Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 30 minutes until the real guidance arrives. The american stuff....the Pinto of modeling. GGEM looks decent, I'm betting the SNH/SVT to CNH/CVT SW ME resorts do the best this go around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 12z GGEM looks like it would be a couple/several inches of snow for parts of the region on a front end push of WAA and then most of SNE is either mixed or plain liquid with not much else happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Amazing how much colder the 00z Euro is than all other present 12z guidance at 850mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Any chance this comes north up to Sugarloaf? Im thinking of bailing on work Weds-Thurs. Thanks guys. Right now on the fringe... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Is there any way we can avoid the Saturday torch/south gale athon? It looks pretty ugly. There is a chance it may be more of a colder rain, and maybe a mix up north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Right now on the fringe... Trends at 12z are looking promising. Hopefully Dr No makes a move to the north as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Amazing how much colder the 00z Euro is than all other present 12z guidance at 850mb. it's in a completely different arena. if it moves substantially toward the rest of the 12z suite, i think this one is essentially toast - outside of the higher terrain north of the pike and any front end snows that come in wed evening. the ggem would basically have this over and done with in most of SNE by 12z thur, with just some lingering garbage around thur PM. of course, in 11-12 even a couple/few inches is something i suppose. will definitely be interesting to see where the euro goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 I wonder if I can miss out on the WAA stuff and then screwed by the coastal for NNE. That would be epic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 I wonder if I can miss out on the WAA stuff and then screwed by the coastal for NNE. That wold be epic. :lol: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 :lol: It's quite possible...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 it's in a completely different arena. if it moves substantially toward the rest of the 12z suite, i think this one is essentially toast - outside of the higher terrain north of the pike and any front end snows that come in wed evening. the ggem would basically have this over and done with in most of SNE by 12z thur, with just some lingering garbage around thur PM. of course, in 11-12 even a couple/few inches is something i suppose. will definitely be interesting to see where the euro goes. Outside of it, the 12z guidance looks in general agreement on the best snows N of the Pike. The GGEM looks weird to me at 5h. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 I wonder if I can miss out on the WAA stuff and then screwed by the coastal for NNE. That would be epic. It would actually be more surprising if it didn't happen that way By the way.. the last storm proves why NNE and other ski bunnies should never complain about not getting snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 It's quite possible...lol. i'll overnight fedex my toaster to Dorchester Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 I wonder if I can miss out on the WAA stuff and then screwed by the coastal for NNE. That would be epic. I was not going to say it but i was thinking there could be a screw zone somewhere, I would hope it does not work out that way for some that have not seen any snow, Not that i would refuse any snow but i would not go off a bridge if it does not workout here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 I like where I'm sitting but it's still early in the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 i'll overnight fedex my toaster to Dorchester lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Outside of it, the 12z guidance looks in general agreement on the best snows N of the Pike. The GGEM looks weird to me at 5h. There is a lot of time and wiggle room too. The ULL has to move northeast and then east-southeast during its trip. So 50 miles one way or another may mean a lot. This deal has the ability to have a decent bust potential with fine lines between snow and no snow...mix and snow etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 I like where I'm sitting but it's still early in the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 I like where I am sitting for this one..that low level cold ain't going anywhere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 I like where I'm sitting but it's still early in the game. Congrats dendrite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 i'll overnight fedex my toaster to Dorchester I have a toaster oven that should suffice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 There is a lot of time and wiggle room too. The ULL has to move northeast and then east-southeast during its trip. So 50 miles one way or another may mean a lot. This deal has the ability to have a decent bust potential with fine lines between snow and no snow...mix and snow etc. But Kevin locked in 8"+ the other day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 No mix worries, Just qpf worries...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 I like where I'm sitting but it's still early in the game. yeah your odds look to be going up. we'll see what the 12z euro does with this whole thing...i feel like it might cave (again) if it holds serve i won't really know what to think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 But Kevin locked in 8"+ the other day. He might have a decent shot at advisory stuff in part 1, but screwed in part 2 perhaps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 yeah your odds look to be going up. we'll see what the 12z euro does with this whole thing...i feel like it might cave (again) if it holds serve i won't really know what to think. My guess is that it comes north a bit anyways. Might help out with part 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 No mix worries, Just qpf worries...lol I want the H7 low to pass right over Tip's nape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 No mix worries, Just qpf worries...lol Yeah I could see SNE getting a decent WAA thump then NNE getting some strung out ULL crap that amounts to 2" over 24hrs as the secondary develops too late. That's what I'm worried about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 He might have a decent shot at advisory stuff in part 1, but screwed in part 2 perhaps. Scott, hows my flight looking outta Logan at 6 am on Thursday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 My guess is that it comes north a bit anyways. Might help out with part 1. yeah in the end this whole thing might not be all that different than what we just went through - a few inches (though more widespread i'd think) in SNE with the initial push and then more action focused further N with the "second" piece. just speculating really, but kind of has that feel in these 12z runs so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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