Chinook Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 First flakes of the storm here in Geagua County OH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Wow. Hasn't the model been pretty accurate? Like most of the hi-res models it tends to run a little high with QPF amounts however these models do a good job of showing potential if some of the heavier banding works out. I'd generally put the WRF's at the higher end of the forecast totals. Full side flakes lightly making to the ground in NE Summit now. Looks like I'll see the snow pick up considerably over the next half hour or so here. This is all spreading north to all you Cuyahoga County posters pretty quickly now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
carumba Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 First flakes of the storm here in Geagua County OH Just started snowing here in Chagrin Falls a few minutes ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Finally getting snow here, albeit light. SPC saying 1" to 1.5" rates this afternoon, and there's some heavy precip closing in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Snow just started in cuyahoga county. Radar looks nice to the south. Is the snow an hour or two late? I was expecting 9 or 10am. No complaints as flakes are finally flying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted December 26, 2012 Author Share Posted December 26, 2012 Snow just started in cuyahoga county. Radar looks nice to the south. Is the snow an hour or two late? I was expecting 9 or 10am. No complaints as flakes are finally flying. NAM had first flakes at 11am with accums beginning noon to 1pm. Things are on track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 It got heavy here quick...visibility already down to around a half mile and it's still picking up. Web cams showing near white out conditions in parts of Summit County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted December 26, 2012 Author Share Posted December 26, 2012 First flakes here downtown. I can literally see a wall of snow about 4 miles south approaching. We'll see how long I hold out downtown, I would like to actually get home this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dta1984 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Steady snow here in eastern cuyahoga. Accumulating rather quickly as roads are covered. Going to be a fun event ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 NWS favorite song: When the wx outsde is frghtfl Let it SN let it -SN let it +SN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 NWS favorite song: When the wx outsde is frghtfl Let it SN let it -SN let it +SN lol. you picked a good time to visit OH... geauga county nonetheless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEOH Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 NAM had first flakes at 11am with accums beginning noon to 1pm. Things are on track. Thanks, Right on schedule. Just noticed this update from CLE. Looks like the central lakeshore on east will be in the pivot area. T'snow later on? THE MIXED PRECIPITATION IS ROARING NORTH. HAVE HAD A REPORT OF A LITTLE MIXED PRECIPITATION IN MOUNT VERNON. NEW PHILADELPHIA AND GREATER PIT ARE MIXED AT 14Z. I THINK IT IS INEVITABLE THAT SOME FREEZING RAIN DROPS AND SLEET PELLETS MIX IN FROM MOUNT VERNON TO CANTON AND YOUNGSTOWN. THE PIVOT POINT SHOULD SET UP JUST NORTH OF THERE...ACROSS NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN OHIO...SO THE NORTHWARD SURGE OF THE WARM LAYER WILL BE CUT OFF. PLACES THAT GET MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL SEE SOMEWHAT LESSER AMOUNTS OF TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION AND HAVE LESS BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW FOR A WHILE BUT THE PRECIPITATION WILL GO BACK TO ALL SNOW THIS AFTERNOON AS THE LOW BEGINS TO SHIFT TOWARD THE EAST COAST. CANNOT RULE OUT A FLASH OF LIGHTNING BUT WILL NOT INCLUDE IT IN THE FORECAST GIVEN ALL ELSE THAT IS GOING ON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Visibility down to a quarter mile at FDY, MFD, CAK, and YNG. Half a mile at CLE. Pretty impressive obs as the heavy snow continues to stream in. About an inch here thus far. Getting ready to drive to work in about half an hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Thanks, Right on schedule. Just noticed this update from CLE. Looks like the central lakeshore on east will be in the pivot area. T'snow later on? THE MIXED PRECIPITATION IS ROARING NORTH. HAVE HAD A REPORT OF A LITTLE MIXED PRECIPITATION IN MOUNT VERNON. NEW PHILADELPHIA AND GREATER PIT ARE MIXED AT 14Z. I THINK IT IS INEVITABLE THAT SOME FREEZING RAIN DROPS AND SLEET PELLETS MIX IN FROM MOUNT VERNON TO CANTON AND YOUNGSTOWN. THE PIVOT POINT SHOULD SET UP JUST NORTH OF THERE...ACROSS NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN OHIO...SO THE NORTHWARD SURGE OF THE WARM LAYER WILL BE CUT OFF. PLACES THAT GET MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL SEE SOMEWHAT LESSER AMOUNTS OF TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION AND HAVE LESS BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW FOR A WHILE BUT THE PRECIPITATION WILL GO BACK TO ALL SNOW THIS AFTERNOON AS THE LOW BEGINS TO SHIFT TOWARD THE EAST COAST. CANNOT RULE OUT A FLASH OF LIGHTNING BUT WILL NOT INCLUDE IT IN THE FORECAST GIVEN ALL ELSE THAT IS GOING ON. Nice. It continues to look like the Cleveland area will just get pounded and be in a near perfect spot. Thundersnow would be a bonus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Thanks, Right on schedule. Just noticed this update from CLE. Looks like the central lakeshore on east will be in the pivot area. T'snow later on? THE MIXED PRECIPITATION IS ROARING NORTH. HAVE HAD A REPORT OF A LITTLE MIXED PRECIPITATION IN MOUNT VERNON. NEW PHILADELPHIA AND GREATER PIT ARE MIXED AT 14Z. I THINK IT IS INEVITABLE THAT SOME FREEZING RAIN DROPS AND SLEET PELLETS MIX IN FROM MOUNT VERNON TO CANTON AND YOUNGSTOWN. THE PIVOT POINT SHOULD SET UP JUST NORTH OF THERE...ACROSS NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN OHIO...SO THE NORTHWARD SURGE OF THE WARM LAYER WILL BE CUT OFF. PLACES THAT GET MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL SEE SOMEWHAT LESSER AMOUNTS OF TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION AND HAVE LESS BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW FOR A WHILE BUT THE PRECIPITATION WILL GO BACK TO ALL SNOW THIS AFTERNOON AS THE LOW BEGINS TO SHIFT TOWARD THE EAST COAST. CANNOT RULE OUT A FLASH OF LIGHTNING BUT WILL NOT INCLUDE IT IN THE FORECAST GIVEN ALL ELSE THAT IS GOING ON. If you told me two days ago that this would pivot in NWOH I would've called you completely crazy. Should be interesting to see what we end up with... local mets going 4-7" or so, CLE going with 5-11 here, 7-13" at FDY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted December 26, 2012 Author Share Posted December 26, 2012 I'm disappointed with snowfall rates thus far. Looking at the radar you'd think it'd be a whiteout, yet it's probably 1-1.5 mile visibs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 lol. you picked a good time to visit OH... geauga county nonetheless. I was going to spend some days in Toledo. I only spent two days there. We all were going to have the get together on the 29th here in Geagua County. So I just drove over here last night. Actually we were going to be getting together here on the 23rd, but the other blizzard closed the road in Nebraska (on the 20th.) I left Colorado on the 22nd. Picture of Des Moines Iowa on Dec. 23rd. Many cars and trucks were wrecked on I-80 in Iowa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
carumba Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 I'm disappointed with snowfall rates thus far. Looking at the radar you'd think it'd be a whiteout, yet it's probably 1-1.5 mile visibs. Visibility is definitely getting worse last 1/2 hr or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dta1984 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Rates have really picked up the last hour or so ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maumee Bay Turf Center Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 looks like toledo headed for dry slot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
carumba Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Very heavy snow now in Chagrin Falls. If anyone can tell me how to upload photos here I'll throw some up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dta1984 Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Very heavy snow once again after a brief let up. Anyone have any guesses how much we have seen? Eye balling looks like 6" or so. Seems to be alot of good snow in PA that is pivoting this way...not sure how much longer though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted December 26, 2012 Author Share Posted December 26, 2012 I think we'll end up on the very very low end of the forecast range. Both the NAM and GFS were advertising 2"+ per hour rates this afternoon that have never come to fruition. Three hours of snow at 2.3" per hour gets you almost 7" ... instead we are getting three hours of snow at 1" per hour. There goes 4 inches of snow off the forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
carumba Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 I think we'll end up on the very very low end of the forecast range. Both the NAM and GFS were advertising 2"+ per hour rates this afternoon that have never come to fruition. Three hours of snow at 2.3" per hour gets you almost 7" ... instead we are getting three hours of snow at 1" per hour. There goes 4 inches of snow off the forecast. After last year's crappy winter and the slow start this year, this event qualifies as a nice win in my book. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 It seems to be about 4" in 5 hours here. Snow has been very heavy at times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted December 26, 2012 Author Share Posted December 26, 2012 After last year's crappy winter and the slow start this year, this event qualifies as a nice win in my book. This was a nice event, the best in 2 years, but wow a Blizzard Warning? ouch. The first winter weather advisory was a bust in November. The winter storm warning last week was marginal at best. Especially since the zones didn't discriminate between coastal, secondary, and primary snowbelts. This blizzard warning is not going to come to fruition. Yeah, it snowed hard for a brief period, but nothing close to meeting those wind and visibility requirements. Judging by the radar the snow is on a downward trend and CLE only has 4" so far. The 1-2" rates per hour never materialized. I think it will be tough for CLE to squeeze a few more inches out of this. And wow was the model QPF way overdone. Take the model with the driest QPF for this area and we're not even at half that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 It seems to be about 4" in 5 hours here. Snow has been very heavy at times. Just be thankful you aren't in Toledo still... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northernohio Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Pictures from the Western Burbs.....Don't see us getting more than 8 or so inches. Jeff Tanchak, IMO one of the better METs in Cleveland just said if the moisture gets going 4-8 more inches. I'm betting we have 5-6 inches here now very hard to tell with the blowing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northernohio Posted December 26, 2012 Share Posted December 26, 2012 Here she is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted December 26, 2012 Author Share Posted December 26, 2012 Pictures from the Western Burbs.....Don't see us getting more than 8 or so inches. Jeff Tanchak, IMO one of the better METs in Cleveland just said if the moisture gets going 4-8 more inches. I'm betting we have 5-6 inches here now very hard to tell with the blowing. Radar starting to slowly fill back in. 4-8" more seems insane considering we've been under heavy returns since noon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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