Sundog Posted March 15, 2012 Share Posted March 15, 2012 Two things I don't lie about, snow totals and leaves. You are a beacon of integrity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted March 15, 2012 Share Posted March 15, 2012 You are a beacon of integrity. Agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 15, 2012 Share Posted March 15, 2012 LOL: On NWS Morristown, TN's front page this morning there is a weather description which reads: "It will be another warm morning with a stray isoaetld shwoer or thunderstorms possibly through the mroni g hours." Drinking on the job? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 15, 2012 Share Posted March 15, 2012 You always think it's going to snow. I know that deep down inside you are still hopeful that April will turn out cold and snowy. I am here to remind you that you should seek medical attention. So , when is there going to be a big flood? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted March 15, 2012 Share Posted March 15, 2012 I'm freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted March 16, 2012 Share Posted March 16, 2012 By mid-March you have to go to northern Alaska or extreme northern Canada to find normal highs below freezing. You are not exactly an authority on the climatology of the Great White North....Churchill, Manitoba (that's one of the Praire Provinces...albeit the NE corner of one) has a normal April high temperature of 19 F and low of 5 F. In May it improves to an average high of 34 F and a low of 23 F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted March 16, 2012 Share Posted March 16, 2012 I think it's pretty safe to assume we have seen our last sub-freezing day until next winter. Another post that while not an impossibility....generally has very little grounding in reality...unless we are talking about the NYC airports / CPK...where a disconnect from climatological reality is very much the norm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted March 16, 2012 Share Posted March 16, 2012 Another post that while not an impossibility....generally has very little grounding in reality...unless we are talking about the NYC airports / CPK...where a disconnect from climatological reality is very much the norm... As usual, a nice dose of reality from William. Agreed, I've seen sub freezing lows as late as the end of May in central NJ, and we've seen plenty of April cold shots with 45F highs and 25-30F lows. I'd be willing to bet we will all see another sub freezing night (at least one). I can't, however, say the same thing for snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted March 16, 2012 Share Posted March 16, 2012 As usual, a nice dose of reality from William. Agreed, I've seen sub freezing lows as late as the end of May in central NJ, and we've seen plenty of April cold shots with 45F highs and 25-30F lows. I'd be willing to bet we will all see another sub freezing night (at least one). I can't, however, say the same thing for snowfall. I read some of these posts Tom...it reminds me of when I started getting interested in the weather...and there was a two week cold spell and I thought an Ice Age was imminent...or there was a two week hot spell in May...so I feared temperatures of 110 F in July...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 16, 2012 Share Posted March 16, 2012 Long range GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 16, 2012 Share Posted March 16, 2012 Hope the euro is wrong in the long range. Ouch: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 16, 2012 Share Posted March 16, 2012 what makes this day 10 euro any different from the other day 10 maps which showed massive blocking? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 16, 2012 Share Posted March 16, 2012 Another post that while not an impossibility....generally has very little grounding in reality...unless we are talking about the NYC airports / CPK...where a disconnect from climatological reality is very much the norm... what do you mean? their climo isn't real? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted March 16, 2012 Share Posted March 16, 2012 what do you mean? their climo isn't real? He means what you should know from four years of met school. Low temperatures in NYC are NOT representative of 98% of the metro area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 16, 2012 Share Posted March 16, 2012 He means what you should know from four years of met school. Low temperatures in NYC are NOT representative of 98% of the metro area. yes they are... this area is densely urbanized Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted March 16, 2012 Share Posted March 16, 2012 The sun is peaking through the clouds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted March 16, 2012 Share Posted March 16, 2012 yes they are... this area is densely urbanized Have you completely lost your mind? You live in Springfield. Your low temperatures can be 10 degrees colder than Newark Airport on a radiative night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 16, 2012 Share Posted March 16, 2012 Have you completely lost your mind? You live in Springfield. Your low temperatures can be 10 degrees colder than Newark Airport on a radiative night. i was talking about the metro area... even then, i'm barely outside it. the real difference in low temps occurs a few miles west of here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 16, 2012 Share Posted March 16, 2012 what makes this day 10 euro any different from the other day 10 maps which showed massive blocking? Nothing. Which is why I made this post in the banter thread. We just have to watch because lots of guidance is showing a developing block now for the same period. That's all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted March 16, 2012 Share Posted March 16, 2012 i was talking about the metro area... even then, i'm barely outside it. the real difference in low temps occurs a few miles west of here Springfield is WELL within the metro area... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted March 16, 2012 Author Share Posted March 16, 2012 GFS generally keeps the east coast ridging in the east through day 15. Even if a -NAO does develop (which the gfs shows) its not going to do squat (in terms of colder wx) with a +AO, and -PNA to go along with shortening wavelengths. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted March 16, 2012 Share Posted March 16, 2012 Just saying, IF the 12z ECMWF were to verify and we somehow got blocking towards the end of the month... Wouldn't it be ironic if we had a KU in October and another one in April? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted March 16, 2012 Share Posted March 16, 2012 Hope the euro is wrong in the long range. Ouch: Even if it were to verify, it would probably be brief, if you take the ECMWF verbatim. Look at how quickly the 850s are advancing eastward from SW of IL to NE of Chicago in one day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted March 16, 2012 Author Share Posted March 16, 2012 Just saying, IF the 12z ECMWF were to verify and we somehow got blocking towards the end of the month... Wouldn't it be ironic if we had a KU in October and another one in April? Just like you said, what the euro has would just be a temporary cold blast in late march, nothing more. The raging -PNA is about to give birth to another east coast ridge on that map. And as we get into April, we literally need EVERY factor to come together for snow, same with march. Enjoy the warmth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted March 17, 2012 Share Posted March 17, 2012 Just like you said, what the euro has would just be a temporary cold blast in late march, nothing more. The raging -PNA is about to give birth to another east coast ridge on that map. And as we get into April, we literally need EVERY factor to come together for snow, same with march. Enjoy the warmth Not "same with March". Really Mar 15-Apr 15. After Apr 15, there is literally no chance of snow. Before Mar 15, it's easier to get snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted March 17, 2012 Share Posted March 17, 2012 He means what you should know from four years of met school. Low temperatures in NYC are NOT representative of 98% of the metro area. huh? low temps in the spring for NYC most likely means all of LI and maybe eastern NJ are cool, thats a huge area dude. Edit: I mean low daytime highs in the spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted March 17, 2012 Share Posted March 17, 2012 huh? low temps in the spring for NYC most likely means all of LI and maybe eastern NJ are cool, thats a huge area dude. Edit: I mean low daytime highs in the spring. We're talking about nighttime lows. I think this might be a bit over your head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 17, 2012 Share Posted March 17, 2012 Euro monthlies are also cold for the start of April Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover76 Posted March 17, 2012 Share Posted March 17, 2012 Euro monthlies are also cold for the start of April What did they have for March? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 17, 2012 Share Posted March 17, 2012 Looks like an Omega Block signature on the Euro, not a classic -NAO Greenland block. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.