Analog96 Posted March 27, 2012 Share Posted March 27, 2012 Plants look ok here It was WAY too dry and windy to really promote frost growth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 27, 2012 Share Posted March 27, 2012 Plants look ok here We only went near or below freezing for 3-4 hours. Not enough time to hurt the plants. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted March 27, 2012 Share Posted March 27, 2012 yea.. like Analog was saying.. the wind definitely helped out last night.. Had we gone clear and calm.. no doubt it would have had a different impact. It does actually give you an idea that this was actually a pretty decent cold shot. This airmass had the potential to easily produce widespread temps in the teens in the burbs had we had good radiational cooling... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 27, 2012 Share Posted March 27, 2012 yea.. like Analog was saying.. the wind definitely helped out last night.. Had we gone clear and calm.. no doubt it would have had a different impact. It does actually give you an idea that this was actually a pretty decent cold shot. This airmass had the potential to easily produce widespread temps in the teens in the burbs had we had good radiational cooling... it looks like the core of the coldest air moves out this PM so tonight will be a fair amount warmer for most--would think outlying areas might radiate pretty well though with less wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted March 27, 2012 Share Posted March 27, 2012 it looks like the core of the coldest air moves out this PM so tonight will be a fair amount warmer for most--would think outlying areas might radiate pretty well though with less wind Tonight overall will be warmer, but there will be a much larger discrepancy from the cities to rural areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted March 27, 2012 Share Posted March 27, 2012 Tonight overall will be warmer, but there will be a much larger discrepancy from the cities to rural areas. That wind was pretty harsh early this morning.. Nothing like taking the dog out at 5:30 AM and get a rude awakening like that. Quite honestly, this morning, I think I might have felt the coldest that I have this entire winter season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted March 27, 2012 Share Posted March 27, 2012 That wind was pretty harsh early this morning.. Nothing like taking the dog out at 5:30 AM and get a rude awakening like that. Quite honestly, this morning, I think I might have felt the coldest that I have this entire winter season. It's been quite the pathetic winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted March 27, 2012 Share Posted March 27, 2012 It's been quite the pathetic winter. to say the least.. to be honest, I'm happy about the temps this winter. I really hate the cold.. the lack of snowfall was definitely a dissapointment. The early summer weather this month was definitely a bonus.. but I look at it more from the standpoint that it basically eliminated 2-3 weeks of a potential cold shot. I could have lived with normal to slightly above average temps, but it's stuff like last night that just irks me. At least with that 2-3 week gap completely eliminated from cold, it now reduced the odds a bit of both the severity and duration of a cold snap just due to climo alone. Each day we can sneak in a warm one, it just gets me that much closer to guarenteed warmth :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 27, 2012 Share Posted March 27, 2012 NAM now has 68 degrees for NYC tomorrow and 70's for a lot of Jersey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadojay Posted March 27, 2012 Share Posted March 27, 2012 NAM now has 68 degrees for NYC tomorrow and 70's for a lot of Jersey. we've had some pretty nice swings in temps this season.. I know it generally happens a lot this time of year, but I feel like this year especially, it's been even more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 27, 2012 Share Posted March 27, 2012 nyc could make a run at 70 if there's enough sun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 27, 2012 Share Posted March 27, 2012 From struggling to hit 50s today to possible 70s tomorrow to more freezing temps a couple days after that. That sounds like spring but a more extreme version. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted March 27, 2012 Share Posted March 27, 2012 we've had some pretty nice swings in temps this season.. I know it generally happens a lot this time of year, but I feel like this year especially, it's been even more. it happenes every year...Some years are more of a rollercoaster than others...I was 10 years old in 1959 and remember the snow we had on this date...I don't remember the extremes in temperatures it had... 1959 day.....max...min 18th......36......27 20th......71......43 22nd.....34......20 24th......66......37 28th......40......25 o.6" of early snow... I was 15 in 1964 and remember the wild swings in temperature... 1964 19th......45......24 22nd.....50......32... 5" of early snow... 25th......75......46 31st......38......22 3rd........71......35 4th........45......31 1923 had its share of wild swings... 20th......31......14 23rd......76......48 29th......32......10 1st........36......12 4th........70......47 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted March 27, 2012 Share Posted March 27, 2012 Red flag warning again http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=NYZ075&warncounty=NYC047&firewxzone=NYZ075&local_place1=5+Miles+SW+Ridgewood+NY&product1=Red+Flag+Warning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 27, 2012 Share Posted March 27, 2012 How awful: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted March 27, 2012 Share Posted March 27, 2012 Looks fine to me..i'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 27, 2012 Share Posted March 27, 2012 How awful: It'll change tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted March 27, 2012 Share Posted March 27, 2012 that doesnt look like a cold pattern to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 27, 2012 Share Posted March 27, 2012 that doesnt look like a cold pattern to me Never said it does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 27, 2012 Share Posted March 27, 2012 Never said it does. why is it awful? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 27, 2012 Share Posted March 27, 2012 why is it awful? Because we couldn't get a block all winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted March 27, 2012 Share Posted March 27, 2012 Because we couldn't get a block all winter. we had some blocking at various times this block keeps getting delayed and won't look anything like that plus, sun gets stronger each day and will easily mitigate any kind of cooler pattern. Even today it feels like 60, not 50. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 27, 2012 Share Posted March 27, 2012 we had some blocking at various times this block keeps getting delayed and won't look anything like that plus, sun gets stronger each day and will easily mitigate any kind of cooler pattern. Even today it feels like 60, not 50. The block is already in place. The nao has been negative for a couple days as well and will continue at least the next 10 days. We never had that this winter. This winter featured 1-2 day blocking episodes. Nothing sustained. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 27, 2012 Share Posted March 27, 2012 The effects of the block are now starting to show up on the temp anomalies: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted March 27, 2012 Share Posted March 27, 2012 The lack of cold on our side of the globe continues to result in very little negative anomalies even w/ a blocking signature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted March 27, 2012 Share Posted March 27, 2012 The lack of cold on our side of the globe continues to result in very little negative anomalies even w/ a blocking signature. It looks like most of the NH is warm, even towards Asia, although it's significantly cooler there than North America: UAH/AMSU analysis shows that global temperatures have warmed significantly in March and are near the 10-year average. http://discover.itsc.uah.edu/amsutemps/execute.csh?amsutemps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted March 27, 2012 Share Posted March 27, 2012 Hopefully we can get some of the isolated thunderstorms tomorrow evening that the NAM has so that at least some measurable rain falls... the parameters don't look too good, and the NAM/GFS keep NYC with under 0.1" total. It wouldn't surprise me if the rain tomorrow ends up more scattered than widespread with parts of the area not seeing much more than a drizzle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted March 27, 2012 Share Posted March 27, 2012 18z NAM hour 84 The NAM's verification is worse in its long range, I would be surprised if it doesn't show a noticeably different solution when this is 60 hours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 27, 2012 Share Posted March 27, 2012 we could use an active pattern to ease the drought concerns Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted March 27, 2012 Share Posted March 27, 2012 we could use an active pattern to ease the drought concerns with everything still northern stream dominant, active doesnt mean wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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