CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Put it this way, I've been watching videos of the TLC tornado over the last week. That about sums it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 This area specifically is the top screw zone of the region...lol. It happens. Who knows..maybe I'll have a derecho move through here in June. E Mass is definitely preferable for snowstorms than my location... but can really be a total bore in spring/summer/fall. At least we tend to get storms hold together back here before falling apart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 pretty clear elevation signal on the sref Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 out to 54, 00z nam looks similar to 18z...only differences so far appear to be timing related...maybe 1 hour or so delayed on 00z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 E Mass is definitely preferable for snowstorms than my location... but can really be a total bore in spring/summer/fall. At least we tend to get storms hold together back here before falling apart. are the hills to your west big enough to downslope you guys? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 E Mass is definitely preferable for snowstorms than my location... but can really be a total bore in spring/summer/fall. At least we tend to get storms hold together back here before falling apart. That's our bread and butter, so to speak. Been a tough go of it lately. In any case, the SREFs had an interesting aspect I thought. If you look at H700 RH fields, it looked like they kept the deformation area moving through from west to east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Put it this way, I've been watching videos of the TLC tornado over the last week. That about sums it up. Don't worry...it's almost May. 64 more days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 pretty clear elevation signal on the sref Yeah good ob. Some truth to that too, especially if rates aren't all that great. But otherwise a nice high will help this area out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 00z nam out to 60h looks slower. Looks similar otherwise but maybe even more juiced. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 hm, looks like it may be a decent run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 hmmm, consider this threat cursed...it's actually Obi WAN Kenobi...way to upset the Force, hunchback Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 hmmm, consider this threat cursed...it's actually Obi WAN Kenobi...way to upset the Force, hunchback It's the March 1 (one) threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 are the hills to your west big enough to downslope you guys? Downsloping is typically fairly minor IMBY especially compared to areas to the north like Springfield or Northampton, Mass. The only time you will see downsloping be a big issue is during a ripping easterly flow event (rare to get a synoptic storm with a ripping westerly wind). The hills to our east are fairly low... only on the order of 600ft or so on average so it's generally not a big deal contrary to what Kevin likes to think lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Nam looks south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 ouch. Nam. ouch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 27, 2012 Author Share Posted February 27, 2012 hmmm, consider this threat cursed...it's actually Obi WAN Kenobi...way to upset the Force, hunchback These aren't the weenies you're looking for Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 27, 2012 Author Share Posted February 27, 2012 Nam looks south. AWF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Part 1 went pretty far south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 ouch. Nam. ouch. I'm liking a compromise of the gfs and srefs. Toss the EC/Nam. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 27, 2012 Author Share Posted February 27, 2012 Congrats Newark Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 It's the March 1 (one) threat. damn it, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 27, 2012 Author Share Posted February 27, 2012 I'm liking a compromise of the gfs and srefs. Toss the EC/Nam. lol I'm riding the Canadian Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 flurries for me from #1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Looks like stronger confluence a little more south on this run to me with that northern s/w north of ME being a little slower this run. Sheared suppression city. I'll probably get shutout from part 1 again like a couple days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 pretty sure i'm screwed either way lol. Juiced up model runs are too warm for significant snow and cold model runs are sheared out and low on the QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Congrats Newark On rain. This run is sw ct jackpot. And actually it brings decent snow into CT...it just takes until 3z to 9z unlike past runs that had it in CT by 21z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 ouch. Nam. ouch. Still a few inches here lol...looks a lot like last week did WRT snowfall amts and location Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 27, 2012 Author Share Posted February 27, 2012 Bluebird skies for part 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Blah. Meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Part 2 looks like it'd be nice for N of the Pike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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