snowgeek Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Light snow began here at Voorheesville High School at 10:30am!!! 32F / 22F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 12z NAM holding strong...1.2" QPF at ALB, all snow. I'm generally thinking 6" when all is said and done. I still think some sleet could mix in for a time and even if it doesn't, ratios may be pretty bad during periods of lighter precip. But we'll see. Radar suggests flakes are on the doorstep...expecting things to commence within the hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 12 GFS came in colder.....looks like it could be all snow...waiting on soundings. Cold trend seams to be weakening front end thump, but giving us better chances for accumulations tonight and early tomorrow. I'm liking the trends! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 flakes just started here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 12Z GFS looks like 1.3-1.4" QPF, all (if not mostly) snow. Hmmmmm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Light snow here....visibility 3/4 mile. Snow growth is improving. Small to medium dendrites. 30F / 25F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted February 29, 2012 Author Share Posted February 29, 2012 NAM text output for SCH is 12.1" of snow over the long duration with a max of 1.9" in any one three hour interval. This the kind of event I hoped for in ths kind of winter.....it wasn't gonna be a year of excting dynamic Nor'easters producing +SN. 26.8 and moving close to a moderate snow out there now. No temp issues as long as it's this far below freezing. 12z NAM holding strong...1.2" QPF at ALB, all snow. I'm generally thinking 6" when all is said and done. I still think some sleet could mix in for a time and even if it doesn't, ratios may be pretty bad during periods of lighter precip. But we'll see. Radar suggests flakes are on the doorstep...expecting things to commence within the hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 update from wktv Snow will continue to fall through the morning. On the radar, there are some breaks in the snow across Western New York. Based on the data and track of the storm, the precipitation should fill in this gap as the surface storm develops to the south. That would (in theory) keep the snow going throughout the day. By the evening, a general 2-4" of snowfall is expected for the area. The new 12z information suggests that the atmosphere falls below freezing after midnight, changing any sleet/freezing rain back over to snow. The upper level low will hold together quite well, keeping light to moderate snow in the forecast through tomorrow afternoon. An additional 2-4" of snow (perhaps even more on the higher elevations) is possible. http://www.wktv.com/weather/blogs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 kalb updated snow map http://www.erh.noaa.gov/aly/Past/Snow_PNS/WSW.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Euro is good for another 2-4" early morning tomorrow with the second round. Higher elevations look to pick up another couple inches throughout the day Thursday as well, although it looks like maybe the combo of light QPF and warming BL temps kills any chance at much additional daytime accumulations for the valley. Still, seems like we're on track for a solid 3" here from round one...if we get another 2-4" early morning tomorrow then I'm happy and ready to put an end to this miserable winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted February 29, 2012 Author Share Posted February 29, 2012 A good 1.5" here now... SN and 27.7F. Euro is good for another 2-4" early morning tomorrow with the second round. Higher elevations look to pick up another couple inches throughout the day Thursday as well, although it looks like maybe the combo of light QPF and warming BL temps kills any chance at much additional daytime accumulations for the valley. Still, seems like we're on track for a solid 3" here from round one...if we get another 2-4" early morning tomorrow then I'm happy and ready to put an end to this miserable winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flying MXZ Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 A good 1.5" here now... SN and 27.7F. Looks like at least 2" here (maybe pushing 3") in Delhi in the valley. I will get a good measurement at home in awhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 AS OF 1 PM...0.8 INCHES FOR SNOW WAS REPORTED AT THE ALBANYINTERNATIONAL AIRPORT. THIS TIES THE RECORD FOR THE DAY...FEB 29TH LEAP DAY...SET BACK IN 2008. A RECORD EVENT REPORT WAS ISSUED AT 1:30 PM AND WILL BE UPDATED AGAIN WITH THE SNOWFALL FOR THE DAY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 18z nam throws us another qpf bomb, what else is new lol up to 1" of qpf from 1 am to 1pm.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 for some giggles http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/nam/18znamsnow_NE024.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Just got home and measured 3" on the patio table. I must say, I was worried this first round of precip would disappoint, but we should end with a solid 3.5-4"...making it the biggest event of the year for me! And 18z NAM looking decent for round 2...easily another 2-4" late tonight/early morning, potentially more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stash Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 What an awful model ...16-17" here. As long as we can get some more snow in here late tonight/tomorrow and keep (most of) the sleet at bay, I'll be happy. 18z nam throws us another qpf bomb, what else is new lol up to 1" of qpf from 1 am to 1pm.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 4" here so far! I'm a happy camper. 32F/32F. Gonna make me a snowman....nice packing snow....FINALLY!!!! Under a nice heavy band right now. Beautiful large dendrites! Prob 2"/hour, but will only last 10 minutes. 5".....here we come! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Things should wind down here in the next hour or so. Then just some occasional flurries/snow showers while we wait for round 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 hpc for round 2 http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wwd/day1_psnow_gt_04.gif http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/wwd/day1_psnow_gt_08.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 I just went out in the open yard and got some better measurements. Snow depth is 5.5" here and snowing lightly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 KALB OVERNIGHT THE FORECAST BECOMES MORE COMPLICATED ONCE AGAIN. ONCE THE DRY WEDGE ALOFT PASSES THROUGH...ADDITIONAL CLOUD TOP COOLING IS EXPECTED AS MID/HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS FROM DEVELOPING CONVECTION ACROSS THE OH/PENN/WV/VA AREA MOVE OVERHEAD WHILE SECONDARY CYCLOGENESIS OCCURS NEAR THE NEW JERSEY COAST. THE SECONDARY DEVELOPMENT IS CRUCIAL...SINCE IT WILL CONTINUE TO RESULT IN SUBSTANTIAL LOW LEVEL BAROCLINICITY JUST TO THE SOUTH OF OUR AREA...WITH HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTHEAST PROVIDING THE LOW LEVEL COLD AIR FEED. SO...THE NAM/GFS/ECMWF ALL SHOWING MORE ORGANIZED AND WIDESPREAD PRECIP RE-DEVELOPING AFTER MIDNIGHT ACROSS THE AREA. THIS WILL LEAD TO ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATING SNOW ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL AREAS...WITH SLEET/FREEZING RAIN/PLAIN RAIN TO THE SOUTH. SLEET IS EXPECTED TO MIX IN AGAIN AROUND THE CAPITAL REGION/MOHAWK VALLEY/BERKSHIRES...HOWEVER THE MAGNITUDE OF THE WARM NOSE ALOFT IS NOW EXPECTED TO BE COLDER AND THUS LESS OF A MIX. ONLY AREA OF REAL CONCERN FOR SEVERAL HOURS OF ICING DUE TO FREEZING RAIN WILL BE ACROSS THE EASTERN CATSKILLS AND NORTHERN LITCHFIELD CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 4" here about does it for round 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted February 29, 2012 Author Share Posted February 29, 2012 Cap over there at channel 10 in northeast Albany said they have 4.75". I have 4.25" and some steady light snow in the weaker echoes. 27.9F. Things should wind down here in the next hour or so. Then just some occasional flurries/snow showers while we wait for round 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 We're just under 6" here....over-performed, that's for sure! Cap over there at channel 10 in northeast Albany said they have 4.75". I have 4.25" and some steady light snow in the weaker echoes. 27.9F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 The hrrrr goes bonkers for s.herkimer county..Has 4-5" in1 hr for the higher elevation just to the south, 2-3" here in 1 hr lol Im gonna go out on a limb and say that will not happen..The ruc has 4-6 for 2nd round.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Only 2" for rnd 1 in herkimer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 18Z GFS throws quite the pounding up here with about 1.36" liquid QPF (all snow) to come. Maybe the crazy NAM found a nut after all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowgeek Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 Pingers here...NOOOOOOOOOOOOOO! 23Z RUC says what part 2 tonight. Hoping that convection down south doesn't rob all of the moisture. Don't PANIC!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West Point, NY Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 Pingers here...NOOOOOOOOOOOOOO! 23Z RUC says what part 2 tonight. Hoping that convection down south doesn't rob all of the moisture. Don't PANIC!!!!! Wow, that isn't good that far north already. Wish that convection was moving NE instead of east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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