nzucker Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Hey it's Al Roker's alma mater.. Maybe she was there around the same time? LOL I used to love watching Al Roker on NBC doing the weather when I was a kid, not sure if my mom knew he was from Oswego but she loved to watch him as well. "The College on the Lake" is a great place if you want to experience lake effect...I think they probably average like 130" snowfall per year. I think my mom was there for some pretty hefty years like 70-71, and she said they used to put up cables on the sides of the walkways because the winds would become so intense in arctic fronts that it was dangerous to walk around without support. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Congrats me under that little pink patch in ENY. LOL Now if only it was reality. or edit ..under that light blue 10-12" slightly under the pink. Will always ignores those of us on the western frontier.lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Nice run for many there. I don't think it makes me warning criteria here considering the long duration, but what a wintry couple of days this would be for most of the region. I like long duration snow events if they are over 6" and especially if its been a snow starved year. In more prolific years I think I crave the 12 hour snow bombs a lot more because 2-3" refreshers seem to be a dime a dozen. The snow bombs are still my favorite, but I do love a 36 hour snow that makes things feel very wintry and gives us near warning criteria or hopefully better. This storm has a very wintry appeal even if mid-level do try and warm...the sfc flow is really cold. Should be an interesting battle to watch between the high and the strong system to the west. The high is in almost a perfect spot to set up the combat zone over SNE. You guys are almost certainly safe from mixing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 28, 2012 Author Share Posted February 28, 2012 Storm looks nice on sat/radar out west. Upper Miss Valley will get hammered Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Will always ignores those of us on the western frontier.lol Well I was focusing on New England...you didn't end up in the New England jackpot on that run. You did plenty good though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 WEDNESDAY`S EVENT...MODEL GUIDANCE HERE APPEARS EXTREMELY CONSISTENT AND WITH LITTLE SPREAD IN THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN - THAT DOES NOT FAVOR SNOW FOR THE OKX CWA. BASICALLY LOOKING AT A WARM FRONT/WARM ADVECTION PATTERN AND WHILE PCPN STARTS AS SNOW...WARM NOSE ALOFT SUGGESTS A QUICK TRANSITION TO RAIN. IN ADDITION...MODEL SOUNDINGS SUGGEST LOSS OF ICE NUCLEI BY LATE AFTERNOON. ALSO...KEPT SFC TEMPS CLOSE TO MOS DEW POINTS WHICH RESULTS IN ABOVE FREEZING. THUS...HAVE TAILORED AMOUNTS BACK SIGNIFICANTLY WITH 3 INCHES IN ORANGE COUNTY. THESE AMOUNTS MAY STILL BE TOO HIGH...BUT WANT TO AVOID FORECAST FLIP-FLOP. WARM FRONT REMAINS SOUTH OF THE REGION WED NGT WITH WEAK CYCLOGENESIS TOWARD MORNING. THAT BEING SAID...IT SEEMS VERY UNLIKELY THAT ANY COLD COULD WORK IT`S WAY BACK IN. INLAND NAM SOUNDINGS...WHICH ARE SIGNIFICANTLY COLDER IN THE LOW LEVELS SUGGEST SOME ICE POTENTIAL. FOR NOW...HAVE JUST INCLUDED SOME MIX. ALSO DID INCLUDE FOG WITH THE LIGHT FLOW AND ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE. i know i read this earlier its a joke! they had 3-6" for all of southern ct and a hazardous weather outlook, and just because the 12z suite showed less snow they lowered the snow accumulations to ZERO pretty much said no snow.. This is almost as bad as last thursday night when they said ITS too warm to snow and even if it does it won't stick. Then they issued a winter weather advisory at 6am after the entire state of CT received 3-6" of snow. JUST HORRIBLE forecasting by OKX. it was obvious it was going to snow last week by this time thursday night and they blew it. now they are trying to blow it again. I'm not saying the NAM is going to happen just like it shows, but you can't just got out and say there is little model spread and they all say no snow, that is not true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Going to be a fun night of modeling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 28, 2012 Author Share Posted February 28, 2012 Will Ray get more than Kevin. That is all that really matters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Well I was focusing on New England...you didn't end up in the New England jackpot on that run. You did plenty good though. Really? I see the same powder blue over GC/North as ORH to Ray. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Will Ray get more than Kevin. That is all that really matters Easily Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobbieL241 Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 This will be an interesting event if BOS manages to hold onto all snow while areas outside the 495 belt will see a changeover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Will Ray get more than Kevin. That is all that really matters He probably will. I'd give Ray 2 to 1 odds favorite on beating Kevin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 28, 2012 Author Share Posted February 28, 2012 Matt Noyes has a widespread 3-6" from the 1st part (1-3 further south), hesitating on Thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 On phone..how was nam for tol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 28, 2012 Author Share Posted February 28, 2012 He probably will. I'd give Ray 2 to 1 odds favorite on beating Kevin. Odds of >5"? (to end his personal demon) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 If part one is suppressed like the NAM, you guys along the pike will most likely do great. That second system will have more cold air throughout the column and thus the warm punch that comes Wednesday should come into a colder thermal profile. Even if this thing is slightly south of the NAM's depiction, I-90 makes out, especially in elevated terrain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 28, 2012 Author Share Posted February 28, 2012 On phone..how was nam for tol Looks like 4" or so on the clown map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Our bet is coming down to the wire at midnight Wednesday night. Right now I'm feeling Ray can't get 5" before midnight so he'll win. Will Ray get more than Kevin. That is all that really matters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Looks like 4" or so on the clown map Yawn Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Odds of >5"? (to end his personal demon) That's a tough call...maybe 50/50 at the moment? Not sure...but it seems to be trending higher for that area. There's still a way to get screwed in this if the front end fizzle out too much and then round 2 ends up a bit too far north and they end up in a sucker hole...much less chance of it happening in this system than last one, but still a possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 On phone..how was nam for tol Solid 4-6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 If there was any confusion there I didn't apply to Cornell...I was saying how I might have/might not if I applied. I got into Lyndon/Plymouth/Oswego with some $ from each. Thanks though...just wanted to clear that up. As a Plymouth alum, I can vouch for Plymouth. It's a great program and the faculty and facilities are top notch. The others are good too. If you have any questions about the program please feel free to PM me. Deciding where to go to college/met school is not an easy choice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 A sincere good luck to most of you guys...our winter is over, but somebody might as well get it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 A sincere good luck to most of you guys...our winter is over, but somebody might as well get it. What about Ji's clipper? But thanks...we've been sucker punched so many times, so hopefully this one works out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 A sincere good luck to most of you guys...our winter is over, but somebody might as well get it. road trip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 What about Ji's clipper? But thanks...we've been sucker punched so many times, so hopefully this one works out. I am happy to see you guys get something, however limited; winter up there has been as sucky as down here (in proportion, of course). Hopefully we can all get a decent spring with some severe to enjoy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 28, 2012 Author Share Posted February 28, 2012 A sincere good luck to most of you guys...our winter is over, but somebody might as well get it. Just most? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 A sincere good luck to most of you guys...our winter is over, but somebody might as well get it. You'll get payback on us in Apr/May when we have 40s and DZ and you're 80F with sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hooralph Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 I am still waiting for this storm to stab me in the back when I am not looking... No, it will grab your ass then punch you in the face when you turn around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 28, 2012 Author Share Posted February 28, 2012 I am happy to see you guys get something, however limited; winter up there has been as sucky as down here (in proportion, of course). Hopefully we can all get a decent spring with some severe to enjoy. How has it been at your other house? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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