Tropopause_Fold Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 nam soundings are cold...they even hold CHH as all snow through about 3AM...with >.6" falling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 0.60" and 0.80" LOL QPF fetish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 nam soundings are cold...they even hold CHH as all snow through about 3AM...with >.6" falling. Chh ftw? Tol FTL? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow Bow Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 wow, looking pretty much like a non event north and east of concord I'm still thinking 4-6, 4-8 is doable. I'm about 2 miles south east of CON Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Conversion is really easy in your head. If we are talking MM ...take 15 mm. You just multiply it by 4. Move the decimal point.... and voila you get .6 inches. The actual conversion is x .39 but hey close enough. What do 1.5 CM and 2CM equal? I'm in between the two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 GFS refuses to cooperate...looks a touch warmer than 06z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stash Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Looks like NAM brings sleet to about KALB (briefly) but gives them a good snowfall. Your area over to me and KSCH seem to remain all snow and a good deal of it. http://68.226.77.253/text/NAMSFC/NAM_Ksch.txt If anything the models may not be showing enough respect for the cold high yet. Lot's of times they pick up on that more in the last 24 hours. As it is they are showing it's effect, but maybe it will be even moreso. Kevin may do great yet. People in northern NH and the northern 2//3rds of Maine could end up getting mostly shut out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 GFS still is a strung out mess. It gives CT a good WAA thump but then breaks apart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobbieL241 Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 1st guess at snowfall totals from both waves. BDR: 1-3 HVN 2-4 GON: 3-5 HFD: 4-6 BDL: 4-6 ORH: 6-10 BOS: 5-7 PVD: 4-6 TAN: 2-4 CQX: 2-4 CON: 6-10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 GFS still is a strung out mess. It gives CT a good WAA thump but then breaks apart. Yeah it brings the WAA thump ESE...lol...it doesn't move it northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 The NAM P Type maps on wunderground have the snow/sleet line from moi to Peter to about Sturbridge (wnw to ese) at 42 hrs. By then a good chunk has fallen. nam soundings are cold...they even hold CHH as all snow through about 3AM...with >.6" falling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 gfs warmer than 6z down here, period of snow quickly to rain, precip looks pretty meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 wow the GFS is horrendous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 0.60" and 0.80" THx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Chh ftw? Tol FTL? haha...probably not in the end but that would be funny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Yeah it brings the WAA thump ESE...lol...it doesn't move it northeast. It ignites the precip once again late at night like 06z, but that's still not a great depiction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 GFS still is a strung out mess. It gives CT a good WAA thump but then breaks apart. With some of the disasters we've had this year it's hard to not be cautious even though the GFS is the outlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Well, Better hope the GFS is wrong, But i don't know if the Nam is right, It would be the 1st time....lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 With some of the disasters we've had this year it's hard to not be cautious even though the GFS is the outlier. Ryan and Kevin would probably be ok, but it's a toaster bath here..lol. I mean with that high there, I can see why it's doing it..I just hope it is wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 In that 42-48 hour period it's most perilous, but we only give up about .15" in qpf should it mix over then. We'd probably get PL in that time frame with the lighter rates especially. I see the NAM gives us close to .3" on Thursday and temps have crashed again then. Looks like NAM brings sleet to about KALB (briefly) but gives them a good snowfall. Your area over to me and KSCH seem to remain all snow and a good deal of it. http://68.226.77.253...FC/NAM_Ksch.txt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Agreed, maybe a dusting here, later it starts less snow will fall.........could see coatings up to 2 inches for the hills around Ridgefield east to Georgetown........Shelton those areas, quicker more snow, slower less. I have a feeling some in coastal ct will underestimate that warm punch from the sw. Kev may be gloating about his 4+" while you're 34F and raining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 But it's got the REGM and as of 0Z also the ECM ....if it was just the NAM yeah I'd toss it. Well, Better hope the GFS is wrong, But i don't know if the Nam is right, It would be the 1st time....lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 But it's got the REGM and as of 0Z also the ECM ....if it was just the NAM yeah I'd toss it. EURO/RGEM/NAM/UKMET vs. GFS Wonder which side wins? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 I have a feeling some in coastal ct will underestimate that warm punch from the sw. Kev may be gloating about his 4+" while you're 34F and raining. 34 would be generous, although the gfs is better for southern ct than the nam.........I would think a dusting over to rain would be a good call temps around 40 here, I hope the Nam has the right idea, gfs is a fairly boring outcome, although it does give the interior hills of ct a nice dump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 i feel like the GFS has looked identical run-to-run for like 5 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 EURO/RGEM/NAM/UKMET vs. GFS Wonder which side wins? the nam is significantly wetter than the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 I have a feeling some in coastal ct will underestimate that warm punch from the sw. Kev may be gloating about his 4+" while you're 34F and raining. Coastal Ct. is going to see little in the way of snow, methinks. If you set the over/under on Kevin at 4, I'm gonna take the under ATM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 southern vt does well it seems Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 LOL QPF fetish. A metric fetish no less. Conversion is really easy in your head. If we are talking MM ...take 15 mm. You just multiply it by 4. Move the decimal point.... and voila you get .6 inches. The actual conversion is x .39 but hey close enough. Thanks--I'll keep my sliderule handy. GFS is.......um.......interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 True, it has been consistent overall. Hopefully the other guidance isn't as ugly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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