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March 2nd-4th Winter Storm


Powerball

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There is a great place in Indian River to stay called Northwood Lodge. I haven't been there in several years now but it was remodeled in the mid-90s. I used to go there every year in the 90s-2004.

Wow just checked it out, looks AWESOME! The only thing is, current snow depth really starts decreasing as you hit Indian River (11" at IR, 19" Gaylord) and looks to be a tossup who gets more with the storm. May not decide til tomorrow morning.

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Wow just checked it out, looks AWESOME! The only thing is, current snow depth really starts decreasing as you hit Indian River (11" at IR, 19" Gaylord) and looks to be a tossup who gets more with the storm. May not decide til tomorrow morning.

Enjoy where ever you end up. This looks to be a big one for northern MI. Normally I would be right there with a storm like this (perfect timing for a weekend trip) but we have a big event tomorrow night (my kids are more important than snow).

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I'm thinking some High wind warning may be needed with this one for S/E Mi..especially as the Strong Showers move through or the C/F itself should have no problems producing strong winds..

Likely. Forecast for winds here up close to 30mph.

18z RGEM had a 972mb low over Lake Huron.

18_054_R1_north@america_I_4PAN_CLASSIC@012_036.jpg

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Enjoy where ever you end up. This looks to be a big one for northern MI. Normally I would be right there with a storm like this (perfect timing for a weekend trip) but we have a big event tomorrow night (my kids are more important than snow).

Thanks! if the NAM verifies it will be the biggest (synoptic) snowstorm the Gaylord area has seen in many years, and the biggest Ive ever experienced!

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just saw this from LOT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL

409 PM CST THU MAR 1 2012

ILZ003>006-008-010>012-020615-

WINNEBAGO-BOONE-MCHENRY-LAKE IL-OGLE-LEE-DE KALB-KANE-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCKFORD...BELVIDERE...WOODSTOCK...

WAUKEGAN...OREGON...DIXON...DEKALB...AURORA

409 PM CST THU MAR 1 2012

...A PERIOD OF ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL POSSIBLE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

A POTENT STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHEAST FROM THE MID

MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO SOUTHWESTERN MICHIGAN DURING THE DAY ON

FRIDAY. AS THIS OCCURS...PRECIPITATION WILL DEVELOP DURING THE

LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL

ILLINOIS. ALTHOUGH THE PRECIPITATION MAY INITIALLY BEGIN AS

RAIN...IT APPEARS THAT COLDER AIR WILL OVERSPREAD PORTIONS OF THE

AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON...ALLOWING THE RAIN TO CHANGE TO SNOW

BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. AS THIS TRANSITION TO SNOW OCCURS...THERE

COULD BE A PERIOD OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW ACROSS PORTIONS OF FAR

NORTHERN ILLINOIS LATE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY EVENING. DUE TO THE

POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY SNOW...THE SNOW COULD ACCUMULATE

QUICKLY...LEADING TO HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. HOWEVER...DUE TO

THE COMPLEXITY OF THE STORM SYSTEM...UNCERTAINTY REMAINS ON WHERE

THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL WILL OCCUR.

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Milwaukee

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI

851 PM CST THU MAR 1 2012

...INTENSE SNOWFALL EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA LATER TOMORROW

AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

.LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES FROM

SOUTHERN ILLINOIS FRIDAY AND INTO LOWER MICHIGAN BY FRIDAY

EVENING. WHILE SOME WARMER AIR WILL LINGER IN THE SOUTHEAST AT THE

ONSET OF THE PRECIPITATION...THE STRENGTHENING LOW WILL ALLOW ANY

RAIN IN THE SOUTHEAST TO MIX WITH AND CHANGE OVER TO SNOW BY 3 TO

4 PM ON FRIDAY. ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY WITH

LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. SOME OF THE MOST INTENSE

SNOWFALL...WITH RATES APPROACHING 2 INCHES PER HOUR FOR A

TIME...WOULD BE OCCURRING AROUND THE EVENING RUSH HOUR. THIS WILL

BE A WET HEAVY SNOW. THE MODEL TRACK OF THIS INTENSIFYING LOW

PRESSURE SYSTEM IS A CLASSIC TRACK FOR HEAVY SNOW IN SOUTHERN

WISCONSIN.

WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM TO 9 PM CST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN HAS ISSUED A

WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN

EFFECT FROM 3 PM TO 9 PM CST FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO

LONGER IN EFFECT.

* TIMING...RAIN AND A LIGHT MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW IS EXPECTED

FRIDAY MORNING. HEAVY SNOW SHOULD THEN DEVELOP BY MID AFTERNOON

AND CONTINUE THROUGH MID EVENING.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 8 INCHES

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 30 MPH

AND GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE NORTH...THEN NORTHWEST LATER FRIDAY

NIGHT.

* IMPACTS...DETERIORATING TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FROM

THE HEAVY SNOW. SNOW COVERED ROADS...AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES

ARE EXPECTED FOR THE EVENING RUSH HOUR. SOME THUNDER SNOW IS

ALSO POSSIBLE LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY FRIDAY EVENING

OVER THE SOUTHEAST...WHICH COULD LEAD TO 2 INCH AN HOUR SNOW

RATES.

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And we have a warning!!!! :wub:

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM TO 9 PM CST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN HAS ISSUED A

WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN

EFFECT FROM 3 PM TO 9 PM CST FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO

LONGER IN EFFECT.

* TIMING...RAIN AND A LIGHT MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW IS EXPECTED

FRIDAY MORNING. HEAVY SNOW SHOULD THEN DEVELOP BY MID AFTERNOON

AND CONTINUE THROUGH MID EVENING.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 8 INCHES

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 30 MPH

AND GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE NORTH...THEN NORTHWEST LATER FRIDAY

NIGHT.

* IMPACTS...DETERIORATING TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FROM

THE HEAVY SNOW. SNOW COVERED ROADS...AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES

ARE EXPECTED FOR THE EVENING RUSH HOUR. SOME THUNDER SNOW IS

ALSO POSSIBLE LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY FRIDAY EVENING

OVER THE SOUTHEAST...WHICH COULD LEAD TO 2 INCH AN HOUR SNOW

RATES.

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Chicago

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL

901 PM CST THU MAR 1 2012

...POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY SNOWFALL ACROSS NORTHERN ILLINOIS...

.A RAPIDLY DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN

ILLINOIS AND NORTHWESTERN INDIANA LATE FRIDAY. RAIN WILL

OVERSPREAD THE REGION EARLY IN THE DAY...AND TRANSITION TO A HEAVY

AND WET SNOW INTO THE AFTERNOON. SNOWFALL RATES MAY EXCEED AN INCH

PER HOUR FOR SOME LOCATIONS WITHIN THE WATCH AREA FOR A FEW

HOURS...BEFORE TAPERING OFF TO FLURRIES OVERNIGHT.

ILZ003>006-008-021115-

/O.NEW.KLOT.WS.A.0004.120302T2100Z-120303T0600Z/

WINNEBAGO-BOONE-MCHENRY-LAKE IL-OGLE-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCKFORD...BELVIDERE...WOODSTOCK...

WAUKEGAN...OREGON

901 PM CST THU MAR 1 2012

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH

FRIDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM

WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY

EVENING.

* TIMING...RAIN WILL TRANSITION OVER TO SNOW DURING THE AFTERNOON

HOURS ACROSS NORTHERN ILLINOIS AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO

THE EVENING HOURS...TAPERING OFF TO FLURRIES OVERNIGHT.

* ACCUMULATIONS...STORM TOTAL SNOW AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 6 INCHES

ARE POSSIBLE.

* HAZARDS...THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS LIKELY TO FALL FROM FRIDAY

AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS...WHEN SNOWFALL RATES OF

UP TO ONE INCH PER HOUR ARE POSSIBLE. ROADS WILL BECOME SNOW COVERED

AND DIFFICULT TO MAINTAIN IF THESE SNOWFALL RATES MATERIALIZE.

TRAVEL ACROSS FAR NORTHERN ILLINOIS WILL BECOME DIFFICULT AND

PERHAPS DANGEROUS.

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Do it. I absolutely would if I didn't have commitments tomorrow and Saturday. I would email my boss and say see yah Monday!! I would probably go to Boyne and do some skiing on fresh snow!!

Have to agree with Roy here. If you have never experienced such a storm i would do it. No it is not your backyard ( which nothing can come close to ) but still it is a experience you will enjoy alot and probably never forget atleast till one happens in your backyard.

Oh and congrats to our WI/IL and C/N MI peeps. Atleast someone in this region will have seen a respectable winter storm this winter. :) Gotta love seeing the models go a bit deeper/stronger with this storm vs the typical fade out. I suspect some places could need a blizzard warning?

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Chicago

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL

901 PM CST THU MAR 1 2012

...POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY SNOWFALL ACROSS NORTHERN ILLINOIS...

We have had a final trip planned up north with the sleds leaving tomorrow. The catch is our departure time from the South Loop after picking up the cousin's sled isn't until 2:45 p.m. or so. Our planned destination based on trail conditions after the Wednesday system has been Crivitz, WI. We were thinking we would be slowed by normal Friday traffic in both Chicago and Milwaukee. This storm is looking to really gum up the works.

Even if we had 6+ fall in Woodstock, trails would be starting from scratch, so I'm thinking head toward GRB either way . . . Looking forward to the riding and the snow chase!

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Oh and congrats to our WI/IL and C/N MI peeps. Atleast someone in this region will have seen a respectable winter storm this winter. :) Gotta love seeing the models go a bit deeper/stronger with this storm vs the typical fade out. I suspect some places could need a blizzard warning?

If this deepens the way it could potentially deepen, Blizzard Warnings are likely.

High wind warnings will also probably be needed in some areas too.

And yes, we've waited long enough (since November 30th in fact) for a decent, widespread winter storm somewhere in the country and we finally got it (outside Meteorological Winter no less, heh). That's a tad redeeming in a winter that was otherwise quite boring.

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If this deepens the way it could potentially deepen, Blizzard Warnings are likely.

High wind warnings will also probably be needed in some areas too.

And yes, we've waited long enough (since November 30th in fact) for a decent, widespread winter storm somewhere in the country and we finally got it (outside Meteorological Winter no less, heh). That's a tad redeeming in a winter that was otherwise quite boring.

Agreed. A number of the euro ensembles were similar to the NAM with the strength. So yeah the bombing out chances are pretty high with this thing. Wouldn't mind hearing Baro's thoughts on this? Track is terrible for anything exciting here but meh i am kinda use to it. I am just happy to see a real bomb in the area. Better late then never. :D

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