ag3 Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 That was a trials fantasy storm. It was only supported by the Canadien or something of that sort...a big yawn and obvious it had no chance in this winter of wall to wall FAIL I wouldn't completely dismiss a storm next week. Chances are low with the fast flow, but definetely not zero. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 I wouldn't completely dismiss a storm next week. Chances are low with the fast flow, but definetely not zero. Agree. Low potential but I wouldn't rule out a low popping off the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted March 2, 2012 Author Share Posted March 2, 2012 Let's hope it lasts. The euro only has a 2 day torch and then cutoff low hell. that is pure fantasy and likely won't happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 That was a trials fantasy storm. It was only supported by the Canadien or something of that sort...a big yawn and obvious it had no chance in this winter of wall to wall FAIL 1) i am clearly on record here as saying it had basically a zero chance, re: my reference the chance of it occuring being like the chance of the mets winning it all this year 2) Nothing could be as big as a fail as your dream team eagles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 that is pure fantasy and likely won't happen Trend all season is for storms to cutoff in the SW. March is the cutoff month, so I would not call it a "pure fantasy". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 Trend all season is for storms to cutoff in the SW. March is the cutoff month, so I would not call it a "pure fantasy". I'd actually argue there's a better chance for cut-offs to pinch off from the upper flow in a +NAO/AO regime. As we saw this winter, many cut-offs formed in the southern US. However, with the shortening wavelengths and poleward progression of the jet, these cut-offs could develop further north than we've seen in winter (i.e. the Midwest like the Euro depicts). Not saying it will happen, but the cut-off is a legitimate possibility . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted March 2, 2012 Author Share Posted March 2, 2012 Trend all season is for storms to cutoff in the SW. March is the cutoff month, so I would not call it a "pure fantasy". except that on the 12z euro the trough cutsoff over chicago and stalls out over the ohio valley. It wont be there on the 00z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 1) i am clearly on record here as saying it had basically a zero chance, re: my reference the chance of it occuring being like the chance of the mets winning it all this year 2) Nothing could be as big as a fail as your dream team eagles. if it's a basically zero chance, then why bring it up at all? Sure a meteor could land on A-ROID tomorrow, but I wouldnt count on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick05 Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 I'm sorry but what does a cutoff mean for our area?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted March 2, 2012 Author Share Posted March 2, 2012 if it's a basically zero chance, then why bring it up at all? it definitely had a chance, and it still does have a chance to give us alittle snow..that's what you do on a wx forum, you discuss about potential Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 if it's a basically zero chance, then why bring it up at all? Sure a meteor could land on A-ROID tomorrow, but I wouldnt count on it. Maybe you would feel better if I charged you for stuff that doesnt verify, like JB does for you. I bet you already renewed for next year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted March 2, 2012 Author Share Posted March 2, 2012 Maybe you would feel better if I charged you for stuff that doesnt verify, like JB does for you. I bet you already renewed for next year. wow, at accuweather he was ok..had some good stuff... but recently he has collapsed worse than the eagles and red sox combined Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 Maybe you would feel better if I charged you for stuff that doesnt verify, like JB does for you. I bet you already renewed for next year. I actually got a lifetime subscription. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 I'm sorry but what does a cutoff mean for our area?? usually cloudy, damp and cool with on and off precip, usually light. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof09 Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 usually cloudy, damp and cool with on and off precip, usually light. cut offs are what i dread the most its like seattle for like days on end and it just sucks. i would settle for a quick rainstorm over that sh*t anyday lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof09 Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 I actually got a lifetime subscription. ouchhhh lol.....i cancelled my subscription a couple years ago when i found this site. this site by far is better than alot of weather sites as far as insight into upcoming weather activities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 I actually got a lifetime subscription. If the NAO is negative and the PNA is positive we may get another 95-96. Now give me 20 dollars. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 ouchhhh lol.....i cancelled my subscription a couple years ago when i found this site. this site by far is better than alot of weather sites as far as insight into upcoming weather activities. Brian is hooked on JB. He has JB towels, place mats, its his screen saver, his background and his ring tone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SBUWX23 Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 guess no one cares to talk about the potential thunder we may see here tomorrow night with the warm front just to our south and what appears to be a decent amount of elevated CAPE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 One can argue the most exciting weather this month may occur on Saturday. guess no one cares to talk about the potential thunder we may see here tomorrow night with the warm front just to our south and what appears to be a decent amount of elevated CAPE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 guess no one cares to talk about the potential thunder we may see here tomorrow night with the warm front just to our south and what appears to be a decent amount of elevated CAPE. potential is only allowed to be discussed if Brian8675309 says it has a decent chance of verifying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 wow i step away from the board for 6 hours and all hell breaks loose! i love it. like reading a book. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SBUWX23 Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 I know your joking, but I actually believe you. We can never have any scientific discussion here without someone stepping in and saying something along the lines of, well its not snow so it doesnt matter or who cares. potential is only allowed to be discussed if Brian8675309 says it has a decent chance of verifying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 I know your joking, but I actually believe you. We can never have any scientific discussion here without someone stepping in and saying something along the lines of, well its not snow so it doesnt matter or who cares. Its even worse than only being allowed to talk about snow.....its "why even discuss it, if it wont verify", and "who cares if I get 3", it'll melt in 2 days". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 guess no one cares to talk about the potential thunder we may see here tomorrow night with the warm front just to our south and what appears to be a decent amount of elevated CAPE. Very true, looks more like a April event synopitcaly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 I know your joking, but I actually believe you. We can never have any scientific discussion here without someone stepping in and saying something along the lines of, well its not snow so it doesnt matter or who cares. As much as I love snow and would love for another March 1956, I will be the first one to say that I would rather see thunderstorms and heavy rain than crappy rain events like the past two days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Analog96 Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 cut offs are what i dread the most its like seattle for like days on end and it just sucks. i would settle for a quick rainstorm over that sh*t anyday lol Not really. A lot depends on where the low cuts off, how strong it is, how much moisture it has to work with, etc. Cutoffs can bring a long-duration snowstorm if they cut off SE of the area. They can also bring tons of rain if they have a tropical connection, like October 2005. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 Not really. A lot depends on where the low cuts off, how strong it is, how much moisture it has to work with, etc. Cutoffs can bring a long-duration snowstorm if they cut off SE of the area. They can also bring tons of rain if they have a tropical connection, like October 2005. With the exception of the snowicane, they rarely cut off SE of NYC. So usually we get rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 GGEM still shows the clipper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSuburbs Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 I don't think NE NJ is going to make it to 60 degrees on Saturday like Upton shows. The trend has been towards the warm front staying more to the south, with almost all of the storm activity on Saturday morning staying to the south, as well as the latest 0z GFS showing only lower 50s while previous models today had upper 50s to low 60s. Perhaps there may be a brief surge in temperatures on Saturday morning, but I would think that at least 50-55 degrees is more likely than the upper 50s and low 60s. At least there is actually a potential for some thunder with the rain on Friday night to make it more interesting than the recent cold rain... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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