strongwxnc Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 What are thoughts on this line breaking over the mountain into the foothills of NC later this evening? Great disco folks. Rough day for a lot of families... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 multiple vortices in the TOR warned storm south of Knoxville. Sevierville andPigeon Forge, TN in the path Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 multiple vortices in the TOR warned storm south of Knoxville. Sevierville andPigeon Forge, TN in the path TORNADO WARNING TNC009-105-123-155-010100- /O.NEW.KMRX.TO.W.0006.120301T0020Z-120301T0100Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN 720 PM EST WED FEB 29 2012 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MORRISTOWN HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... BLOUNT COUNTY IN TENNESSEE... SOUTHEASTERN LOUDON COUNTY IN TENNESSEE... NORTH CENTRAL MONROE COUNTY IN TENNESSEE... SEVIER COUNTY IN TENNESSEE... * UNTIL 800 PM EST * AT 715 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LOUDON...AND MOVING EAST AT 75 MPH. * THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR... MARYVILLE...EAGLETON VILLAGE AND ALCOA AROUND 730 PM EST. PIGEON FORGE AND GATLINBURG AROUND 750 PM EST. OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS DANGEROUS STORM INCLUDE CLOVER HILL...WALLAND...WILDWOOD...TOWNSEND...WEARS VALLEY...HARRISBURG AND PITTMAN CENTER. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 Also have my eye on a cell near Macon, MS. Will be pushing into AL soon. No warnings at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 What are thoughts on this line breaking over the mountain into the foothills of NC later this evening? Great disco folks. Rough day for a lot of families... GSP update: .NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/... AS OF 645 PM...BROAD SW FLOW AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT ACROSS WRN TN IS BRINGING LOWER 60S DEWPOINTS INTO NE GA AND THE WRN CAROLINAS THIS EVENING. WITH SFC BASED INSTABILITY AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR VALUES RISING...A TORNADO WATCH IS NOW IN PLACE ACROSS THE W/SW PARTS OF THE CWFA. THE LATEST MESOSCALE MODELS BRING THE ERN TN CONVECTION EWD ACROSS THE NC MOUNTAINS THROUGH 03Z...AND STEADILY WEAKEN IT AS IT MOVES EAST. MEANWHILE STRONG CONVECTION ACROSS NRN AL THIS EVENING WILL LIKELY MAKE A RUN TOWARD THE BASE OF THE SRN APPALACHIANS...NE GA...AND THE WESTERN UPSTATE OF SC. THIS IS WHERE THE HIGHER SEVERE OR TORNADO THREAT COULD DEVELOP LATE THIS EVENING. A SECONDARY LINE COULD ALSO DEVELOP INTO THE MTNS AGAIN ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COLD FRONT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 multiple vortices in the TOR warned storm south of Knoxville. Sevierville andPigeon Forge, TN in the path Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 Starting to here thunder here in Weaverville. Keeping a eye on that storm in E TN. Hope the Mnts do the usual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 That storm has some serious rotation going on. Amazing considering the terrain its passing thru. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 Seeing a few flashes of to the west... 67 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Calderon Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 Gatlinburg may have a serious problem shortly if the mountains don't work their "magic." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN 747 PM EST WED FEB 29 2012 TNC009-155-010100- /O.CON.KMRX.TO.W.0006.000000T0000Z-120301T0100Z/ SEVIER TN-BLOUNT TN- 747 PM EST WED FEB 29 2012 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EST FOR BLOUNT AND SEVIER COUNTIES... AT 743 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR HAPPY VALLEY...OR 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MARYVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 70 MPH. THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... PIGEON FORGE AND SEVIERVILLE AROUND 755 PM EST. GATLINBURG AROUND 800 PM EST. OTHER LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE WEARS VALLEY AND ELKMONT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 Gatlinburg may have a serious problem shortly if the mountains don't work their "magic." Well defined inflow notch on the base scan, but the meso is definitely more well defined above the lowest tilt. That's a stout updraft though, golf ball sized hail reported with that storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 Mnts doing there job. Severe Thunderstorm Warning SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NCC021-087-115-173-010200- /O.NEW.KGSP.SV.W.0008.120301T0102Z-120301T0200Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 802 PM EST WED FEB 29 2012 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... BUNCOMBE COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA... NORTHERN HAYWOOD COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA... MADISON COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA... NORTHEASTERN SWAIN COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA... * UNTIL 900 PM EST * AT 757 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF NEWFOUND GAP...OR 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GATLINBURG...MOVING EAST AT 65 MPH. * OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO WATERVILLE...COVE CREEK...LUCK...SPRING CREEK...HOT SPRINGS... CANTO...WALNUT...LEICESTER...WHITEROCK...MARSHALL...I-26 AT I-40... WOODFIN...UNC ASHEVILLE...DOWNTOWN ASHEVILLE...WEAVERVILLE... BILTMORE FOREST...MARS HILL...ASHEVILLE MALL...FAUST... BARNARDSVILLE...FAIRVIEW...SWANNANOA...MONTREAT AND BLACK MOUNTAIN PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PEOPLE IN THE PATH OF THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM SHOULD BE ALERT FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN CAN OCCUR WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM. SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS UNTIL THE STORM PASSES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 sorry if this already has ben posted but 2 fatalities in TN now too 0354 PM TSTM WND DMG 8 NE SMITHVILLE 36.04N 85.72W 02/29/2012 DE KALB TN EMERGENCY MNGR *** 1 FATAL *** ROOF DAMAGE WITH NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ALONG HOLIDAY HAVEN RD. ONE FATALITY REPORTED. POSSIBLE TORNADO. 0434 PM TSTM WND DMG 11 N CROSSVILLE 36.10N 85.07W 02/29/2012 CUMBERLAND TN EMERGENCY MNGR *** 1 FATAL *** CUMBERLAND COUNTY EMA REPORTED ONE FATALITY AND AN UNKNOWN NUMBER OF INJURIES IN THE RINNIE COMMUNITY. POSSIBLE TORNADO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 That's gonna be one heck of a storm on the blue ridge mountains range this evening... it's currently 5 miles north of Leconte Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 Vivid lightning filling the sky in the distance. Storm really seems to be weakening though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 Mnts doing there job. Yep, ate that storm alive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0191 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0701 PM CST WED FEB 29 2012 AREAS AFFECTED...FAR NORTHEAST LA/CENTRAL MS CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 51... VALID 010101Z - 010200Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 51 CONTINUES. SEVERE TSTM WATCH 51 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 03Z...BUT THE SEVERE THREAT SHOULD REMAIN LIMITED/ISOLATED THE REMAINDER OF THE EVENING. WITHIN A BAND OF PRE-FRONTAL CONFLUENCE...TSTMS PERSIST IN A ENE-WSW ORIENTED CORRIDOR MAINLY ACROSS EAST-CENTRAL MS. WANING LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND A MODEST POST-SUNSET COOLING OF AN OTHERWISE RELATIVELY MOIST /LOWER 60S F SURFACE DEWPOINTS/ BOUNDARY LAYER...IN ADDITION TO A WARM/POOR LAPSE RATE LAYER BETWEEN 800-600 MB PER THE 00Z JACKSON OBSERVED SOUNDING...SHOULD RESULT IN A TEMPERED SEVERE THREAT THE REMAINDER OF THE EVENING. IN SPITE OF THESE THERMODYNAMIC TRENDS...ROBUST VERTICAL SHEAR DOES PERSIST SUCH THAT A DAMAGING WIND/BRIEF TORNADO THREAT REMAINS BUT ON AN INCREASINGLY LIMITED BASIS. Everything seems to be running out of steam the further east it travels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 Everything seems to be running out of steam the further east it travels. Yeah it is out running the better forcing to the North. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadotony Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 155 NWUS54 KOHX 010116 LSROHX PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN 716 PM CST WED FEB 29 2012 .TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON .DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE. ..REMARKS.. 0434 PM TSTM WND DMG 11 N CROSSVILLE 36.10N 85.07W 02/29/2012 CUMBERLAND TN EMERGENCY MNGR *** 2 FATAL *** CUMBERLAND COUNTY EMA REPORTED TWO FATALITIES AND AN UNKNOWN NUMBER OF INJURIES IN THE RINNIE COMMUNITY. POSSIBLE TORNADO. SHAMBURGER Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckeye05 Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 Rinnie sounds like it got really hard. 3 deaths reported now, and at least 50 homes destroyed. Geez. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrips27 Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 924 PM EST WED FEB 29 2012 .UPDATE...IT IS ALL ABOUT TIMING THIS TIME OF YEAR FOR SEVERE STORMS AND THUS FAR THE INSTABILITY AND SHEAR HAVE BEEN OUT OF PHASE. THIS HAS RESULTED IN LINE OF SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WITH A CONSIDERABLE WEAKENING TREND AS IT SAGS SOUTH INTO THE ATLANTA METRO. STILL HAVE A SECOND WAVE OF DIFFERENTIAL PVA TO MOVE ACROSS DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WHICH THE WRF HAS BEEN KEYING ON FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT TONIGHT. FEEL BASED ON UPSTREAM CONVECTION WHICH HAS ALSO BEEN WEAK THAT CHANCES FOR ANY STRONG OR SEVERE STORMS IS LIMITED. WILL BE UPDATING FORECAST AND GRAPHICAST TO TONE DOWN WORDING SIGNIFICANTLY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dwagner88 Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 The storms actually split around my area. Didn't even see rain here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Calderon Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 Redevelopment has started along the surface front. Oh, and this on the Plateau: THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... WESTERN FENTRESS COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE... CENTRAL OVERTON COUNTY IN MIDDLE TENNESSEE... * UNTIL 945 PM CST * AT 929 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR LIVINGSTON...AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. * THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF CENTRAL OVERTON AND WESTERN FENTRESS COUNTIES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthernNJ Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 Scattered convection does have some rotation in a few areas. Particularly on the KY/TN state line. May need another warning shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthernNJ Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 Scattered convection does have some rotation in a few areas. Particularly on the KY/TN state line. May need another warning shortly. Morristown does issue one for this storm. Nice-looking polygon as it is narrow and long indicative of a small, fast-moving storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thrasher Fan Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 Morristown does issue one for this storm. Nice-looking polygon as it is narrow and long indicative of a small, fast-moving storm. You mean it doesn't cover 100 square miles and 11 counties? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthernNJ Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 You mean it doesn't cover 100 square miles and 11 counties? They have had a rough go in that department lately, but this was a good polygon for any office. They seemed to get the storm motion and vector very well on this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1234snow Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 I under a Tornado Warning from one of the storms on the front here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthernNJ Posted March 1, 2012 Share Posted March 1, 2012 Potential danger for the city of Bristol if the developing circulation to the west is able to establish itself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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