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Help us Obi-One-Marchobi... You're our only hope 3/1 Fantasy


HoarfrostHubb

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Euro for FIT:


WED 18Z 29-FEB   2.0	-5.8	1024	  53	  86	0.01	 555	 535	
THU 00Z 01-MAR  -1.8	-5.3	1020	  94	 100	0.27	 555	 539	
THU 06Z 01-MAR  -0.3	-4.3	1014	  98	  91	0.19	 550	 539	
THU 12Z 01-MAR  -0.2	-5.3	1013	  96	  94	0.16	 546	 536	
THU 18Z 01-MAR   1.1	-5.6	1013	  87	  87	0.07	 545	 535	
FRI 00Z 02-MAR  -0.1	-6.2	1016	  97	  97	0.12	 544	 531	
FRI 06Z 02-MAR  -0.4	-6.3	1018	  96	  97	0.09	 543	 529	
FRI 12Z 02-MAR  -0.8	-7.0	1022	  95	  65	0.04	 548	 531	
FRI 18Z 02-MAR   2.4	-7.4	1023	  77	  31	0.01	 555	 536	
SAT 00Z 03-MAR   0.0	-4.5	1024	  93	   9	0.01	 559	 540
Total																		 0.97	

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Euro for FIT:  


WED 18Z 29-FEB   2.0    -5.8    1024      53      86    0.01     555     535    
THU 00Z 01-MAR  -1.8    -5.3    1020      94     100    0.27     555     539    
THU 06Z 01-MAR  -0.3    -4.3    1014      98      91    0.19     550     539    
THU 12Z 01-MAR  -0.2    -5.3    1013      96      94    0.16     546     536    
THU 18Z 01-MAR   1.1    -5.6    1013      87      87    0.07     545     535    
FRI 00Z 02-MAR  -0.1    -6.2    1016      97      97    0.12     544     531    
FRI 06Z 02-MAR  -0.4    -6.3    1018      96      97    0.09     543     529    
FRI 12Z 02-MAR  -0.8    -7.0    1022      95      65    0.04     548     531    
FRI 18Z 02-MAR   2.4    -7.4    1023      77      31    0.01     555     536    
SAT 00Z 03-MAR   0.0    -4.5    1024      93       9    0.01     559     540
Total                                                                         0.97    

Not bad, but it is over three and a half days

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Yeah the WAA thump isn't too bad. I'll take that and hope for some weenie periods of light snow Wednesday night into Thursday morning. You know what will happen...BOS will get 1.3" of snow and end the record by 0.1"..lol.

Meanwhile some guidance likes that storm possibility towards the 6th.

I'm so excited for a three day event delivering about a 1/4" melted per day. That can really stack up in March.

Lol.

We wondered... what would be the worst possible way to bust futility record for Boston? Still not convinced we have a consensus, but seems to be trending towards a prolonged strung out meager event.

Other than Feb 11 fantasy and October freaksnow, don't think I've seen a decent coastal cyclogenesis model depiction once this year.

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euro is still by far the coldest guidance even with the 12z warming substantially from the 00z run.

it still manages to keep the soundings pretty darn cold over most of SNE...but it's so marginal. another couple ticks warmer and most of the region s of the pike busts too mild as there's a fairly large layer flirting with 0C as mid-level warming takes hold...if the evolution were to play out exactly as the euro showed or a bit cooler, a lot of SNE would be in better shape.

some would still come down to precip intensity after the initial WAA push. for a spot like BOS - the euro pumps out .65" LE by 12z thu - with .4 of that coming overnight. very close call as to whether that's all snow, some taint or even just partially rain.

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