Gravity Wave Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 Heavy rain now in Ithaca. Edit: The lightning is starting back up too. We've probably gotten more precip in the last 20 minutes than has fallen as snow all year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 Any chance of thunder snow Phil? Absolutely... this band that is swinging through is unlike anything I've ever seen. Severe weather statments are going up in advance of the line. As long as we can hang on to our cold layer, this will be a night to remember, with 1-2" per hour snowfall rates with thunder snow possibly. Otherwise... heavy sleet/freezing rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWxGuy Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 KBGM reporting mixed precip with surface temp of 32F. That line of storms with pea sized hail and c-t-g lightning is about to move overhead, should be interesting to see what happens... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 I'm under a special weather statement for strong thunderstorms with pea-sized hail! 0_0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0193 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1017 PM CST WED FEB 29 2012 AREAS AFFECTED...NY MOHAWK AND HUDSON RIVER VALLEYS CONCERNING...WINTER MIXED PRECIPITATION VALID 010417Z - 010815Z MIXED PRECIP-TYPE WITH THE PRIMARY HAZARD OF APPRECIABLE FREEZING RAIN RATES /0.10 INCH OR MORE PER 3 HRS/ ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH 09Z ACROSS THE NY MOHAWK AND HUDSON RIVER VALLEY VICINITIES. RECENT SURFACE ANALYSIS PLACES A WARM FRONT FROM NE OH SEWD INTO THE MID ATLANTIC REGION WITH AN ANTICYCLONE OVER NERN QUEBEC MAINTAINING A RESIDUAL POLAR AIR MASS IN NEW ENGLAND. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH --ATTENDANT MID-LEVEL DRYSLOT AND NERN FRINGE OF CNTRL U.S. EML-- MOVING ACROSS THE UPPER OH VALLEY TOWARDS THE AREA. STRONG DEEP LAYER ASCENT --OWING TO DCVA AND A WARM CONVEYOR SITUATED ACROSS THE REGION-- WILL CONTINUE TO PROMOTE MAINTENANCE AND INCREASING AREAL COVERAGE OF MODERATE PRECIP SHIELD /EMBEDDED TSTMS/ ACROSS NWRN PA/SRN PARTS OF NY. SHORT RANGE DETERMINISTIC GUIDANCE SHOW APPRECIABLE QPF DURING THE OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE MCD AREA --IN EXCESS OF 0.10 INCH. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW A SHALLOW SUB-FREEZING LAYER BENEATH A LAYER WARMING AOA 0 DEG C NEAR H8 AS THE UPPER WAVE PIVOTS TOWARDS THE AREA. ELEVATED BUOYANCY --BASED AROUND H85-- MAY CONTRIBUTE TO CONVECTIVE BURSTS OF HEAVIER PRECIP. AS SUCH...A MIX IN P-TYPE WITH FREEZING RAIN/SLEET FAVORED OVER THE REGION...WITH A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN/SLEET/SNOW FAVORED FARTHER NE OVER SRN VT/WRN MA. LOCATIONS THAT MAINTAIN A FREEZING RAIN PROFILE THE LONGEST --WILL HAVE THE GREATEST PROBABILITY OF FREEZING RAIN RATES AOA 0.10 INCH PER 3 HRS. The area is outlined in the link http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0193.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gravity Wave Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 The area is outlined in the link http://www.spc.noaa..../md/md0193.html In my experience, heavy freezing rain is not as daunting as it sounds. Once it poured for half an hour at 31 degrees and there was very minimal ice accretion anywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 KALB AS OF 100 AM EST...THE LATEST RUC40 SHOWS A VORT MAX AHEAD OF THE CUTOFF LOW OVER MICHIGAN MOVING INTO W-CNTRL NY. SOME CONVECTION FIRED AHEAD OF THIS VORT MAX...AND A NARROW DRY SLOT CAN BE SEEN IN THE WATER VAPOR LOOP. FURTHER DOWNSTREAM A SECONDARY/COASTAL LOW IS TRYING TO FORM NEAR SE NJ WITH THE MSAS SHOWING MSLP PRESSURE FALLS OF 4-5 HPA/3 HRS. THE IR SATELLITE SHOWS PLENTY OF COLD CLOUD TOPS APPROACHING OUR AREA...SO THERE WILL BE PLENTY OF ICE ALOFT TO SEED LOWER CLOUDS FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SNOW CRYSTALS ONCE THE SECONDARY LOW REALLY STARTS OF TAKE OFF THIS MORNING. HAVE BROUGHT POPS BACK UP WITH THIS NEXT BATCH OF PCPN. WE USED THE NAM THERMAL PROFILES...AND WENT WITH SOME SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN UP TO THE CAPITAL REGION...WRN MOHAWK VALLEY AND BERKSHIRES. WE CONTINUE TO HAVE SNOW MAINLY HERE AT THE OFFICE...AND KPSF. THE DYING CONVECTION WILL ALLOW THE ATMOSPHERE TO WARM IN THE LOW TO MID LEVELS BRIEFLY...BEFORE WE COOL DOWN LATER THIS MORNING AHEAD OF THE CLOSED UPPER LOW. WE WILL HAVE TO SEE HOW MUCH MOISTURE WRAPS INTO THE FCST AREA. WE HUNG WITH CATEGORICAL POPS IN THE 08Z-12Z TIME FRAME. ADDITIONAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS WILL GENERALLY BE AN INCH OR TWO IN THE IMMEDIATE CAPITAL REGION PRIOR TOWARDS DAYBREAK...2 TO 4 INCHES FURTHER NORTH...AND LITTLE OR NO ACCUMULATION SOUTH...WITH ICE ACCRETIONS OF A COATING TO A TENTH OF AN INCH IN THE WRN MOHAWK VALLEY/ERN CATSKILLS...PORTIONS OF THE CAPITAL REGION...BERKSHIRES...AND LITCHFIELD HILLS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 The euro looked pretty good, looking at wunderground maps it looks like a 4-8/5-9" event.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 Eyeballing it, we've picked up another 1.5" with plenty more to go. Looks like a snow/sleet mix still. Back to bed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 1, 2012 Author Share Posted March 1, 2012 It's dumping +SN here now from that stuff that was the T-storms in the Finger Lakes. At first that stuff fell as heavy graupel, snow pellets, etc. Now it's really nicely formed dendrites. Temperature slipped back to 28.7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gorizer Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 Wow. Latest NWS zones for Duanesburg/Delanson calling for another 5 to 10 inches today! It's dumping +SN here now from that stuff that was the T-storms in the Finger Lakes. At first that stuff fell as heavy graupel, snow pellets, etc. Now it's really nicely formed dendrites. Temperature slipped back to 28.7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 1, 2012 Author Share Posted March 1, 2012 6Z NAM gave another .6" or so after 4 AM..... I measured 4.5" since the deck was cleared before this latest stuff. So around 9 inches cumulative, though the actual amount on the ground may have settled a little. 28.7 and SN now ...that heaviest stuff is past. Wow. Latest NWS zones for Duanesburg/Delanson calling for another 5 to 10 inches today! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stash Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 S+ back to a more moderate snow now. Really nice out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roady Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 4" for round 1 another 2" for round 2 now for the rain.................... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 Snow growth is horrible up here. Dandruff + isn't cutting it for me. :snowman: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying MXZ Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 4" for round 1 another 2" for round 2 now for the rain.................... 3" and 1" here. NWS calling for 3"-5" today. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWeather Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 1" yesterday and 2.8" this morning. Just about all schools are closed here also. Light snow at the present. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Couchsachraga Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 :snowman: by 8pm in Queensbury, another :snowman: :snowman: this morning, about 6.5 on the ground (the first 3 were much higher ratio than the last 5). 7 up in Johnsburg total at this point. (limiting the amount of emoticons now I see...) We'll see what the day brings! Biggest snowfall of the season so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 4.25" overnight...storm total 8.75". Temp has warmed to 33...probably going to have trouble adding much more to that total unless we get into some heavier stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 I must say this thing did exceed my expectations. I figured 6" was gonna be the ceiling down here in the valley. Managed to surpass that by a few inches. Thankful we were able to pull off a decent event before we close the books on this God-awful winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 1, 2012 Author Share Posted March 1, 2012 There was a time when the valley around KALB actually got big snowstorms. LOL 9" was my measurement awhile ago..probably gained some in this light/mod stuff. The last good stuff seems to be swinging toward us from Central NY. I must say this thing did exceed my expectations. I figured 6" was gonna be the ceiling down here in the valley. Managed to surpass that by a few inches. Thankful we were able to pull off a decent event before we close the books on this God-awful winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roady Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 Absolutley dumping here now as we appear to be on the edge. I ventured into Cortland & Madison Cothis am at the lower elevations and there was nothing. Go up 300' and it's a winter wonderland. NWS still say .1" today LOL. If your gonna suck you might as well suck all year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stash Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 Haha, yeah, its easy to blame Albany's snow woes in recent years on its valley, but they've really had some awful luck. They're not a bad snow location in normal times. Anyway, surprisingly uniform snowfall distribution for a late season event so far. About 9" or so here in the Eastern MV. Will see if the all day lighter stuff adds anymore to it. There was a time when the valley around KALB actually got big snowstorms. LOL 9" was my measurement awhile ago..probably gained some in this light/mod stuff. The last good stuff seems to be swinging toward us from Central NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gorizer Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 It would be awesome if any of you could post some pics. I am frustrated out of my wits being stuck down here on business in Virginia these few days. Sunny and 65 here today. I hate nice weather! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 1, 2012 Author Share Posted March 1, 2012 It's decent snow out here now, but temp must be right near 32 and I'm doubtful we'll gain much more depth this time of the day. If it got heavy ...but most of this stuff looks light- moderate in general. We might get another inch, but not gain any depth as it compresses..... I'll report back. Haha, yeah, its easy to blame Albany's snow woes in recent years on its valley, but they've really had some awful luck. They're not a bad snow location in normal times. Anyway, surprisingly uniform snowfall distribution for a late season event so far. About 9" or so here in the Eastern MV. Will see if the all day lighter stuff adds anymore to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 It's decent snow out here now, but temp must be right near 32 and I'm doubtful we'll gain much more depth this time of the day. If it got heavy ...but most of this stuff looks light- moderate in general. We might get another inch, but not gain any depth as it compresses..... I'll report back. I think we're done...just mood enhancing snow from here on out. It would be awesome if any of you could post some pics. I am frustrated out of my wits being stuck down here on business in Virginia these few days. Sunny and 65 here today. I hate nice weather! Sorry...I don't have any...there are some pics on the times union site...although mostly from yesterday it appears. http://www.timesunion.com/local/article/Schools-closed-commute-treacherous-and-it-s-3373281.php#photo-2563885 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stash Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 That final area of precip east of SYR looks like it may clip our area on north before this thing is all said and done. But unless its at least consistently moderate, it may not add more than to freshen up everyones' windshields. It's decent snow out here now, but temp must be right near 32 and I'm doubtful we'll gain much more depth this time of the day. If it got heavy ...but most of this stuff looks light- moderate in general. We might get another inch, but not gain any depth as it compresses..... I'll report back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roady Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 It would be awesome if any of you could post some pics. I am frustrated out of my wits being stuck down here on business in Virginia these few days. Sunny and 65 here today. I hate nice weather! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gorizer Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 Ahhhhhhh.... so THAT'S what snow looks like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 1, 2012 Author Share Posted March 1, 2012 This light snow is very persistent. Now 30.9 so it can stick to roads, etc. again. I believe we got 2 inches since about 9:00 AM ..probably would have been 3" had it not been so marginal with the sun angle etc. My final will probably go in at 11" , but I'll hold off a little longer. My goal now is 5" more inches this month to get to 50". If you want to stay up will midnight tomorrow night the 18Z NAM is trending toward that being a a quick few hour burst of snow/sleet it seems...then showers with the front and 40's during the day Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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