Mr Torchey Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 yeah Joe euro has very little precip after 12z tomorrow down your way. i'd guess OVC with some light sprinkles/flakes now and then Thanks Phil, good luck up there, seems like round two is getting better and better for eastern new england! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Quick question, how far inland are we thinking any mixing comes in on the north shore, salem/peabody/danvers/lynn area. Thanks in advance to any responses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Should be great snow for the next few hours across CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Quick question, how far inland are we thinking any mixing comes in on the north shore, salem/peabody/danvers/lynn area. Thanks in advance to any responses. I think we will be OK due to our longitude, but the mets probably have a better idea... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Euro is so borderline north of here and even Kevin's area. Wow... tough forecast, the CT border region, maybe as far south as Kevin, is such a tough call. there's definite positives and negatives to consider. there's almost no question in my mind that region goes to IP and ZR this evening...maybe some -rn depending on elevation...then it's sort of a waiting game. as the mid and low levels start to cool again - how does that coincide with the precip timing? big bust potential along the border as you said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Quick question, how far inland are we thinking any mixing comes in on the north shore, salem/peabody/danvers/lynn area. Thanks in advance to any responses. I don't think you'll mix, but you could have trouble accumulating when rates diminish at times. Overall doesn't look bad at all there, especially just inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 the CT border region, maybe as far south as Kevin, is such a tough call. there's definite positives and negatives to consider. there's almost no question in my mind that region goes to IP and ZR this evening...maybe some -rn depending on elevation...then it's sort of a waiting game. as the mid and low levels start to cool again - how does that coincide with the precip timing? big bust potential along the border as you said. Yeah and a long lull that's going to be torturous to watch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Yeah and a long lull that's going to be torturous to watch. I don't envy you with the forecast. I still think the 3-5 look good for people like Kevin, but it's a tough call because it could be more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Euro looks good for NNE actually. 0.75" gets past RUT and LEB and gets just about to the dirty LEW. 0.5" into Canada it seems. Ratios should be good up this way with 700mb at -15C and 850mb at -10C or lower. Would be surprised to see a spot 10" amount in NNE...still going 4-6" here with room for up to 8" higher up in elevation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 the CT border region, maybe as far south as Kevin, is such a tough call. there's definite positives and negatives to consider. there's almost no question in my mind that region goes to IP and ZR this evening...maybe some -rn depending on elevation...then it's sort of a waiting game. as the mid and low levels start to cool again - how does that coincide with the precip timing? big bust potential along the border as you said. I think kevin ran the Euro out of his basement. He gets a nice little 4-5"/3hr weenie jackpot tonight on the wunder weenie maps. (at least that's where I think Tolland is) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Yeah that's why I think he does ping. Sneaky warm layers FTL, but that will comes south like you said. Really tough call for nrn CT, but I'd sort of lean snowier near the border? that zone along the pike / CT border might be the hardest area in this event. i could easily see that being 3" of crud or 7 or 8" of concrete Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Its always a better feeling when the Euro gets better and increases qpf in the final couple runs vs the other way around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Looks like 0.85 or so for you? Thanks, time for our biggest event since before Thanksgiving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Yeah and a long lull that's going to be torturous to watch. I think 3-5" for interior CT is a safe call...with a spot 5-8" amount in the highest elevations of Tolland and Windham counties. They look to def go over to ip/zr by 6z tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 I don't envy you with the forecast. I still think the 3-5 look good for people like Kevin, but it's a tough call because it could be more. Yeah not the easiest forecast but at least for most of us down here the going forecast seems ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Just saw the Euro/sref/nam combo. I'll stick with my final 5-9" call. If I get more then 2 hours sleep tonight I will be surprised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 that zone along the pike / CT border might be the hardest area in this event. i could easily see that being 3" of crud or 7 or 8" of concrete I think they are going to do real well in this first batch. Should be no problem getting 3-5 with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 kevin is texting pictures of old snow events Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Yeah not the easiest forecast but at least for most of us down here the going forecast seems ok. It's not that easy for the city as well. Do I rip paste at 32F tonight, or will it warm to 34 and have it lighten up? I could see myself getting 4" or 10"..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TOOTH Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Final call for my 'hood is 7-11". Still milky sun here in Portland, should be snow falling as the commute home begins. I just came off the top of Sugarloaf. I could see a huge front off on the other side of Mt Washington taking over the entire horizon. Looks so amazing. Final thoughts on 2000ft and higher up here? Dryslot? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 This is going to be very wet. Sticking to everything right now, except roads. It's developed that slushy foundation on the trees and ground and sticking to that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Being Leap Year I would imagine many records will be set for accumulations. Some SNE Leap Day records (assuming I've correctly tweaked the spreadsheets): Most I found was 6.9" in ORH, 1904. Won't make it by midnight. However, for the past 60 yr (90 for BOS), it's been quite modest. BOS 1.3" in 1968 ORH 3.1" in 1968 PVD 2.3" in 1964 BDL 0.8" in 2008 BDR 1.6" in 1952 Norfolk, CT 2.8" in 1956 (Surprisingly low for this snow magnet, especially since 3/56 had 73".) Closer to MBY, Farmington had 8.0" on 2/29/1984. Edit: And that's safe, as all/most of our accum comes tomorrow. Hoping for 6", now that things seem juicier. Given temps about 20, might get some 15:1 ratio if temps are right upstairs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 I think the Ray Logan11 bet is really going to come down to the wire, I could see him coming in right around 5" with this first round. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Euro looks good for NNE actually. 0.75" gets past RUT and LEB and gets just about to the dirty LEW. 0.5" into Canada it seems. Ratios should be good up this way with 700mb at -15C and 850mb at -10C or lower. Would be surprised to see a spot 10" amount in NNE...still going 4-6" here with room for up to 8" higher up in elevation. you know it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 This is going to be very wet. Sticking to everything right now, except roads. It's developed that slushy foundation on the trees and ground and sticking to that. Do you have to work tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Do you have to work tomorrow? Yeah not until 9am though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Like the 12z Euro for the interior SE MA area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 I just came off the top of Sugarloaf. I could see a huge front off on the other side of Mt Washington taking over the entire horizon. Looks so amazing. Final thoughts on 2000ft and higher up here? Dryslot? 2-4"" possibly depends on what model you want to hug, Nam and Euro was not good up there, GFS was better but just to far away as this gets supressed south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Yeah not until 9am though. Good like sleeping from 2am -7am in BOS...don't pull a Kevin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amarshall Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Twitter abuzz with everyone upping snow totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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