Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 I still don't see him doing much better than 4 or 5". Even if he is able to get a bit tomorrow am. The rest of the guidance will tell the tale. To me the NAM is tough call Boston south. I realize verbatim the soundings etc...but there's a warm layer in there somewhere 1000-850 as the critical CTs punch up to Marshfield and over to northern RI by about 18 hours. Given the NAM probably running cold it'll be interesting to see how the rest of this plays out. I expect a sloppy coating here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 It's really close to a thumping for you. Close to nude..not quite..but close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Dual maxes over Eastern NY and then again in Eastern NE...plus still has that creepy smiley face up in Quebec.. To be honest that map makes no sense to me, it's probably not gonna verify anywhere close lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 The high to the NE is a double edged sword ... you see an amazing radar presentation off to the west but that wave has to dampen as it approaches the confluence. On the other hand, without that high, we'd all be torched in a heartbeat. That said, it's also what creates the Atlantic inflow along I-90 and forces the energy to the south where it can reignite - will have to watch closely where the pressure falls take place tomorrow, perhaps right in YBY. Yeah that's true. It can help eat up the echoes, but at the same time...enhance them. At this point for my locale, I'll take the high because I'll need help with the boundary layer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Close to nude..not quite..but close Ryan is right, it's a tough call for you. We all know how the sleet line loves your neighborhood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Ryan is right, it's a tough call for you. We all know how the sleet line loves your neighborhood. This almost keeps Bob's area all snow, like the EURO. Colder than I thought Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 I love how when things look bleak for Ryans area..he always manages to try and bring my area down with him. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 If nothing else, Kevin has succeeded in getting every person on the board to issue a forecast for his BY. This is compounded by the fact that he is right in the trenches for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 If nothing else, Kevin has succeeded in getting every person on the board to issue a forecast for his BY. This is compounded by the fact that he is right in the trenches for this one. He's a used car salesman, but he loves to take all the forecasts and then use that as the lower bounds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 He's a used car salesman, but he loves to take all the forecasts and then use that as the lower bounds. Used car salesman? Lol It's all about making the sale..You look at all your angles, gather your info..then you pounce Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Yeah that's true. It can help eat up the echoes, but at the same time...enhance them. At this point for my locale, I'll take the high because I'll need help with the boundary layer. Take it and run... I'd love to be back in Boston for this one. Would like to be more on the north side of town but whatever... you'll still do well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 No one is pulling the 6+ trigger for the Boston area. Everyone relying on bad snow growth. Most calls 3-6" right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 i would love to be in Wills place for this, pretty major for him and outside 128. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 He's a used car salesman, but he loves to take all the forecasts and then use that as the lower bounds. Sounds like JB's little brother... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Take it and run... I'd love to be back in Boston for this one. Would like to be more on the north side of town but whatever... you'll still do well. I hope. I've been abused all winter, I would love to pull 6+, but I'm not sure about that. I still want this to congeal a bit better and not so strung out, but it has looked better since yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Kevin will use the Stafford Springs total since that part of town is further north. Hey - that's me! I'm concerned because I have the Staffordville aka rubber ruler guy to my north. I'm wondering if he does well with the lake to his NE...perhaps some blowing off of lake? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 i would love to be in Wills place for this, pretty major for him and outside 128. Yeah his area and Ray look awesome in this. Even just west of here, but this could be a nice blue Tip snow for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Used car salesman? Lol It's all about making the sale..You look at all your angles, gather your info..then you pounce That is true - selling is everything... at the end of the day, it all comes down to whether or not the deal gets closed... in every area of business, large or small ... even in medicine/law/academics... you have to be able to sell your organization or yourself to make a living. They don't stress that nearly enough in college, IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 I see Ryan's point about the first band weakening. That could happen, but I guess the question is how does it regroup as it moves east. I don't expect too much here from the initial band, but I'm hoping it regroups nicely. I think the initial band weakening would bode well for those E since it would allow for the mid-levels to close off earlier and limit any warming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stash Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 There may also be some shadowing (and models are starting to hint at this) in ENY, specifically in Rensselaer and Washington Counties, just west of the MA/VT border. Not sure if this process would effect any of the smaller valleys in the Berkshires or in S. VT, but would imagine it might. I think you are talking on a smaller scale than I am...much closer in distance...on an 070 wind in MA CT valley, you have the N ORH hills to the east which spike into the 1400-1500 ft range and the hills in general there are pretty wide in width...nothing like that to the east in CT...especially on a larger continuous chain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 so, which one of you elevated weenies is sponsoring the snow party??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 E-NE winds aloft and north winds underneath tomorrow night would probably let the snow linger a bit here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 AKT? lol Love it--that drops me in a qpf screw zone! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 If there was one place I'd def up the snow amounts right now compared to most forecasts...it would be NE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 No one is pulling the 6+ trigger for the Boston area. Everyone relying on bad snow growth. Most calls 3-6" right now. TWC has 6-10" for Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 I think the initial band weakening would bode well for those E since it would allow for the mid-levels to close off earlier and limit any warming. It's a catch 22 because some will get screwed while it could be good for someone else. For our area, the trend in developing precip late tonight was nice to see. That limits cooling and allows better rates to last through the morning. Daytime insolation is an issue if rates are very light. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 If there was one place I'd def up the snow amounts right now compared to most forecasts...it would be NE MA. I agree. That's a good spot right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Shouldn't we be in "storm mode" right now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 TWC has 6-10" for Boston. I stand corrected. Nowhere local has, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 It's a catch 22 because some will get screwed while it could be good for someone else. For our area, the trend in developing precip late tonight was nice to see. That limits cooling and allows better rates to last through the morning. Daytime insolation is an issue if rates are very light. I'm worried about the increasing sun angle and the coastal front limiting snow totals here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.