A-L-E-K Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 really nice morning with beautiful blue skies, should have no problem hitting the upper 60s before a lake breeze comes through late this evening. CLIFF NOTES FOR THE FORECAST...MAX TEMPERATURES ONLY 15 TO 20DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL TODAY...BEFORE AT LEAST A SOLID WEEK WITH MAX TEMPERATURES NEARLY 30 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 Ahh no worries...Sunspot AR1429 will help melt that and heat up the northern hemisphere. The fun has just started. Long live the Solar Maxium and another dustbowl. lol all that complaining about wanting active weather and you are rooting for a drought . No worries not gonna happen Naturally Im rooting for something similar to our mid-1970s to early 1980s pattern (which we have been in a similar pattern in recent years). A bunch of harsh winters with a dramatically mild and bare winter sandwiched in (1979-80). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 lol all that complaining about wanting active weather and you are rooting for a drought . No worries not gonna happen Ive never really complained all that much about boring weather. Most def not rooting for a drought considering how devistating they can be. I don't really know if a drought looms large for the plains and bread belt but you have to be cautious and not count anything out. Esspecially if we are slowly transitioning away from a wet La Nina pattern into the unknown. The sun is an issue also but the direct science on the effect of the solar cycle is still in its infancy. EDIT: the solar cycle science stuff I guess isn't in it's infancy but it has many opposing views and theory's. Nothing out of the ordinary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 Rochester MN has a legitimate shot at breaking records for next 7 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 Saving a copy of this... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 If we don't break many record highs, I think we should break plenty of record low highs... Most of them are in the upper 40Fs to around 50F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpsycho Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 Saving a copy of this... Anyone who went south for warmth these next couple weeks (i.e. spring break) are basically wasting their money! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 Weird we are expecting record warmth, while snow may fall this weekend in southern California. Grass is turning green and the robins are all over the place. Even saw a 3" diameter toad in the yard today. I hope we don't get clobbered with record cold on the back side of this, funny how the sling shot effect works. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 62 downtown already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 It's always interesting watching the F6's for the snowmelt in northern Michigan. The snow is barely budging from Houghton Lake. Yesterday they melted 2" from 16" to 14", with heavy rain, a high temp in the 50s and dewpoint maximum of 52. There's no way you'd only melt 2" with conditions like that. They must measure in a drifted snow pile hidden in the woods. Webcams from Houghton Lake show bare grounds, so it's interesting the huge variability in depth reports. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 Quite the Omega block on the ECMWF, lol. This March may beat 1945 and 1946 in terms of warmth if this continues unless the last 3-6 days are unbelievably cold to bring down the anomalies a bit. Interestingly enough, both the summers of 1945 and 1946 were cooler and perhaps wetter than normal as well. Well I dont mind this warmth. Should enlighten my mood after this crappy Winter, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 really nice morning with beautiful blue skies, should have no problem hitting the upper 60s before a lake breeze comes through late this evening. Sounds like the lake breeze will move in during the afternoon here. Lake breeze shouldn't have a problem forming with winds under 10mph this morning. Currently 56° at home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropical Posted March 13, 2012 Author Share Posted March 13, 2012 Sounds like the lake breeze will move in during the afternoon here. Lake breeze shouldn't have a problem forming with winds under 10mph this morning. Currently 56° at home. I think you like lake breezes. You are *always* talking about them. As far as I'm concerned they can stay away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 meh, the lake breeze won't be coming through until later and even then it's won't be crazy, especially as we get into a SW flow overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 I think you like lake breezes. You are *always* talking about them. As far as I'm concerned they can stay away. I like lake breezes May - August. For today I'm just stating the forecast. Lake breezes make for interesting weather at times; fog, t-storms, large temperature gradients! On days that my allergies are bothering me, a wind shift off the lake can help that situation. Don't have to worry about them out by your place! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 I think its growing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 I think its growing. I wonder about the warming showing up over the Rockies... Did notice on the GFS, later on in the month a ridge starts to set up over the High Plains/Front Range area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 That sunspot was amazing in so many ways. The active sun very well has caused last Summers heat and Winters vacation. It's still very active so I wonder if the trend continues. I'd be careful with blanket statements like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 I know that I am , but I am 54 years old and have lived here all of my life and I've never seen anything even CLOSE to the temps being forecast for mid March. The LOWEST high temp predicted here for the next 7 days is 71 and the next lowest high predicted is 75. The mushrooms could be up a month early!! Yeah, while the max temps are pretty impressive, the thing that impresses me more is the duration of the extremely above average temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 Yeah, while the max temps are pretty impressive, the thing that impresses me more is the duration of the extremely above average temps. I mentioned that as well, March surpluses could be untouchable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 Up to 57 °F, feels very warm. Kind of scared of how warm 78 °F will feel tomorrow, shvitz storm in the forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 I mentioned that as well, March surpluses could be untouchable. I think they will be untouchable in many places. We are already better than +8, and much of the real warmth hasn't even arrived, with the next 10-14 days looking to be 15-30 degrees above average, maybe more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 Have some doubts about whether we'll hit 80 tomorrow. OTOH, LAF usually shines in this type of setup so I wouldn't completely discount the possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 impressive lake breeze gradient thursday evening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpsycho Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 It's always interesting watching the F6's for the snowmelt in northern Michigan. The snow is barely budging from Houghton Lake. Yesterday they melted 2" from 16" to 14", with heavy rain, a high temp in the 50s and dewpoint maximum of 52. There's no way you'd only melt 2" with conditions like that. They must measure in a drifted snow pile hidden in the woods. Webcams from Houghton Lake show bare grounds, so it's interesting the huge variability in depth reports. What you are forgetting or might not know for some reason the snow depth measurement is at 7AM on the climate reports. So this was before the high of 52 and the heavy rain yesterday. Wait for tonights report to find out the snow depth at 7AM this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 impressive lake breeze gradient thursday evening pneumonia front! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 now that's a legit lake front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 NAM text output for IGQ shows 80 at 21z Thursday and 52 at 00z Friday after the winds turn off the lake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 I'd be careful with blanket statements like that. Ouch just noticed the typo. I meant to say that the solar cycle MAY or Might have contributed. Sorry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted March 13, 2012 Share Posted March 13, 2012 Beautiful outside... Just was out pruning some trees in the sun... Love the fact there is very little wind. That wind on Saturday wasn't any fun. Days like this are probably near the top of the list for nicest weather possible. Upper 60Fs, full sun... Tomorrow may be pushing it on temps...start getting near 80F and the "swamp a&&" gets going after a long bike ride. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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