MJO812 Posted March 3, 2012 Share Posted March 3, 2012 Nam is still west with the Monday storm. It is so close to the area that it still has to be watched. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 3, 2012 Share Posted March 3, 2012 Rain's over here...can we hit 60 today??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted March 3, 2012 Share Posted March 3, 2012 I'm the last one to criticize Upton...but for them to forecast an afternoon temperature of 47 F on Sunday afternoon for the Long Island area with an 850 mb temp of -8 C and overcast skies / possible light precip....I find rather difficult. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 3, 2012 Share Posted March 3, 2012 What a difference between the euro and gfs in the long range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted March 3, 2012 Share Posted March 3, 2012 I'm still keeping an eye on that offshore system for Sunday morning...that might just clip eastern LI with a period of snow...the Upton "chance of showers" nonwithstanding. One thing interesting was that the 6z runs of the GFS and NAM were pretty similar to the 0z runs. 6z runs are notoriously suppressed...so maybe the slightest of hope there. The 6z GFS ensembles were unique for their remarkable similarity to both the operational and one another.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted March 3, 2012 Share Posted March 3, 2012 I'm still keeping an eye on that offshore system for Sunday morning...that might just clip eastern LI with a period of snow...the Upton "chance of showers" nonwithstanding. One thing interesting was that the 6z runs of the GFS and NAM were pretty similar to the 0z runs. 6z runs are notoriously suppressed...so maybe the slightest of hope there. The 6z GFS ensembles were unique for their remarkable similarity to both the operational and one another.... 9z SREF similar to 6z NAM and GFS...just barely clipping the area with measurable... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted March 3, 2012 Share Posted March 3, 2012 Any chance we see any sun today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted March 3, 2012 Share Posted March 3, 2012 I'm still keeping an eye on that offshore system for Sunday morning...that might just clip eastern LI with a period of snow...the Upton "chance of showers" nonwithstanding. One thing interesting was that the 6z runs of the GFS and NAM were pretty similar to the 0z runs. 6z runs are notoriously suppressed...so maybe the slightest of hope there. The 6z GFS ensembles were unique for their remarkable similarity to both the operational and one another.... 12z NAM tries to bring a second batch of precip close between hours 33 and 36...0.06 to Montauk, 0.10 to Block Island, 0.58 to Nantucket Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted March 3, 2012 Share Posted March 3, 2012 Any chance we see any sun today? Yeah i think in the next 2 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 3, 2012 Share Posted March 3, 2012 Nam is really close. A little more west will do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted March 3, 2012 Share Posted March 3, 2012 Nam is really close. A little more west will do it. I'm freaking out over this event, and expect something like 12/24/04 to happen again. Every NWS office is downplaying it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted March 3, 2012 Share Posted March 3, 2012 Yeah i think in the next 2 hours Awesome thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted March 3, 2012 Share Posted March 3, 2012 Nam is really close. A little more west will do it. Will do it for what? I'm on a mobile device so I can't check what it shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 3, 2012 Share Posted March 3, 2012 Will do it for what? I'm on a mobile device so I can't check what it shows. Models have snow for coastal NC and Virginia for tomorrow and Monday. La Nina ftw! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 3, 2012 Share Posted March 3, 2012 Gfs is also more west than previous runs. Interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 3, 2012 Share Posted March 3, 2012 Gfs is also more west than previous runs. Interesting. No chance for our area Anthony. This has a chance for NC/VA and the cape. Then the clipper on Monday again for Virginia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 3, 2012 Share Posted March 3, 2012 Models have snow for coastal NC and Virginia for tomorrow and Monday. La Nina ftw! A cutter followed by a suppressed storm..rinse and repeat... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 3, 2012 Share Posted March 3, 2012 A cutter followed by a suppressed storm..rinse and repeat... It's laughable now. Snow for the deep southeast in March during one of the warmest winters on record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 3, 2012 Share Posted March 3, 2012 Don't give up on it. A little more west and bam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 3, 2012 Share Posted March 3, 2012 12z Euro for next weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 3, 2012 Share Posted March 3, 2012 Latest RUC shows the coastal hitting I-95 fwiw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 3, 2012 Share Posted March 3, 2012 12z Euro for next weekend Funky snow maps. Synoptic output doesn't seem consistent with that at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 3, 2012 Share Posted March 3, 2012 Funky snow maps. Synoptic output doesn't seem consistent with that at all. The models are signaling a big trough in the east next weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted March 3, 2012 Share Posted March 3, 2012 Latest RUC shows the coastal hitting I-95 fwiw It misses us as well. We're only 24 hours out, the storm isn't tilted in the right way to move right up the coast, it's staying to our south just as the rest of the attempted coastal lows this winter did. Just when some of us want it to be spring so we can finally forget about this non-winter, even beyond its end, it still has to tease us with southern snows just one last time (at least I hope it's the last time)... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted March 3, 2012 Author Share Posted March 3, 2012 No suprise here that the gfs looks nothing like the euro. The jetstream is lifting north and the sun angle is becoming higher. I expect March to come in above to well above normal when all is said and done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted March 4, 2012 Share Posted March 4, 2012 No suprise here that the gfs looks nothing like the euro. The jetstream is lifting north and the sun angle is becoming higher. I expect March to come in above to well above normal when all is said and done. But the Euro hasn't backed down. I wouldn't go against its consistency. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted March 4, 2012 Share Posted March 4, 2012 At this point I will never bet against above normal temps unless we see fundamental shifts in the northern hemisphere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof09 Posted March 4, 2012 Share Posted March 4, 2012 At this point I will never bet against above normal temps unless we see fundamental shifts in the northern hemisphere. yea were gonna need some wholesale changes for that. to be honest i want above normal temps from now until next winter, bring on the warm weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted March 4, 2012 Share Posted March 4, 2012 Bring the torch, im done with summer, bring on winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted March 4, 2012 Share Posted March 4, 2012 Our next drop from the sky will not come until Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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