NYCSuburbs Posted March 23, 2012 Share Posted March 23, 2012 Incredible how different the pattern was exactly 1 year ago compared to this year... March 23, 2012: Yet another day of record breaking warmth with 70+ degrees, 6th day of 20+ degree departures in NYC this month, and trees are budding. March 23, 2011 - exactly 1 year ago at this hour: a varying mix of thunder, snow, sleet, rain and/or freezing rain (still not sure which one it was) and hail fell: (Note: this year, the snow covered dirt to the right to the tree is filled with flowers) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cold&cloudy Posted March 24, 2012 Share Posted March 24, 2012 "Only" 63 F. Feels cool compared to how its been. Very nice out. Looking forward to highs in the 50s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ELCwx Posted March 24, 2012 Share Posted March 24, 2012 Even though it is still about +10 from normal, today is a bit disappointing after the fantastic temps during the week. Out to fertilize the lawn and spray some weeds. On March 24. Almost needs it's first cut already. Hopefully we get a little rain tonight to water it in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted March 24, 2012 Share Posted March 24, 2012 "Only" 63 F. Feels cool compared to how its been. Very nice out. Looking forward to highs in the 50s. Agreed, beautiful day today. 54 and overcast right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 24, 2012 Share Posted March 24, 2012 Starting next week looks like some below normal temps and also some above normal with some wild swings in temps through at least Easter Weekend April 7/8. With Negative NAO -Positive PNA and Neg AO Euro and GFS are hinting at possible frozen precip 40 North at some point - details are sketchy right now but this is one of those early Aprils with above normal chance of measurable snow.within the 1st 10 days...............The way the pattern is setting up with some real cold shots onthe long range GFS and Euro showing up over NE reminds one of this - just need good timing .... http://www.njfreeways.com/weather/2003/07-Apr-03.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 How much rain this weekend big bust there...zero for most today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 The only thing worse for a wx weenie than a failed winter is a failing winter that lasts from October to April Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 big bust there...zero for most today I had a little bit of rain earlier today... barely a trace... didn't even fully dampen my patio. There's a little bit more rain just to my south... and by Virginia... if the rain near Virginia manages to climb enough north (but it doesn't look like it's gaining much latitude) then it might not be a bust, but that is yet to be seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Some showers are approaching the south shore of Long Island, lets see is they do anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Getting light rain with a temp of 50 degrees... it's actually enough to dampen my patio Good thing too, the trees need it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Now I'm getting moderate rain... Can hear it coming down pretty hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Getting light rain with a temp of 50 degrees... it's actually enough to dampen my patio Good thing too, the trees need it. Just 0.56 in. here this month. Looking like very little now from this system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Just 0.56 in. here this month. Looking like very little now from this system. Yeah... if this were a snowstorm, everyone would be complaining about a major bust from this system, and there would be a lot of unhappy weenies on this board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 With today's rain event having failed, the dry pattern continues with this March now easily on track to be at least the driest or second driest on record... According to weather underground, NYC only reported 0.57" of rain so far this month, meanwhile according to Upton the driest March on record was in 2006 with 0.80" precipitation. Assuming that less than 1/4" of rain falls through 3/31, which is possible especially with Thursday also looking like a light rain event at best, this March should end up as either the first or second driest on record. This year is also dry so far, as 5.16" rain has been observed so far in NYC, while the average rain between January and March is about 11.1". Hopefully the pattern reverses, otherwise a drought could develop later this spring. The entire area is now under D0 conditions with SE New England under D1 conditions; the talbe on the left shows that the D0 area has nearly doubled over the last week. I would assume that a separate thread may be needed for this should the dry pattern continue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Hard to grasp. It feels like the effects of Irene and Lee are still evident in my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Yeah... if this were a snowstorm, everyone would be complaining about a major bust from this system, and there would be a lot of unhappy weenies on this board. Not one model had more then a tenth. How could it be a bust? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 0.25" last night, 0.86" for the month here, well below avg. 46.8 and overcast - back to reality, late March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Not one model had more then a tenth. How could it be a bust? Models were initially pretty wet for this system, like the ECMWF showing an inch of rain this weekend on one model run. It turned into a bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 In the midst of this cool weather, the leafing process continues, with the exception of Crape Myrtles and most London Plane's I'm seeing more leaves everyday. I hope we don't hit freezing. Even if we do, as long as we don't go into the 20's we should be fine. My sunflowers have been going strong since late February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Freeze watch out for my area tomorrow night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Freeze watch out for my area tomorrow night I'm sure the whole area will be under one, except NYC zones. OKX hasn't issued any yet, but I am sure they will! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Hey Neg NAO... you might be onto something.... Today's 12z ECMWF at 192 hours. (8 days) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted March 25, 2012 Author Share Posted March 25, 2012 Pipe dream Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Hey Neg NAO... you might be onto something.... Today's 12z ECMWF at 192 hours. (8 days) October's twin storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 I'm sure the whole area will be under one, except NYC zones. OKX hasn't issued any yet, but I am sure they will! Models have NYC into the 20's. They'll wait for one or 2 model cycles and probably issue one for NYC also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 October's twin storm? That would be the perfect end to "Winter" 2011-2012 if we get more snow in Autumn and Spring than we did all winter. We'll see. We've had KUs in the past in April, so if a snowstorm did occur in April, it wouldn't be historical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 Hey Neg NAO... you might be onto something.... Today's 12z ECMWF at 192 hours. (8 days) I wouldn't be surprised if it is gone by the 0z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 I wouldn't be surprised if it is gone by the 0z run. Me neither, although the GFS has also been hinting at this as well (though not to the extent that the ECM has it). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 25, 2012 Share Posted March 25, 2012 I hope so although the trees , plants and utility companies might not like it ............ Hey Neg NAO... you might be onto something.... Today's 12z ECMWF at 192 hours. (8 days) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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