Geos Posted March 9, 2012 Share Posted March 9, 2012 OT: Severe Thunder Storm Watches for Hawaii islands? LOL, don't see that a lot! There is a cut-off low spinning about! Some places have seen golf ball sized hail - and hail covering the ground! WIDESPREAD STRONG...AND ISOLATED SEVERE...STORMS CONTINUE TO IMPACT MOST ISLANDS AND SURROUNDING WATERS THIS MORNING...WITH AN UNPRECEDENTED HAIL EVENT /HAIL STONES UP TO 3 INCHES/ HAVING ALREADY IMPACTED KANEOHE AND KAILUA EARLY THIS MORNING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted March 9, 2012 Share Posted March 9, 2012 There is a cut-off low spinning about! Some places have seen golf ball sized hail - and hail covering the ground! Crazy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted March 9, 2012 Share Posted March 9, 2012 34F this afternoon...temps not doing much under full March sun...dewpoints are very low this afternoon... just above zero. NWS upped tomorrow to 63F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted March 9, 2012 Share Posted March 9, 2012 There is a cut-off low spinning about! Some places have seen golf ball sized hail - and hail covering the ground! Pretty interesting, I was stationed at Schofield Barracks in the mid 90s but never remember seeing fall anywhere on the island of Oahu. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 9, 2012 Share Posted March 9, 2012 45 with a dewpoint of 10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted March 9, 2012 Share Posted March 9, 2012 45 with a dewpoint of 10. 39/6 at ORD...amazing bright blue skies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 9, 2012 Share Posted March 9, 2012 36° for a high today. 7° dewpoint right now! Supposed to be 57° tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted March 9, 2012 Share Posted March 9, 2012 Here is a good one. Rapid City, SD 72F/1F right now 24F this morning for a low. http://www.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KRAP.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted March 9, 2012 Share Posted March 9, 2012 La Crosse says get ready A big change in the weather pattern is forecast to occur this weekend and last well through next week, resulting in an early start to spring. Look for a blustery southwest wind on Saturday to drive temperatures up into the lower 60s over much of the Upper Mississippi River Valley region, though readings in north central Wisconsin should hold back into the 50s due to snow cover present there. Plan on the southwest wind flow to persist through much of next week, with temperatures possibly reaching into the 70s at times. This warming will eventually melt all the snow over north central Wisconsin. little more: 09.12Z GFS/ECMWF CONTINUE THE UNSEASONABLY MILD WEATHER PATTERN THROUGH THE PERIOD. GEFS STILL INDICATING AROUND +2 STANDARD DEVIATIONS WHICH INDICATES NEAR RECORD VALUES FOR HIGH TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD IN THE 60S/LOWER 70S. MAIN CONCERN/FLY IN THE OINTMENT WILL BE A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE ON WEDNESDAY AND THE POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORMS. ECMWF SHOWING NEAR 1500J/KG OF 0-3KM MUCAPE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON ALONG WITH RESPECTABLE AMOUNT OF SHEAR. WILL THEREFORE HAVE TO KEEP A CLOSE EYE ON THIS FOR SEVERE POTENTIAL. APPEARS BEST THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL BE SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM NECEDAH AND VIROQUA WISCONSIN...TO FAYETTE IA. HOWEVER...DUE TO POSSIBILITY OF A STRONG CAP/TIMING OF FRONT...KEPT POPS LOW AT THIS TIME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 9, 2012 Share Posted March 9, 2012 There was some accumulating snow imby this morning. Have no idea how much since I was at work (in Vaughan) and it's all melted since. Had about 1-1.5" up there. Any one of my Toronto peeps wanna give me an estimate of how much fell in the city, that'd help a lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted March 9, 2012 Share Posted March 9, 2012 There was some accumulating snow imby this morning. Have no idea how much since I was at work (in Vaughan) and it's all melted since. Had about 1-1.5" up there. Any one of my Toronto peeps wanna give me an estimate of how much fell in the city, that'd help a lot. About 0.5-1'' fell but it did come in heavy bursts at times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropical Posted March 9, 2012 Author Share Posted March 9, 2012 Euro monthlies say the warmth drum beats on right through summer ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 9, 2012 Share Posted March 9, 2012 About 0.5-1'' fell but it did come in heavy bursts at times. Thanks. I'll plug in about 3/4". We'll see what Pearson/North York/Downtown say about it and I'll adjust accordingly. Looks like enough to push me over 20" imby for the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted March 9, 2012 Share Posted March 9, 2012 Thanks. I'll plug in about 3/4". We'll see what Pearson/North York/Downtown say about it and I'll adjust accordingly. Looks like enough to push me over 20" imby for the season. Just went outside boy did it get cold. It was just 66F the other day and we're back to winter. Bring on the warmth next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted March 9, 2012 Share Posted March 9, 2012 The cold is just miserable now after the teaser for next week we had a couple days ago. Wind chill in the upper teens here. Latest CPC outlook pretty much has the entire GLOV region, save for Kentuky, in the 90% above normal contour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 10, 2012 Share Posted March 10, 2012 Had a pretty cool sunset tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted March 10, 2012 Share Posted March 10, 2012 18z GFS ensemble mean: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted March 10, 2012 Share Posted March 10, 2012 Very nice clear night in SeMi. Jupiter and Venus are super bright! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdrenken Posted March 10, 2012 Share Posted March 10, 2012 There is a cut-off low spinning about! Some places have seen golf ball sized hail - and hail covering the ground! Kona Low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Justin Posted March 10, 2012 Share Posted March 10, 2012 Severe weather prospects middle of next week could get interesting... and beyond too if this warmth continues. The quiet/warm Winter has me a bit concerned for the severe weather season in the mid mississippi valley/great lakes region. Thought the same last Spring too and was wrong so who knows...but next week may offer a glimpse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted March 10, 2012 Share Posted March 10, 2012 Nice contrast between MN and South Dakota... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 10, 2012 Share Posted March 10, 2012 Wednesday looks interesting for severe weather around here. Looking forward to a mild spell, although the lake will dictate how many days next week it will be warm here. Have to watch those lake breezes that show their face in March! Chilly now: 25°, clear as a bell outside! Hope to see the Aurora later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted March 10, 2012 Share Posted March 10, 2012 00z GFS is just system after system for the second half of the month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 10, 2012 Share Posted March 10, 2012 00z GFS is just system after system for the second half of the month Will that trough park itself in the west or propagate eastward later in the month? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 10, 2012 Share Posted March 10, 2012 Nice contrast between MN and South Dakota... Holy crap that's impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted March 10, 2012 Share Posted March 10, 2012 Will that trough park itself in the west or propagate eastward later in the month? Whether is does that or just churns out trough after trough rotating around it, too early to tell, but either way, I'd be surprised if there wasn't at least one severe threat before the end of the month, given the temperature regime. Remember that if that large scale trough decides to take a trip east like some of the models have suggested, we'll probably have as much of a problem as multiple lesser (yet still very strong) shortwaves, if not more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted March 10, 2012 Share Posted March 10, 2012 Will that trough park itself in the west or propagate eastward later in the month? It will stay put and mod out. Maybe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 10, 2012 Share Posted March 10, 2012 Informative article from WGN's blog about the concern for a April freeze - like the one in 2007. It goes onto talk about what a cold snap could do to plants that start growing too early. http://blog.chicagoweathercenter.com/2012/03/tims-weather-world-could-we-see-another-freeze-like-april-2007.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 10, 2012 Share Posted March 10, 2012 Friday, March 9th: Hi: 39F Lo: 29F Overall Sky Conditions: Mostly Clear Max Wind Gust: 29MPH Rainfall: 0.00" Snowfall: 0.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beneficii Posted March 10, 2012 Share Posted March 10, 2012 Whether is does that or just churns out trough after trough rotating around it, too early to tell, but either way, I'd be surprised if there wasn't at least one severe threat before the end of the month, given the temperature regime. Remember that if that large scale trough decides to take a trip east like some of the models have suggested, we'll probably have as much of a problem as multiple lesser (yet still very strong) shortwaves, if not more. Ja, getting warm temperatures up into the OV this early is never a good thing. Quick question, would this setup also have potential for the Lower MS Valley and TN Valley? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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