ChrisM Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Charlemont/B'East will get 30-50% more than whatever falls here due to the elevation and the E. Slope. You read me like a book, well done Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 I can already tell you where the screw zone will be...BOS, KGAY, KSNOWNH, KSOCKS, And KHUBB.. Pretty simple actually. Wash, rinse, and repeat. Thank God I'm leaving Thursday. We are just talking about solutions. Don't live and die by one run. If this run were right, Kevin gets his mini jackpot I talked about this morning. Goes along with his mini weenie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 euro looks very warm in boston..36C during the storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 euro looks very warm in boston..36C during the storm? Yes 36c would be extremely warm,,,mercuryish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Enjoy what you have thurs, Saturday is a train wreck It always was supposed to be. Snowpack will be wiped out even for you. This is winter's last blow. i think March might be the warmest on record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
correnjim1 Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 So when does my wsw get dropped? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
south of the pike Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Given that tomorrow is leap day, the snowfall records for the date are not too impressive: KBOS 1.3" 1968 KPVD 2.3" 1964 KORH 3.1" 1968 KBDL 0.6" 1948 I've got to believe those all have a great chance of being broken by midnight with the first phase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 So when does my wsw get dropped? 4pm update from Box... j/k You're still in the game until the evening model suites say otherwise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 I really wasn't impressed with #2 on the Euro...looks disorganized, qpf sparse and light even where it falls it's not too conducive to accumulations during the day Thursday on March 1st. It shows us what the road could be to a another futility situation. Weakening #1 and having #2 be anemic. #1 is still decent, but I'm just saying I hope that doesn't trend to even less, unless #2 can perform better. The euro is probably the worst outcome for BOS and what I didn't want. Heaviest sw and north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Euro precip shield is still very broken up over NH. Looks like light precip rates for the most part. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Phil..using the GFS in SNE is considered a no - no. We preach time and again not to use any GFS related products What you mean "we", Kimosabe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 I really wasn't impressed with #2 on the Euro...looks disorganized, qpf sparse and light even where it falls it's not too conducive to accumulations during the day Thursday on March 1st. It shows us what the road could be to a another futility situation. Weakening #1 and having #2 be anemic. #1 is still decent, but I'm just saying I hope that doesn't trend to even less, unless #2 can perform better. The first part gets so far removed from that H5 low in the lakes and weakens. I buy that to a point..it makes meteorological sense. Luckily there are things to help sustain frontogenesis and deformation to help keep precip going, but the source LLJ weakens and moves east from NJ. Part 2 will be better if the H5 low moves south. Nevermind QPF, if that moves underneath you and SNE, it will at least help flourish bands of snow over the area. Elevated areas should be plenty cold for that, if it were to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Yes 36c would be extremely warm,,,mercuryish you know what happened in DC this winter when 850 temps were -4 and it was 36 degrees? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 you know what happened in DC this winter when 850 temps were -4 and it was 36 degrees? Do you know the difference between C and F? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 For snowNH You're getting delayed at least an hour.... WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...MODERATE TO HIGH CONFIDENCE IN MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS IN PERIODS OF SNOW/MIXED PRECIPITATION. WE PROBABLY WILL ALSO SEE SOME LIFR CONDITIONS...BUT TIMING IS UNCERTAIN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Ji has a point in that Euro bl temps were way too toasty for ALL of SNE outside of elevated areas to my liking... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Ji has a point in that Euro bl temps were way too toasty for ALL of SNE outside of elevated areas to my liking... Again, that has to do with precip rates. I have a bad feeling that I can't help for our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Ji has a point in that Euro bl temps were way too toasty for ALL of SNE outside of elevated areas to my liking... .....nah, I won't touch that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 So, basically, 0-12" is a good call for here. GFS would be 1-3" here, while the nam was 10-12". Euro was maybe 3-6" so decent compromise I guess? Scott were the BL temps warm for the euro even out here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 It always was supposed to be. Snowpack will be wiped out even for you. This is winter's last blow. i think March might be the warmest on record. Yes, Its a blowtorch here as well, The only place that will survive is the mountains as there is plenty of snow to absorb what ever falls Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 So, basically, 0-12" is a good call for here. GFS would be 1-3" here, while the nam was 10-12". Euro was maybe 3-6" so decent compromise I guess? Scott were the BL temps warm for the euro even out here? Eh, I think euro temps would be fine for you. Maybe Thursday you get to 33 if we have skies brighten up. I wouldn't worry about temps for your area right now. My worry for BOS is a mini precip hole which would kill snow chances. That's been my concern in the last 48 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 severe wx outbreak MV; real big time spring push for all of the eastern Conus ...hinted on priors and hammered on this D8-9 Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Eh, I think euro temps would be fine for you. Maybe Thursday you get to 33 if we have skies brighten up. I wouldn't worry about temps for your area right now. My worry for BOS is a mini precip hole which would kill snow chances. That's been my concern in the last 48 hrs. There will be a screwzone, The question is where, Someone gets a sh it sandwhich between the 2 lows possibly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TrueBlue Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Yes, Its a blowtorch here as well, The only place that will survive is the mountains as there is plenty of snow to absorb what ever falls Sure sounds alot like what I heard at the begining of last week regarding last weekend. Ended up with the most snow I've seen since Turkey Day.............................................. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Eh, I think euro temps would be fine for you. Maybe Thursday you get to 33 if we have skies brighten up. I wouldn't worry about temps for your area right now. My worry for BOS is a mini precip hole which would kill snow chances. That's been my concern in the last 48 hrs. Ok, thanks. Good luck east of here. I would be fine with 4-5" although the gfs/ec didn't make me feel confident. I guess RGEM/NAM/SREF/GGEM all had 6+ here but that doesn't make me feel great as the EC probably was 3-5" here and never really ripped. I just hope the nam pulls off a miracle win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Euro looks like a good 2-4 kinda deal back here. Sort of a toaster bath NE of here though? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Interesting... the GGEM has the warmth too, but not until we get smoked one last time by a coastal storm on D5.5... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Euro looks like a good 2-4 kinda deal back here. Sort of a toaster bath NE of here though? 4-7 is a lock for CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Sure sounds alot like what I heard at the begining of last week regarding last weekend. Ended up with the most snow I've seen since Turkey Day.............................................. Last weeks primary low tracked up thru NY state and formed a secondary underneath us. This weeks tracks thru MI, We are going to get warm sectored Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 4-7 is a lock for CT. lol. Euro sort of sucks region wide. Weak rates, disjointed forcing, blah blah blah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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