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Spring 2012 Thread - Cutoffs, 1 day torches, dying thunder


free_man

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Looks like very nice weather upcoming. Models locking in, too.

Highs in the 40s and 50s, and perhaps a few 60s by the 21st? Of course a cutoff low developing by mid-latter March in close proximity would be a disaster and keep cooler air locked in, and hopefully that does not happen, but it's climo of course.

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WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...

GFS AND ECMWF INDICATE A SIGNIFICANT WARMING TREND AS HIGH PRES

MOVES S OF THE COAST WITH RETURN FLOW DEVELOPING. WED WILL BE THE

TRANSITION DAY AFTER A COLD START...THEN UNSEASONABLY MILD WEATHER

POSSIBLE BY THU AND ECMWF HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR TEMPS TO REACH THE

LOWER 60S. DID NOT GO QUITE THAT HIGH IN THE FORECAST AS THIS IS

STILL 7 DAYS AWAY.

Not bad for a forecast over 1+ month out, if it comes close to verifying.

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WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...

GFS AND ECMWF INDICATE A SIGNIFICANT WARMING TREND AS HIGH PRES

MOVES S OF THE COAST WITH RETURN FLOW DEVELOPING. WED WILL BE THE

TRANSITION DAY AFTER A COLD START...THEN UNSEASONABLY MILD WEATHER

POSSIBLE BY THU AND ECMWF HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR TEMPS TO REACH THE

LOWER 60S. DID NOT GO QUITE THAT HIGH IN THE FORECAST AS THIS IS

STILL 7 DAYS AWAY.

Not bad for a forecast over 1+ month out, if it comes close to verifying.

One month+ ?

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If the midmonth extended torch verifies, I'll be digging the overwintered carrots weekend after next. Usually it's early to mid April, whenever the snow over that patch is almost gone. (No seedling starts, though - haven't any convenient way to keep the cats from grazing. And doing something nasty to the cats is not a viable option.)

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Saw your pm and the Feb 3 post

Well done sir

thanks, sorry I missed your Q and responded a little late.

Personally cannot wait for the first few days in the 70s. Hopefully very low rh and gusty winds too. Stop, drop and roll wx.

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  • 2 weeks later...

thanks, sorry I missed your Q and responded a little late.

Personally cannot wait for the first few days in the 70s. Hopefully very low rh and gusty winds too. Stop, drop and roll wx.

TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...LOOKS LIKE THIS WILL BE THE MILDEST PART

OF THE FORECAST AS HIGH PRES CENTERS OFF THE MID ATLC COAST WHILE

UPPER RIDGE TAKES UP RESIDENCE ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN U.S.

THIS IS MORE OF A SUMMER TYPE PATTERN IN PLACE RATHER THAN EARLY

SPRING...WITH WARM AIR WORKING INTO THE REGION ON W-SW WINDS. NOTING

A PROLONGED DRY PERIOD...WITH ONLY LIGHT RAINFALL OVER THE LAST

COUPLE OF WEEKS...SO WILL NEED TO WATCH FOR FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL

ESPECIALLY LATER WED AND THU AS W WINDS PICK UP. EXPECT HIGHS

REACHING INTO THE MID AND UPPER 70S EACH DAY...MILDEST FORECAST FOR

THURSDAY...THOUGH WILL REMAIN COOLER ALONG THE SOUTH COAST WITH

ONSHORE WINDS AND SEA BREEZES DEVELOPING ALONG THE EAST COASTAL

AREAS.

Shocking! ;D

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