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Substantial tornado event, Tuesday 2/28 into Wednesday 2/29


SmokeEater

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Folks in Buffalo and potentially Lebanon should be in safe

areas now. Not something to mess around with.

Buffalo is a town of around 5000 people, very rural area. Lebanon is around 15000 a little more urbanized.

The state park I mentioned, is the county line east of buffalo, where it makes 2 90 degree turns. Probably upwards of 500 people in campers and tents, this could be bad.

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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO

1211 AM CST WED FEB 29 2012

MOC059-105-225-290645-

/O.CON.KSGF.TO.W.0014.000000T0000Z-120229T0645Z/

LACLEDE MO-WEBSTER MO-DALLAS MO-

1211 AM CST WED FEB 29 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1245 AM CST FOR SOUTHERN

DALLAS...NORTHERN WEBSTER AND WESTERN LACLEDE COUNTIES...

AT 1210 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO

INDICATE A TORNADO ON THE GROUND 2 MILES SOUTHEAST OF

BUFFALO...MOVING EAST AT 65 MPH AND HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING

TORNADOES.

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:EDIT: Crap the image came out like garbage... here is the link http://beta.wxcaster...&STATIONID=kict

Better cooling aloft sneaks in throughout the afternoon, good speed and directional shear, but shallow moisture and meager instability have me questioning the risk up on the "northern" play of this system. I've liked southeast KS into SC NE all along but haven't really seen anything to make me want to jump at this one.

Well my target essentially verified today... I have liked the triple point since the beginning of this system and highlighted the areas from SC NE into E KS as my "zone". From a forecasting stand point it was a success (I did expect a couple tornadoes) but from a human standpoint I wish it busted due to the mass destruction in Harveyville etc. Bittersweet tonight.

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Buffalo is a town of around 5000 people, very rural area. Lebanon is around 15000 a little more urbanized.

The state park I mentioned, is the county line east of buffalo, where it makes 2 90 degree turns. Probably upwards of 500 people in campers and tents, this could be bad.

Sent from my iPad HD

It's on the Dallas/Laclede county line ENE of Windyville according to Google Maps

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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO

1216 AM CST WED FEB 29 2012

MOC059-105-290645-

/O.CON.KSGF.TO.W.0014.000000T0000Z-120229T0645Z/

LACLEDE MO-DALLAS MO-

1216 AM CST WED FEB 29 2012

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1245 AM CST FOR SOUTHERN

DALLAS AND WESTERN LACLEDE COUNTIES...

AT 1214 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING

A CONFIRMED TORNADO NEAR LONG LANE...OR 9 MILES EAST OF BUFFALO...

MOVING EAST AT 65 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE BENNETT SPRINGS...BUFFALO...CHARITY...

CONWAY...LEBANON...LONG LANE...MARCH...MORGAN...PHILLIPSBURG AND

WINDYVILLE.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BENNETT SPRING STATE PARK.

INTERSTATE 44 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 109 AND 132 WILL ALSO BE IMPACTED

BY THIS TORNADO.

IN ADDITION TO A TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE

DAMAGING HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE...AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AT 1205 AM...HOMES WERE REPORTED DAMAGED SOUTHWEST OF BUFFALO.

HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OBSCURE THIS TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW. IF YOU WAIT

TO SEE OR HEAR IT COMING...IT MAY BE TOO LATE TO GET TO A SAFE PLACE.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 AM CST WEDNESDAY MORNING

FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI.

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Updated Correlation Coefficient image...blues are debris (non-meteorological echoes)...and except in SE corner...

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO

1216 AM CST WED FEB 29 2012

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON

.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.

..REMARKS..

1205 AM TSTM WND DMG 2 SW BUFFALO 37.62N 93.12W

02/29/2012 DALLAS MO EMERGENCY MNGR

HOUSES DESTROYED AND MAJOR DAMAGE JUST SW OF BUFFALO.

LIKELY A TORNADO

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