CoastalWx Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 Cryptic is never good It is possible. It has a limit, but it's possible it could sneak a little more south. The second low is of interest to me, If we can keep the ULL under SNE, and not have that little piece of vorticity displaced far from the main ULL...it could be fun. This displaced piece of vorticity, is evident at hr 114 on the euro. There is still quite a bit of time left for this to change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 At least with this setup, it seems we're well situated to get something. I'm not going to get too excited about specifics at this point, as it's all pretty convoluted. But, I'm optimistic for something for most of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 I wouldn't be shocked if it ticked south a little more, but at the same time, it might put us in a bit better into the deformation zone and higher mid level RH like the GFS shows. However, you don't want the high to cause a lot of strong low level drying which sometimes happens. hopefully it doesn't (from where the euro has it). that's a nice run though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 Overnight trends look great. Game on. Obviously some concerns still with this but things are in general looking better and better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 hopefully it doesn't (from where the euro has it). that's a nice run though... Yeah it is. Even the GEFS were nice too. Not much really to add at this point. I just hope we see these solutions 60 hrs from now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 Cryptic is never good well i'm not really being cryptic. lol. just kind of watching the trend over the last 2 days. pretty strong confluent flow and SLPs now shooting out pretty far south of 40N. i'd take the euro run in heartbeat at face value this winter....just don't want to see it keep getting shunted as it could leave SNE in sort of a no-mans land. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 26, 2012 Author Share Posted February 26, 2012 Snowflake sweaters for all So we have Ryan amped Scooter pumped Phil jacked We just need Will to cave Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 Yeah it is. Even the GEFS were nice too. Not much really to add at this point. I just hope we see these solutions 60 hrs from now. yeah that second low has a chc to be a legit event if it's where the gfs/gefs put it. that's got a nice look to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 well i'm not really being cryptic. lol. just kind of watching the trend over the last 2 days. pretty strong confluent flow and SLPs now shooting out pretty far south of 40N. i'd take the euro run in heartbeat at face value this winter....just don't want to see it keep getting shunted as it could leave SNE in sort of a no-mans land. Yeah I think that could be an issue... one of several we may have to contend with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 Snowflake sweaters for all So we have Ryan amped Scooter pumped Phil jacked We just need Will to cave When Ryan and Phil are excited, I look for cirrus with a good NW wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 Snowflake sweaters for all So we have Ryan amped Scooter pumped Phil jacked We just need Will to cave LOL, are you the next Kevin? It's interesting, but I'll wait unti tomorrow. You don't want an elongated low with 0.2" QPF every 6-12 hrs either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 When Ryan and Phil are excited, I look for cirrus with a good NW wind. LOL. nah i'd almost always rather be at your locale than mine - this week included. i have to be inside of 36 hours and squarely in the bullseye before i'm more comfortable being here than there for snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 26, 2012 Author Share Posted February 26, 2012 When Ryan and Phil are excited, I look for cirrus with a good NW wind. It snowed for most of the day yesterday and the ground is bare here I have low expectations for this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 Yeah I think that could be an issue... one of several we may have to contend with. it's so early...tons could change...but right now you have to like the overall look. nice to see HP fairly locked in up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 This looks like a pretty good threat for atleast interior SNE. Energy seems strung out on some runs right now though...looks like a prolonged light to moderate snowfall IMO...nothing too heavy unless we can consolidate some of those peices of vorticity. Can't wait to track some snowfall. Currently in charlotte,NC on my way into BDL then up to VT. Game on for atleast something in almost all of new england. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 26, 2012 Author Share Posted February 26, 2012 LOL, are you the next Kevin? It's interesting, but I'll wait unti tomorrow. You don't want an elongated low with 0.2" QPF every 6-12 hrs either. I'm just joshing Would be nice to have a moderate widespread event though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 LOL. nah i'd almost always rather be at your locale than mine - this week included. i have to be inside of 36 hours and squarely in the bullseye before i'm more comfortable being here than there for snow. Yeah--I was merely joking of the realities of the difficulty of having winning storms region-wide. They happen to be sure, but much more frequently someone gets screwed. This winter, we might see the whole thing get shifted to be a good hiit south of I-80. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 Euro ensembles aren't very bullish with storm 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 Snowflake sweaters for all So we have Ryan amped Scooter pumped Phil jacked We just need Will to cave I wouldn't say Phil is jacked..but Scooer is as excited as we've ever seen him for any winter storm..ever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 I wouldn't say Phil is jacked..but Scooer is as excited as we've ever seen him for any winter storm..ever Who is Scooer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 Who is Scooer? Scooty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 Euro ensembles aren't very bullish with storm 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 I wonder if part 1 is best west and south of BOS. Basically CT. The reason being, is that a big high in combo with a strung out system usually means subsidence and a screw zone for BOS on northward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 I wonder if part 1 is best west and south of BOS. Basically CT. The reason being, is that a big high in combo with a strung out system usually means subsidence and a screw zone for BOS on northward. Ray may hang from the Tobin in that case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 Ray may hang from the Tobin in that case. I could see that, to be honest. Part 1 has CT and western areas written all over, if that happens as progged. Hopefully the surge of WAA is strong enough to prevent a screw zone further east. If we get a little secondary wave, it might help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 Euro looks like a sleet-fest around these parts lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 Do you have text output for YYZ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 Do you have text output for YYZ? Euro looks like all snow in Toronto...perhaps some sleet mixing in...especially when the primary is over Michigan at the beginning of Part 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 For both parts all snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 Bookend storm? We may end up watching from above on this one... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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