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Northern Ohio Obs/Discussion Thread


Trent

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Pretty cool situation going on right now. Mesolow over far NE ohio/NW Pa right now is helping to kick up/direct the lake effect that is currently occurring. Hard to tell how much longer it will last before it moves on or falls apart, but it has been directing a decent band into Eastern Cuyohoga county into geagua county. I'm sure NEOH has picked up at least an inch or two. Not something you see everyday here, and a very unique/compicated situation with many aspects to it. Can even see some of the fronogenisis out over the lake associated with it. Pretty Cool!

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Anything that falls tomorrow will be a bonus. Great overperformer today. Snow has picked up again... Nice returns over the lake pushing south.

CLe reported 4.6" for the day... And a snow depth of 1". Needless to say they have a few problems with snowfall reporting.

Perhaps the snow depth was a typo? The 00Z & 06Z METAR from CLE show a snow depth of 6".

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See that CLE went with a warning for lake, geagua, and ashtabula counties. Somewhat surprised that they threw in Geagua, although lake was a good call. Northern Geagua will get in on some decent snow although not sure they get warning criteria and if anything it would only be the very northern part of the county. On another note, that mesolow I mentioned earlier is still hanging around. Should begin to move NE here soon and allow things to transfer to a more broad Westerly flow.

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Pretty cool situation going on right now. Mesolow over far NE ohio/NW Pa right now is helping to kick up/direct the lake effect that is currently occurring. Hard to tell how much longer it will last before it moves on or falls apart, but it has been directing a decent band into Eastern Cuyohoga county into geagua county. I'm sure NEOH has picked up at least an inch or two. Not something you see everyday here, and a very unique/compicated situation with many aspects to it. Can even see some of the fronogenisis out over the lake associated with it. Pretty Cool!

 

That meso low is holding strong. Pretty rare to see that form on lake erie. I picked up another 2.5" last night. The snow is pure fluff so it really doesn't look that impressive as it settles. I measured 7-8" on the ground.

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That meso low is holding strong. Pretty rare to see that form on lake erie. I picked up another 2.5" last night. The snow is pure fluff so it really doesn't look that impressive as it settles. I measured 7-8" on the ground.

Yea that was certainly neat to watch. Looks like it is northeast of erie, pa now. It set up great for your local. Low level winds were pretty light so the significant accumulations of over an inch didn't move to far inland. Only got 0.4" down here last night. The lake effect tonight will be fun to track. Unfortunately for me, it will be another miss. NE Cuyohoga might be able to get something out of it though. Need to enjoy the next few days of snow. After mid-week things dont look good.

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Nothing more than a dusting today. Not sure the les will fire up tonight. Lots of ice on the lake right now. Without a northerly wind I think les is going to have a tough time forming in ohio. Erie on up to western ny is a different story. CLe may need to drop the warnings.

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Super bowl power outage !! Crazy stuff.

Quick glance and looks like some good bands fired up on the lake.

New orleans is a disaster... It's a unique city with great food, but no doubt the armpit of the USA. Snow looks nice over the lake. Not sure it will last though. The clipper tomorrow might deliver more snow than the lake effect.
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Meso-low that formed last night off the eastern lakeshore has moved into western NY over the past couple hours...impressive longevity. Another meso-low (weaker) moving inland off of southwestern Lake Ontario too.

Indeed, very impressive.

Nothing more than a dusting today. Not sure the les will fire up tonight. Lots of ice on the lake right now. Without a northerly wind I think les is going to have a tough time forming in ohio. Erie on up to western ny is a different story. CLe may need to drop the warnings.

I think Lake,Ashtabula, and far northern Geagua should do decently well. Ice should be a hinderence, but think that some decent banding should still fire up. Yea I probably would have gone with a high end advisory instead of a warning.

Super bowl power outage !! Crazy stuff.

Quick glance and looks like some good bands fired up on the lake.

Yea that outage was crazy. Things are firing up nicely. Area of convergence should get stronger over the next few hours over the northern primary belt so I expect this to continue and intensify a bit in that region.

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New orleans is a disaster... It's a unique city with great food, but no doubt the armpit of the USA. Snow looks nice over the lake. Not sure it will last though. The clipper tomorrow might deliver more snow than the lake effect.

There should be a decent 10-12 hr window before it rapidly diminishes tommorow morning. I could certainly see areas of the the far northern primary getting 3-6". Niice area of convergence should set up in the lake/northern ashtabula county area.

I think the lake effect will have trouble making much headway inland...may clip the lakeshore from like Lorain to Euclid and then move into Lake/Asht./northern Geauga. Looks decently intense right now.

Yea I agree, low level flow shouldn't really benefit anybody except the northern primary .

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Picked up a fluffy inch last night. Light clipper snow is starting to fall. Hopefully we'll see another over-performer.

Only got 0.4" here. Interested to see the totals from the snowbelt when they are updated here soon.

I'm hoping for an over-performer too. CLE actual issued a WWA for 3-5 so we will probably end up get an inch or two.

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Snow is picking up in intensity. Heavier returns are to the SW but seem to be pushing northeastward. 3-5" is a decent clipper... it will be interesting to see what falls today. Winds come around to the north on the backside so we may get a burst of lake enhanced snow toward the end.

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We should have some impressive depths by the end of the week with this clipper train. Though there will be a lot of settling. Hopefully the warmup for the weekend is short lived ....

I'm not to optimistic about the warmup. Might be slow to start, but I see another good torch coming :(

Amazing how everytime we finally get a good snowpack, a torch hits

On another note, up to 1.5" in streetsboro and its coming down pretty good currently. Wherever that current band rolling through sets up best, should end up being the "jackpot" so to speak with this clipper. Hard to tell at this point.

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The heavier snows are having a hard time pushing north/east of 71 in the cleveland area. The lower end of the forecast totals will be a stretch unless things pick up. Radar has been looking great for lorain and western cuyahoga county.

yea lorain/west cuyohoga has looked pretty good. how much do you have up there? up to 2" down here. Its a lake effect fluff type of snow though. should reach minimal advisory criteria down here.

radar returns have actually looked decent in my area, sometimes over 20 dbz, but it never seems to want to really snow at a moderate clip. More or less just a solid continually light snow, with a moderate burst every once and a while. Slowly adding up though.

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yea lorain/west cuyohoga has looked pretty good. how much do you have up there? up to 2" down here. Its a lake effect fluff type of snow though. should reach minimal advisory criteria down here.

radar returns have actually looked decent in my area, sometimes over 20 dbz, but it never seems to want to really snow at a moderate clip. More or less just a solid continually light snow, with a moderate burst every once and a while. Slowly adding up though.

 

I'm in Chagrin at my office so I'm not sure what has fallen at home. Looks like an 1.5" or so here. We may see some heavier bursts as the snow to the west looks like it's trying to push east. Still a lot of snow in MI to move through this afternoon.

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Ended up with 2.8" from the clipper. Overall pretty much what was expected. Of course CLE does not issue an advisory when one was needed on saturday, then issues one for today (for 3-5" which verified practically nowhere) when it wasn't needed. Lol. Then if thats not enough, they cancel it right before rush hour when the heaviest of the snow is moving through. They drive me nuts...

On another note clipper #4 (or somewhere in there, I've lost track) should move through tommorow evening with another 1-3". Should be the last of the snow before the warmup. Its been a fun/entertaining "clipper parade" imo.

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Had a quick look at the lake on the visible satellite. Only a small opening of water in the central basin and out east toward WNY. Lake effect is shut down for the most part.

 

Looks like the last two clippers of the parade (yesterdays and todays) will underperform. Maybe an inch at best tonight. Thursday's storm has potential but we look to be on the warm side... but its going to be close.

 

Considering the type of winter we have had, we've had a pretty good run of snowfall so no complaints. One decent synoptic storm before winter ends is all I ask for.

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Had a quick look at the lake on the visible satellite. Only a small opening of water in the central basin and out east toward WNY. Lake effect is shut down for the most part.

Looks like the last two clippers of the parade (yesterdays and todays) will underperform. Maybe an inch at best tonight. Thursday's storm has potential but we look to be on the warm side... but its going to be close.

Considering the type of winter we have had, we've had a pretty good run of snowfall so no complaints. One decent synoptic storm before winter ends is all I ask for.

Yea I just took a look at the GLCFS page and man did the ice coverage increase fast. I would say 80-85% is frozen.

Clipper snow is just starting here. I'll be happy with an inch, but not even sure we will get that. I too am quite satisfied with this winter. Compared to last year it is a huge improvement even though it is still below average snow wise, but after last year anything seems good. I think we will get a decent synoptic event before the end of the year, but maybe I'm just being optimistic.

We'll see how warm and rainy it can get Sunday-Monday...may again shift the ice around although I doubt we get the western basin completely open. Models beginning to look interesting second half of next week after the brief warm up this weekend.

Things do look to hopefully stormier for our area towards the end of next week. With our luck though I won't be surprised if the trough axis shoves east over us sending a storm up the coast while we are stuck with cold and no lake effect due to a half frozen over lake.

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Ended up with 1" exactly. Man did it come down hard for a while. Probably the hardest I have seen all winter. Picked up that inch in about a 30-45 minute time period so it was coming down at easily 1" per hour, maybe 1.5" per hour. Good way to end the clipper "parade" imo. Now onto the warm up. :(

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Only had a dusting overnight in Chagrin but it is snowing lightly this morning, it's amazing how quickly the lake enhancement started this morning, and even with a frozen lake.

Probably won't get much, but the radar lit up around 7 am from nil.

Clouds thickness is about 3, 000 ft per a pilot report near CLE.

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