Damage In Tolland Posted February 25, 2012 Share Posted February 25, 2012 Classic clip. Well we're heading to NYC by late morning....24 hours late thanks to the bug that both my wife and I contracted but thankfully is almost gone now. Starting to feel the 3/1 event. The modeling reminds me of the big March event in 1996. At least we won't be 57 the day before. I'm liking it. Glad to hear you're feeling better..That norovirus is attacking many peeps this year. Just imagine Scooter looking down embarassed....telling you to look away.he's the elephant man..he's hideous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 25, 2012 Author Share Posted February 25, 2012 box seems to thik winter may be back in the cards....the february futility snow records may be falling by the wayside...i kinda hope it all waits til March 1 for bitching rights lol that snow that i saw and walked in down in se ct yesterday was like cement! gross! bring on the deep powder :) Any snow is good snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 25, 2012 Share Posted February 25, 2012 Glad to hear you're feeling better..That norovirus is attacking many peeps this year. Just imagine Scooter looking down embarassed....telling you to look away.he's the elephant man..he's hideous I don't know if I should laugh or be offended. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 25, 2012 Share Posted February 25, 2012 I don't know if I should laugh or be offended. I am not an animal, I am a man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 25, 2012 Author Share Posted February 25, 2012 As long as everyone remembers that March is not a winter month...yeah, that's it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 25, 2012 Share Posted February 25, 2012 As long as everyone remembers that March is not a winter month...yeah, that's it... March is a weird month. You can throw out a lot of those MJO analog stuff since you can have fluky cutoffs that lead to paste bombs. I guess that's the fun part about it. Starting to see signs of that on the op runs too with some high ampltiude ridging out west and lows in the east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 25, 2012 Share Posted February 25, 2012 As long as everyone remembers that March is not a winter month...yeah, that's it... People keep saying 3/1...but the models have this event on 2/29 so it would ruin everyones Feb shut out. At least part 1. Part 2 may be on 3/1 on the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 25, 2012 Share Posted February 25, 2012 Don Suterland has one of 50+ in all of SNE in the Feb 28-March 1 timeframe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 25, 2012 Share Posted February 25, 2012 Don Suterland has one of 50+ in all of SNE in the Feb 28-March 1 timeframe Wat arr u sahyin? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 25, 2012 Share Posted February 25, 2012 Don Suterland has one of 50+ in all of SNE in the Feb 28-March 1 timeframe Feb 28 could be a westerly wind torch day where maybe some of the valleys mae a run at 50. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 25, 2012 Share Posted February 25, 2012 Wat arr u sahyin? LOL>.my typing skills are hideous.. He has one day of 50 degrees + in the Feb 28-March 1 timeframe for SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 25, 2012 Share Posted February 25, 2012 March is now a spring month. Not sure why anyone is even looking at this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 25, 2012 Share Posted February 25, 2012 LOL>.my typing skills are hideous.. He has one day of 50 degrees + in the Feb 28-March 1 timeframe for SNE Yeah like Will said...westerly winds and 534 thicknesses mean 50F temps possibly in lower spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 25, 2012 Share Posted February 25, 2012 BOX must be riding the euro. They have all snow/sleet in my forecast and don't even mention rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 25, 2012 Share Posted February 25, 2012 March is now a spring month. Not sure why anyone is even looking at this. That's right. It can't snow in March anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 25, 2012 Share Posted February 25, 2012 BOX must be riding the euro. They have all snow/sleet in my forecast and don't even mention rain. They did mention they were going a Euro/GFS compromise which would probably be snow and sleet here with very little rain (if any). But they also mentioned all the caveatsthat so much can change at this time frame...I am not even getting any expectations for anything yet. If we still have it on Sunday night, then I will probably start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 25, 2012 Share Posted February 25, 2012 WED THRU THU...THIS MAY TURN OUT TO BE A FAIRLY COMPLICATED SCENARIO WITH QUASISTATIONARY FRONT NEAR SOUTH COAST OF NEW ENGLAND AND POSSIBLY A COUPLE OF SFC LOW CENTERS MOVING ALONG IT. ECMWF HAS A COLDER THERMAL PROFILE THAN THE GFS. BLENDED THICKNESSES BETWEEN THE GFS AND ECMWF MODELS WITH TILT TOWARD THE MORE CONSISTENT ECMWF. THIS COULD POTENTIALLY BE A CHALLENGING PTYPE SCENARIO WITH SNOW NORTH AND RAIN SOUTH WITH MIXED IN BETWEEN. MOST OF AREA...HOWEVER...MAY CHANGE TO SNOW BY LATE THU OR THU NIGHT BEFORE ENDING WITH SFC LOW PROBABLY STRENGTHENING SE OF ACK. HAVE ALSO BLENDED TIMING BETWEEN THE 00Z ECMWF AND THE 00Z GFS. THIS EVENT IS FAR ENOUGH OUT WITH CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY WITH REGARD TO QPF...THERMAL PROFILES...AND TIMING. THE LARGE SCALE TRENDS WOULD POINT TO AT LEAST SOME WINTRY PRECIPITATION. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted February 25, 2012 Share Posted February 25, 2012 Lol...Euro has a long duration event that nets about 12-15" for most of SNE save the south coast. When does it have it starting will? I leave for Myrtle beach 3/1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 25, 2012 Share Posted February 25, 2012 12z gfs is still nothing like the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 25, 2012 Share Posted February 25, 2012 12z gfs is still nothing like the euro. That's a disaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 25, 2012 Share Posted February 25, 2012 That's a disaster. Rain well into Vermont. Actually, not really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 25, 2012 Share Posted February 25, 2012 That's a disaster. That was a lot worse than the 06z run....that kind of looked like 00z, except even worse. The high is much worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 25, 2012 Share Posted February 25, 2012 GFS lovers better ride the Euro on this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 25, 2012 Share Posted February 25, 2012 GFS lovers better ride the Euro on this Yeah it worked out last time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted February 25, 2012 Share Posted February 25, 2012 12Z GFS still too far north...mostly rain. When does it have it starting will? I leave for Myrtle beach 3/1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 25, 2012 Share Posted February 25, 2012 Yeah it worked out last time. Euro beat the GFS once it got rid of the storm cutting over BUF idea..GFS was a non event with a light shower and fropa and no winds. GFS did not beat the Euro on yesterdays snow and storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 25, 2012 Share Posted February 25, 2012 Doesn't develop part 2 like the euro either. It's really just a 6-12 hour period of rain on the gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 25, 2012 Share Posted February 25, 2012 Euro beat the GFS once it got rid of the storm cutting over BUF idea..GFS was a non event with a light shower and fropa and no winds. GFS did not beat the Euro on yesterdays snow and storm Really? What planet are you on. 12z euro 24 hrs out was awful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 25, 2012 Share Posted February 25, 2012 Really? What planet are you on. 12z euro 24 hrs out was awful. Apes. It was too light on qpf..but had everything generally correct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 25, 2012 Share Posted February 25, 2012 Apes. It was too light on qpf..but had everything generally correct In all honesty the euro had the right idea, but the GFS was kind of a compromise. It was definitely to wet across my area, but the euro virtually had no snow for CT. It was not a great moment for the euro, but I still think it's an overall better model. But once again, it's guidance and you have to sort of blend everything together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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