dryslot Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 How do you get to the zfp? I only know about the P+C. Mass version, All the discussions are in there http://www.nws.noaa.gov/view/states.php?state=ma&map=on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Looks like the 850 line crashes south and its cold enough for snow N of the pike in SNE too? This run verbatim is awesome, haha. HUGE run here lol. Probably a good deal of snow for the ORH hills and northern Mass. QPF jackpot for PSF-ORH-FIT and up for EEN. Pretty run, too bad its the 18z NAM lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 That's some nice frontogenesis across CNE on the NAM around 66hr. -12C in C NH and 0C at the MA/CT border. What a weenie band that would be. Lots of CNE and even NNE would do well from that. Was it the NAM would sniffed out last weeks secondary? Wasn't follwing too closely while in FL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Awesome. Where can I take some basic met classes so I can understand what the heck you guys are talking about? Its killing me. I'm trying though. Its like learning a new language. I knew that ivy league piece of paper they gave me was worthless. All I know is that I am a huge . Sorry to bother you all. And a huge thanks. You guys are all fantastic. Way cooler than oral surgery by far. You can learn a lot on this site, plenty of learning topics. And Scooter is always happy to help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Wednesday Night...Snow. Heavy snow accumulation. Lows in the lower 20s. Light and variable winds. Chance of snow 80 percent. Thursday...Snow. Additional heavy snow accumulation. Highs in the lower 30s. Chance of snow 90 percent. Me too, but it still feels like an eternity until it begins with the way this winter has been What does heavy snow accumulation stand for in numerical terms? Any idea, I'd think like 3-5 or maybe 4-8 I've also thought light accum means 2 inches or so, moderate means 4 inches or so and heavy means 6+. What this means is that you guys are going to have a good long duration overrunning event perhaps a bit similar in nature to dec 19-21 2008 with a burst of good snows on the 19th following by a day of low level moisture light snow and then another burst. That left 2 and a half ft. You probably wont' get that but ya'll are good for a foot or more probably. What a time for me to be going to Asia...aye yi yi. gotta pay the bills though...I'll be rooting you on and planning lots of skype/cam time with home. I would note that the zones have gotten better from last night to this morning to this afternoon. Big snow coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Too bad...looks like a solid 8-12" in the N. Berks, S. greens, and Monads with 6-10" for much of NNE and the ORH hills. Way more then that if you believe the weenie snowfall maps. 14-18" for the state of NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 That's some nice frontogenesis across CNE on the NAM around 66hr. -12C in C NH and 0C at the MA/CT border. What a weenie band that would be. We will have no mixing concerns, Just a pretty good thump if it comes to fruition, Should be decent ratios as well unlike the last storm.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Lol what a weenie run for NH, SW ME, and NE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Too bad...looks like a solid 8-12" in the N. Berks, S. greens, and Monads with 6-10" for much of NNE and the ORH hills. 30-inch snowpack in the front yard, with 4 feet at 1,500ft by Saturday? lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 That's some nice frontogenesis across CNE on the NAM around 66hr. -12C in C NH and 0C at the MA/CT border. What a weenie band that would be. 18z NAM.. Myrtle beach plane delay/cancelletion likely... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Ray's area looks good, at least to my eyes.. could bust his futility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Mass version, All the discussions are in there http://www.nws.noaa....state=ma&map=on Thanks HUGE run here lol. Probably a good deal of snow for the ORH hills and northern Mass. QPF jackpot for PSF-ORH-FIT and up for EEN. Pretty run, too bad its the 18z NAM lol If only. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 30-inch snowpack in the front yard, with 4 feet at 1,500ft by Saturday? lol. LMAO! You guys over there got ROCKED last week, congrats! Yeah seriosuly if we get another 6+" in northern VT, we'd be set for a couple weeks at the ski resorts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 You can tell the srefs like the same thing as the Nam-CNE jackpot...toaster bath run of the nam and srefs for CT. EDIT: Earlier in the run does have better 1+ probs for CT so it does have the thump for CT on Wednesday afternoon. This map is for hour 69 so its more focused on part 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 18z NAM.. Myrtle beach plane delay/cancelletion likely... Logan is right on the water. It'd be ripping but the surface would be above freezing most likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 The latest ETA was pretty warm too...H85 0C up to the NH/MA border like the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow Bow Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 I've also thought light accum means 2 inches or so, moderate means 4 inches or so and heavy means 6+. What this means is that you guys are going to have a good long duration overrunning event perhaps a bit similar in nature to dec 19-21 2008 with a burst of good snows on the 19th following by a day of low level moisture light snow and then another burst. That left 2 and a half ft. You probably wont' get that but ya'll are good for a foot or more probably. What a time for me to be going to Asia...aye yi yi. gotta pay the bills though...I'll be rooting you on and planning lots of skype/cam time with home. I would note that the zones have gotten better from last night to this morning to this afternoon. Big snow coming. Much better, was reading yesterdays and it was light accum possible,moderate accum, and light possible for each respective period. Definitely heading in the right direction anyways. Also you were able to experience that snowstorm up in Montreal so that's nice but nothing like a good dump at home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 BOX just added sleet to their southern zones, but still kind of surprised they have ORH area on north as all snow. Nam would be pinging here Wednesday night and back to snow Thursday morning. GFS/SREFs would at least mix here...EURO is the only solution that would be all snow here I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 The latest ETA was pretty warm too...H85 0C up to the NH/MA border like the GFS. Saw that. Wondering if this thing really does end up tracking more towards a GFS solution. That's be a reality check for Euro huggers, which I tend to do in some situations myself Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Much better, was reading yesterdays and it was light accum possible,moderate accum, and light possible for each respective period. Definitely heading in the right direction anyways. Also you were able to experience that snowstorm up in Montreal so that's nice but nothing like a good dump at home. Nothing like a dump at your own house Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Seems lik a nice 4-7 thumper then we lull with light icing..then back to snow..but is it just light snows..or do we accumulate again south of pike? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Also as far as the sref goes...those are 12 hour snow probs, so while there may not be a period of 12 hours with 8+...but the sref solution definitely favors some 8-12+ solutions for CNE between the 2 waves but its more over 24-36 hours not 12. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 BOX just added sleet to their southern zones, but still kind of surprised they have ORH area on north as all snow. Nam would be pinging here Wednesday night and back to snow Thursday morning. GFS/SREFs would at least mix here...EURO is the only solution that would be all snow here I think. Honestly, if I were forecasting, I'd definitely have some mention of a change to rain/sleet south of a line from HFD-PVD-BOS if not farther north at this stage of the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Trends all day have been awesome for the pike north, killer run for ne mass nh and sw maine! Hopefully things keep trending better and better for that area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow Bow Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 The latest ETA was pretty warm too...H85 0C up to the NH/MA border like the GFS. At least it's progress seems to stop and head back south and east after it gets toward the MA/NH border. Do you think it's something that's going to continue to creep north with future runs? Wouldn't the artic high kind of help keep it from coming much further or is that just more toward the surface? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Seems lik a nice 4-7 thumper then we lull with light icing..then back to snow..but is it just light snows..or do we accumulate again south of pike? Im nervous we don't see more than 1-3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow Bow Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Nothing like a dump at your own house I can't believe I didn't notice that while typing it. I think most knew what I meant Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Seems lik a nice 4-7 thumper then we lull with light icing..then back to snow..but is it just light snows..or do we accumulate again south of pike? NAM actually keeps NW CT below 32F throughout both events. You may get 3-5" then ZR then maybe even some plain old 33F rain before ending as a burst of snow as mid levels crash per NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 upton dropped their snow accums inland from 4-6" to almost nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobbieL241 Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 upton dropped their snow accums inland from 4-6" to almost nothing I don't get that. There would be at least 1-3/2-4 for the interior zones in CT and SENY from the NAM/CMC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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