot more now....lol I gotta be honest - I don't see it. I told my co-workers to keep the 6-10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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