CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 It was a tick north from 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Another weenie run here. 36 straight hours of snow at varying intensity. With 1" QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Will there even be a part 2 on the GFS? Look at that warm push. Part two is still there.. just further north. Wow is the GFS warm though... its close up here to changing. Several more days for this to go just about anywhere, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Another weenie run here. 36 straight hours of snow at varying intensity. With 1" QPF. I really can't see how you lose on any of these model runs... take home the jackpot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Don't have time to look at the whole atmosphere, but looking at the surface and just specifically looking at the 540 line. There is pretty decent agreement between the GFS/NAM/Euro/CMC between the position of the 540 line. Only difference I noticed was the the Euro was just a tad colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Nice... setting the bar high. I usually take the other approach and go low and hope to be surprised. Right now I'm thinking 3-5" is possible up here. I think this is not a threader....been on models for a while...swfe plus coastal is good up my way....good hp...maybe real good ratios...frontigen sign... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Bouchard riding seasonal trend. Can't say I blame him.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 it's funny how difficult it is to get these models to agree on a system that might actually succeed in producing a wintery result, yet ...you can bet your red-beatin' ass they agree that whatever happens will be completely obliterated by the system next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Bouchard riding seasonal trend. Can't say I blame him.. I feel like Ch7 is the biggest GFS hugger out there. Could be right, but I notice this quite often when I see their maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Another weenie run here. 36 straight hours of snow at varying intensity. With 1" QPF. That's a nice run with 950-850 winds banking up against the mtns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 GFS gets the line pretty far north and less precip. Almost looks like 3 smaller parcels Funky looking, though. Very different set up, but I have imagings of a similar outcome to the January system that kept miracularly shooting northward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Hoping for a colder trend at 00z...really close here, but could end up on the warmer side. All SNE mets went 1-3" for first call Wed/Thu Combined...so we'll see I guess. Noyes was way different and basically said 4+ possible both Wednesday and Thursday...got to love him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Bouchard riding seasonal trend. Can't say I blame him.. All 3 Boston mets are. All mentioned 1-3" and less south with possibility of more if it stayed snow longer. (or less). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 That's a nice run with 950-850 winds banking up against the mtns. Center Harbor low elevation jackpot? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Bouchard riding seasonal trend. Can't say I blame him.. We need a good thump, because it may be tough to do much with 33F temps and 1-2SM vis snow. It's possible we may have enough of a CF to help back winds a bit and drop the temp a degree or two. That and a good omega thump would be nice, but I still am pretty blah about this for our area, outside of maybe an inch or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Center Harbor low elevation jackpot? Certainly no downslope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 All 3 Boston mets are. All mentioned 1-3" and less south with possibility of more if it stayed snow longer. (or less). The proverbial hedge. There are too many flies in the ointment. Kevin will meltdown by 9AM Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 I really like these SWFE events, Usually make out well in these ala 2008 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 27, 2012 Author Share Posted February 27, 2012 I feel like Ch7 is the biggest GFS hugger out there. Could be right, but I notice this quite often when I see their maps. Good gamble for them this year (for BOS at least) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 The proverbial hedge. There are too many flies in the ointment. Kevin will meltdown by 9AM Wednesday. nah he really likes where he's sitting for this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 nah he really likes where he's sitting for this one Kevin would have to be banned if the map I just posted verified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Feeling a little more confident although I'm not going all in until I see 90% snow probs at this time tomorrow. lol MAZ003-272100- EASTERN FRANKLIN MA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENFIELD...LEVERETT...NORTHFIELD... ORANGE...WHATELY 116 PM EST MON FEB 27 2012 WEDNESDAY...SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SNOW 70 PERCENT. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. CHANCE OF SNOW 80 PERCENT. .THURSDAY...SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. CHANCE OF SNOW 70 PERCENT. .THURSDAY NIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 20. CHANCE OF SNOW 60 PERCENT. We should be good for some Wintery fun, Skied a few runs with Ginxxx, TB, and Mike (pro lurker) this afternoon. Good guys and good skiers. More snow will be good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 I like the Euro being coldest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Kevin would have to be banned if the map I just posted verified. LOL, I think you are sitting pretty here to be honest. Maybe I eat these words in 2 days, but the overall setup favors you. 850 WAA, 700 frontogenesis/deformation, and H5 low position are all good for your area and into Maine. Even down this way, north of I-90 and maybe even NE MA might be ok with them being closer to those features that I mentioned. The ORH hills may also get a boost from deep layer erly flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Hopefully we can verify the EC cold with the nam moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 **** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 27, 2012 Author Share Posted February 27, 2012 Kevin would have to be banned if the map I just posted verified. You can tell your friends at the NAM that those clown maps have no affect on me... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 27, 2012 Author Share Posted February 27, 2012 I like the Euro being coldest. Come to Wachusett on thursday for some powder skiing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 **** There's nothing like heavy snow to slow greenhouse construction. You might want to move to Boca Raton. Imagine the plant collection you could cultivate there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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