Damage In Tolland Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 We love the Euro...And here is example # 100,001 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 AWT..GFS and Amerigarbage once again bowing down to Euro. what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Part 1 still look good for here, part 2 sloppy? Basically the gist? Part 2 was maybe an inch or so for you. maybe 1.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 We love the Euro...And here is example # 100,001 Dude it budged north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 AWT..GFS and Amerigarbage once again bowing down to Euro. C'mon kev, Really? Kind of looks like the Euro came north as well as most of the other models, The GFS basically held serve Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Euro moves toward gfs and Kevin reads as "gfs bowing to euro " Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Dude it budged north. Right,,but cold enough for all snow from both..that is what you want to see as far as consitency Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Part 2 was maybe an inch or so for you. maybe 1.5" How much for pt 1? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Kevin's performance lately has been just about as good as UCONN's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 QPF is 0.75+" from PSM-SW VT into upstate NY and down towards HFD-WST-ACK. SW CT has taint issues possibly up to Kevin for a few hours with 0.5-0.6". Dendrite to Dryslot probably 0.5"-0/6" all snow obviously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 It's definitely a little north with the H5 vortmax in the Great lakes, so mid level taint makes it into CT and part 2 might not be good down here. Right,,but cold enough for all snow from both..that is what you want to see as far as consitency Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Euro moves toward gfs and Kevin reads as "gfs bowing to euro " Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 How is the sfc temps for the euro in northern CT? Would there be any freezing rain or is sfc warm enough for rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Seems like NCEP has done alright with these SWFE type systems. Euro has done best with coastals it seems. Overall ecmwf is still performing better in the grand scheme of things I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Right,,but cold enough for all snow from both..that is what you want to see as far as consitency Listen, this is what models do...they compromise. Some more towards others. Euro is still very far south, but some features did move north. And it might not be done yet. You can't say that model X "caved" to model Y at this stage. That's impossible to say. And yes you did taint on the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Like the way this is trending, gfs pretty darn steady last couple days, nam moving north, euro moving north, looks like a nice hit from nw ct over to will and into nh. In the end this will be a non issue down here, and ski country will cash in, I am interested to see what happens in boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 QPF is 0.75+" from PSM-SW VT into upstate NY and down towards HFD-WST-ACK. SW CT has taint issues possibly up to Kevin for a few hours with 0.5-0.6". Dendrite to Dryslot probably 0.5"-0/6" all snow obviously. Is that combined or for the first system? .75+ would mean a nice 4-7 inch snowfall even if sleet taints when precip lightens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 How is the sfc temps for the euro in northern CT? Would there be any freezing rain or is sfc warm enough for rain? Cold enough for round 1 in most places. During Thursday with only light stuff around temps warmed through the 30s. Thursday night with part 2, it cooled obviously from the ULL approaching and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Is that combined or for the first system? .75+ would mean a nice 4-7 inch snowfall even if sleet taints when precip lightens Combined, but it gives us virtually non accumulating snow Thursday, so cut that a bit. Most of that is from part 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 In any event ... the higher resolution models in the BL are going to handle the cold wedge better. Also, with that much polar high anchored like that the 850mb T would likely mean the difference between freezing/frozen vs frozen/rain. Yes it is nearing March 1st, but if it sets in in the overnight the air mass will be less susceptible to diurnal heating during the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 sounds like at this juncture best call might be 3-6 from danbury up through tolland into parts of MA, when you get up near Will over to Pete maybe more like 4-8 or more with closer to a foot near SVT/NH. Too bad it probably won't be 100% until after it happens lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 QPF is 0.75+" from PSM-SW VT into upstate NY and down towards HFD-WST-ACK. SW CT has taint issues possibly up to Kevin for a few hours with 0.5-0.6". Dendrite to Dryslot probably 0.5"-0/6" all snow obviously. Thanks Scott, 0z had .25" here so that was a decent bump north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Combined, but it gives us virtually non accumulating snow Thursday, so cut that a bit. Most of that is from part 1. When does he Euro have it starting? is more of a nighttme event..or does it start Wed afternoon?For the valley folks..that is going to make a world of difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Cold enough for round 1 in most places. During Thursday with only light stuff around temps warmed through the 30s. Thursday night with part 2, it cooled obviously from the ULL approaching and snow. I'll take that...even if we have to mix some when the light intensity stuff is falling...just give nice two bursts of heavy snow at the onset and with part 2 and that should give some decent totals for some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 So basically, all we did was make part 1 the bigger deal and sacrificed part 2. Part 1 had a little more room to come north, but not much near places like PVD-HFD. Part 2 did have a little snow for areas, esp near I-90 and north, but was mostly for NNE. Even then, just some light stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 But don't worry, it will be gone in hours by Saturday evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 how about for later frame, 144 say, for the weekend lakes cutter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 sounds like at this juncture best call might be 3-6 from danbury up through tolland into parts of MA, when you get up near Will over to Pete maybe more like 4-8 or more with closer to a foot near SVT/NH. Too bad it probably won't be 100% until after it happens lol A foot is probably high for lower elevations. Maybe at 2k but with .75-1.00 qpf its probably close to 10:1 given the lt snow during the lull between systems. Your other calls aren't unreasonable ATM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 When does he Euro have it starting? is more of a nighttme event..or does it start Wed afternoon?For the valley folks..that is going to make a world of difference. Starts it by mid to late morning Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 But don't worry, it will be gone in hours by Saturday evening. Yeah, either way enjoy it looking wintry because it won't last much. wonter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.