cyclone77 Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 http://www.meteo.psu...ewallhires.html Ahh forgot about this one. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 Forecast to get to the mid 70s tomorrow, and with lows in the mid-upper 30s tonight thats a respectable temp change. Actually, DTX is calling for 70*+ highs for the duration of its forecast. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 Also, DTX mentioned it in their AFD, but the NAM brings some pretty crazy severe parameters up in to MI on Tuesday. 3000+ cape, LI's <-10... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 We hit 83f today and was 22f above normal. The forecast is for 80+ the next 7 days at least. As of today monthly temp anomalies are 10f+ with The average at 52f. The monthly record is 57f. Tomorrow might hit 87f if clouds and rain stay away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 14, 2012 Share Posted March 14, 2012 ORD hit 70 today. Let the streak begin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 14, 2012 Share Posted March 14, 2012 Forecast to get to the mid 70s tomorrow, and with lows in the mid-upper 30s tonight thats a respectable temp change. Actually, DTX is calling for 70*+ highs for the duration of its forecast. Wow. Looks to be just insane this week. Sounds like Euro ensembles say trough returns to the east the end of March (after the 25th). Im, dreaming, of a whiiiite, Easter lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpsycho Posted March 14, 2012 Share Posted March 14, 2012 Looks to be just insane this week. Sounds like Euro ensembles say trough returns to the east the end of March (after the 25th). Im, dreaming, of a whiiiite, Easter lol. DonS put up his end of March thoughts (25th-31st): Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 14, 2012 Share Posted March 14, 2012 ORD hit 70 today. Let the streak begin. I think that was Midway. Hourly observations show 3 hours at 69° for ORD. Chilling off here, 52°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 14, 2012 Share Posted March 14, 2012 I think that was Midway. Hourly observations show 3 hours at 69° for ORD. It was an intra-hour OBS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 14, 2012 Share Posted March 14, 2012 It's always interesting watching the F6's for the snowmelt in northern Michigan. The snow is barely budging from Houghton Lake. Yesterday they melted 2" from 16" to 14", with heavy rain, a high temp in the 50s and dewpoint maximum of 52. There's no way you'd only melt 2" with conditions like that. They must measure in a drifted snow pile hidden in the woods. Webcams from Houghton Lake show bare grounds, so it's interesting the huge variability in depth reports. As an avid weather observer...snow depth is usually the hardest thing to get accurate, and Im sure its all the worse up north where the snow is greater. When I was up there Mar 2-4 i did tons of snow depth measurments after the storm. At a friends property, I was getting like 18-22" in his yard, but 24-30" when I went out back into the "woods". But you have to be realistic, take an average, and try not to overdo or underdo. It usually balances out. Like for example, if places totally shaded have 6", totally sun-open have T, and more E-W facing areas have 3", your depth is 3". It appears the observer at HTL would mark 6" LOL. Lets look at snow depths from the Gaylord NWS and Houghton Lake: Mar 4th: Gaylord: 27", Houghton Lake 25" Mar 7th: Gaylord: 20", Houghton Lake 20" Mar 9th: Gaylord: 8", Houghton Lake 20" Mar 10th: Gaylord: 9", Houghton Lake 21" (some light fresh snow) Mar 11th: Gaylord: 7", Houghton Lake 17" Mar 12th: Gaylord: 3", Houghton Lake 16" Mar 13th: Gaylord: T, Houghton Lake 14" (note the 7pm depth after a high of 55F today at HTL has dropped to 13"). HTL webcam...bare Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 14, 2012 Share Posted March 14, 2012 @ Michsnowfreak. Looks like Houghton Lake is hanging onto some ice there. I would think if the EURO is right on the extended outlook - there might be some snow still left in Ontario when that change occurs. If it does. So they only melted 1" of snow today? Where in the heck are they measuring, lol? ...maybe they are measuring a shrinking snowpile! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted March 14, 2012 Share Posted March 14, 2012 Enjoy the cool weather tonight, last night in the 40s for awhile. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 14, 2012 Share Posted March 14, 2012 Enjoy the cool weather tonight, last night in the 40s for awhile. lol For most of us that is true. Not here by the lake! NAM showing a 35° drop in temperatures for Thursday! 40s at night are good for sleeping though, so I don't mind. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/NAMSFC4NC_18z/temp48.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted March 14, 2012 Share Posted March 14, 2012 Have some doubts about whether we'll hit 80 tomorrow. OTOH, LAF usually shines in this type of setup so I wouldn't completely discount the possibility. I'll go for the ordinary LAF 3 degree rise in an intra-hour OBS tomorrow... 80F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 14, 2012 Share Posted March 14, 2012 DonS put up his end of March thoughts (25th-31st): http://www.americanw...ost__p__1442333 I've looked back through DonS' past predictions, and he's been eerily spot on for a while now. That said, I do think we're going to see a cool down around the beginning of March (not a DEEP freeze cooldown, but a trend back to normalish/below normal temperatures). I would watch the propagation of that ridge however. For those who want a cool summer, the last thing we want is the center of these ridges setting up over the TX/OK/NM areas, where the severe drought conditions continue to persist.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted March 14, 2012 Share Posted March 14, 2012 00z NAM popping 3500+ J/kg of SBCAPE in Southern MI at 21z Thursday...lol Not that there is anything really to use that energy, but that is insane for Mid-March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 14, 2012 Share Posted March 14, 2012 00z NAM popping 3500+ J/kg of SBCAPE in Southern MI at 21z Thursday...lol Hey now, watch your mouth... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted March 14, 2012 Share Posted March 14, 2012 Looks to be just insane this week. Sounds like Euro ensembles say trough returns to the east the end of March (after the 25th). Im, dreaming, of a whiiiite, Easter lol. You gotta link for those ECMWF ENS out past 240.? FWIW 12z ECMWF ENS keeps the torch rolling strong through the 23rd. (basically the entire run) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted March 14, 2012 Share Posted March 14, 2012 As an avid weather observer...snow depth is usually the hardest thing to get accurate, and Im sure its all the worse up north where the snow is greater. When I was up there Mar 2-4 i did tons of snow depth measurments after the storm. At a friends property, I was getting like 18-22" in his yard, but 24-30" when I went out back into the "woods". But you have to be realistic, take an average, and try not to overdo or underdo. It usually balances out. Like for example, if places totally shaded have 6", totally sun-open have T, and more E-W facing areas have 3", your depth is 3". It appears the observer at HTL would mark 6" LOL. Lets look at snow depths from the Gaylord NWS and Houghton Lake: Mar 4th: Gaylord: 27", Houghton Lake 25" Mar 7th: Gaylord: 20", Houghton Lake 20" Mar 9th: Gaylord: 8", Houghton Lake 20" Mar 10th: Gaylord: 9", Houghton Lake 21" (some light fresh snow) Mar 11th: Gaylord: 7", Houghton Lake 17" Mar 12th: Gaylord: 3", Houghton Lake 16" Mar 13th: Gaylord: T, Houghton Lake 14" (note the 7pm depth after a high of 55F today at HTL has dropped to 13"). HTL webcam...bare Yeah. I've noticed the depth at HTL just doesn't jive. The Gaylord obs make sense given the warmth they've had. The web cam says it all though, not even a speck of snow on it. How in the world you could get an average 13" depth is bewildering. It's got to be the max depth the observer could find, and likely in a wooded area nearby. I bet by the time this torch ends they still have 6-7" left next week. They should hit 65 degrees tomorrow, but I guarantee they'll only melt off an inch or two. I just wish that when we had 55 degree days here we'd only melt an inch of our snow If it hits 55 degrees here, we wipe out 8" of depth in an afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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