Tropopause_Fold Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 So basically, all we did was make part 1 the bigger deal and sacrificed part 2. Part 1 had a little more room to come north, but not much near places like PVD-HFD. Part 2 did have a little snow for areas, esp near I-90 and north, but was mostly for NNE. Even then, just some light stuff. yeah that seems to be the theme with all of the 12z products today. more consolidation with the first round - a good waa burst of precip that does the usual transition. euro has that little feature toward 12z thu like the ukie for e ma but tough to say whether it would be cold enough anyway by then. if nothing else changed, would be comfortable calling for a couple/few inches over to slop...better for C/NNE...maybe parts of N MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Starts it by mid to late morning Wednesday. Better than 2:00 I guess,,but for the lower spots..that's not what you want to have happen. Much prefer it later afternoon into the nite..Oh well..beggars can't be choosers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJHUB Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 not loving my chances in SEMA for anything more than 2-3 inches ATM. Trend not my friend today or this winter, saving grace is its all gone by Sunday so it seems like more of a hassle for a little snow this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Starts it by mid to late morning Wednesday. Scooter, thats a mix to rain here, correct? Work related, thats why I am asking, thanks man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 If anyone thinks this is done trending north, they don't know the real suckage potential of this season to date... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Scooter, thats a mix to rain here, correct? Work related, thats why I am asking, thanks man. Euro is snow to sleet back to snow for you. Euro sounds cold..and would drop at least 3-5 for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 yeah that seems to be the theme with all of the 12z products today. more consolidation with the first round - a good waa burst of precip that does the usual transition. euro has that little feature toward 12z thu like the ukie for e ma but tough to say whether it would be cold enough anyway by then. if nothing else changed, would be comfortable calling for a couple/few inches over to slop...better for C/NNE...maybe parts of N MA. Yeah the WAA thump isn't too bad. I'll take that and hope for some weenie periods of light snow Wednesday night into Thursday morning. You know what will happen...BOS will get 1.3" of snow and end the record by 0.1"..lol. Meanwhile some guidance likes that storm possibility towards the 6th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Euro is snow to sleet back to snow for you. Euro sounds cold..and would drop at least 3-5 for you. How do you see the EURO? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 how about for later frame, 144 say, for the weekend lakes cutter? Models are having enough trouble handling systems 24-hours out...I highly doubt anyone wants to spend a great deal of energy worrying what long-range models are showing 144 hours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Scooter, thats a mix to rain here, correct? Work related, thats why I am asking, thanks man. Looks like maybe a couple of inches, then mix to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Euro is snow to sleet back to snow for you. Euro is cold..and would drop at least 3-5 for you. you are one optimistic individual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Looks like maybe a couple of inches, then mix to rain. Thank you sir, good luck up there! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 yeah that seems to be the theme with all of the 12z products today. more consolidation with the first round - a good waa burst of precip that does the usual transition. euro has that little feature toward 12z thu like the ukie for e ma but tough to say whether it would be cold enough anyway by then. if nothing else changed, would be comfortable calling for a couple/few inches over to slop...better for C/NNE...maybe parts of N MA. For those of us south of the pike I think that this is a good trend. Would love to see it rip Wednesday pm to flip over to light fzdz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Accuwether shifted their heavier snows north...not that they are much to take seriously but I got a bad feeling this is really going to be just an inch or two at best here hfd spfd area with mostly a mixed mess and then some more light non accum snows but by that point it really wont matter. I do not read the guidance as well as most of you but it seems like this is not done trending north imo. i hope i am wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 The GGEM's been hinting at this too... huh. The Euro's been teasing with the notion of closing off the base of that trough in about a week. Interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 For those of us south of the pike I think that this is a good trend. Would love to see it rip Wednesday pm to flip over to light fzdz yeah the 12z euro is probably the best scenario amongst today's 12z globals as it is still the coldest initially and hangs on colder overall. i finally saw it on wxunderground. it definitely moved toward the rest of the 12z stuff...but it's got a nice band of snows over the region wed evening. unfortunately it sort of looks like that's about it. i was kind of hoping to see this thing have 2 distinct pieces with the second round having some strength to it, but that seems to be going by the wayside here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 While everyone is focused on Wednesday snow, next week is semi interesting. It really is nothing more than "huh...that's interesting" at this stage, but a nice ridge out west with some energy diving out of Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Yeah, peering over these GEFs members.. We'll have to keep an eye out for that time range and having some additional follow-up dynamics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 While everyone is focused on Wednesday snow, next week is semi interesting. It really is nothing more than "huh...that's interesting" at this stage, but a nice ridge out west with some energy diving out of Canada. Mid week snow..weekend rain/gales/torch/snowpack obliterator/mid week snow threat again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 yeah the 12z euro is probably the best scenario amongst today's 12z globals as it is still the coldest initially and hangs on colder overall. i finally saw it on wxunderground. it definitely moved toward the rest of the 12z stuff...but it's got a nice band of snows over the region wed evening. unfortunately it sort of looks like that's about it. i was kind of hoping to see this thing have 2 distinct pieces with the second round having some strength to it, but that seems to be going by the wayside here. I was thinking part 2 might have a shot as well, but now we can listen to Powderfreak talk about 40:1 fluff up to his thighs. We'll have to deal with part 1 it appears. Hopefully the stuff Wednesday night has an edge to it. Would be nice to have 18hrs or so of snow. If we can't have both or part 2, then that's how I'd want to get it done. I just hope we don't see too many changes from here on out. I think this could go north a bit more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amarshall Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 facepalm for BOS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Mid week snow..weekend rain/gales/torch/snowpack obliterator/mid week snow threat again? No I wouldn't go that far. Just raised my eyebrows a bit. Day 8 or so and beyond so we all know what that means this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 The east gets trough-y after the weekend cutter, so provided that happens this weekend, the table might be set. Looks cold Monday from last nights euro, but the wundergrounf maps haven't even got to saturday yet so I can't see what happens at 12Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 I was thinking part 2 might have a shot as well, but now we can listen to Powderfreak talk about 40:1 fluff up to his thighs. We'll have to deal with part 1 it appears. Hopefully the stuff Wednesday night has an edge to it. Would be nice to have 18hrs or so of snow. If we can't have both or part 2, then that's how I'd want to get it done. I just hope we don't see too many changes from here on out. I think this could go north a bit more. yeah same here. yesterday i was concerned about the opposite - or at least dynamics not really being focused well up here. now i'm not sold that this just doesn't give a 3 to 5 hour burst of snow followed by not much of anything. we'll see though. the 12z euro would be kind of funny to watch evolve as some areas would probably spit snow for quite a long time while other areas close by are comparatively screwed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 I was thinking part 2 might have a shot as well, but now we can listen to Powderfreak talk about 40:1 fluff up to his thighs. We'll have to deal with part 1 it appears. Hopefully the stuff Wednesday night has an edge to it. Would be nice to have 18hrs or so of snow. If we can't have both or part 2, then that's how I'd want to get it done. I just hope we don't see too many changes from here on out. I think this could go north a bit more. Scott are we looking at 3" over a span of a day and half? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 yeah same here. yesterday i was concerned about the opposite - or at least dynamics not really being focused well up here. now i'm not sold that this just doesn't give a 3 to 5 hour burst of snow followed by not much of anything. we'll see though. the 12z euro would be kind of funny to watch evolve as some areas would probably spit snow for quite a long time while other areas close by are comparatively screwed. Yeah despite the NNE QPF, the best mid level RH was up there, so I could see lighter echoes continuously refire in that area through the period. Otherwise, maybe down this way we get some more OES type stuff, or at least maybe CF related stuff as deep layer erly flow overrides the front. Tough to say. I wish the airmass were colder, because my hood probably would do well in that situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Scott are we looking at 3" over a span of a day and half? If the euro is right, it might be like 2-4" in about 8-10hrs or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 If the euro is right, it might be like 2-4" in about 8-10hrs or so. okay thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 there continues to be a lot of hang-back moisture...especially up over C/NNE and down into the ORH hills and even into E MA on the euro. further north i'm sure that's probably spitting snow for quite a while. down in SNE, tough to say whether it's flakes, light rains, both or nada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Yeah despite the NNE QPF, the best mid level RH was up there, so I could see lighter echoes continuously refire in that area through the period. Otherwise, maybe down this way we get some more OES type stuff, or at least maybe CF related stuff as deep layer erly flow overrides the front. Tough to say. I wish the airmass were colder, because my hood probably would do well in that situation. yep exactly. you look at those progs and both wish it was january and that the antecedent air mass were of arctic origins...it would be a nice mid/upper 20s light accumulating snows long past the main event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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