RogueWaves Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 KGRR aviation calling for 2" per hour rates likely. Had a bit of that 29-Nov....was AWESOME! Hoping this can hold a candle to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 Your thoughts on the dryslot potential? Tough to say right now, there are returns showing up in IL where there was a dry pocket. I would say it is a nail biter to say the least, and be happy A^2 isn't on the far East side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 punting am i thinking what your thinking? MKE late night special. Not that I know what I'm looking at, but sure looks like they will get WAA wing and then perhaps the deformation band. Again,just watching radar trends ...and its early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 00Z nAM looking RUC like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 Thru 12 hours it still a hair further south. So far so good. Fingers crossed man Not much QPF though. Hard to imagine this was the model spitting out 1.25-1.50" 18 hours ago. Edit: still find a way to wrap this thing back to Detroit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 24, 2012 Author Share Posted February 24, 2012 for the folks out east... 0z NAM has a sub 992mb SLP between DTW and YYZ by 18hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 am i thinking what your thinking? MKE late night special. Not that I know what I'm looking at, but sure looks like they will get WAA wing and then perhaps the deformation band. Again,just watching radar trends ...and its early. Things are a bit too fr north for my liking atm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 Not much QPF though. Hard to imagine this was the model spitting out 1.25-1.50" 18 hours ago. Edit: still find a way to wrap this thing back to Detroit. lol...hype haha. I still think North Toronto/GTA has a shot at decent snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 If nam Verifies 1-3" for all S/E Mi.. What I don't get is how the hell does that LP basically move east at hour 12 and then hour 18 NW to Detroit? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 lol...hype haha. I still think Barrie/Haliburton has a shot at decent snowfall. fyp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 for the folks out east... 0z NAM has a sub 992mb SLP between DTW and YYZ by 18hrs. what are your thoughts on radar trends for our area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 fyp lol. The 0z Nam is better than the 18z Nam so hush up haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 Winter of 2011-12, eh? am i thinking what your thinking? MKE late night special. Not that I know what I'm looking at, but sure looks like they will get WAA wing and then perhaps the deformation band. Again,just watching radar trends ...and its early. i think we'll still see a decent period but intensity is trending down with each RUC/HRRR run... 2-5 still looks good, probably no TSSN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpsycho Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 The band is strengthening as it approaches Madison, exceeding 30 dBZ across almost the entire span. Down to 33 °F. Starting to get really excited. You don't even have an advisory or a warning and you gonna get more a lot more snow then here with a warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 If nam Verifies 1-3" for all S/E Mi.. What I don't get is how the hell does that LP basically move east at hour 12 and then hour 18 NW to Detroit? I guess it gets sucked up to the north when the H5 low closes off. The whole trough axis and vort max is still moving east though. Seems a bit extreme to me without the trough going extreme neg. tilt, but there's definitely some consistency starting to show up so it's not without merit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 The central axis of the band is now moving into Wisconsin. Virga here and 36/29. Precip should begin in the next few hours. Very impressive to see snow accumulations despite above freezing temps to the south, shows how hard it's snowing. Freezing temps spreading through a pocket of NE IA and NW IL. You just might be able to sneak into the 3-5" zone. Called it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 Some nice new bands taking off over and just northwest of DVN. Also some cellular precip down near Galesburg looks interesting. Precip should continue to rapidly increase and expand over northern Illinois over the next several hours as that vort in Iowa moves closer. Btw, rain/sleet mixture here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 You don't even have an advisory or a warning and you gonna get more a lot more snow then here with a warning. Yeah, suddenly this looks like a SC Wisconsin special; they're getting hammered while we get some light almost pixie dust snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 00z NAM is not good for east-central IA because instead of training the central IA snow eastward across the area it now swings that snow more southeastward and goes to my south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 Sigh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 I guess it gets sucked up to the north when the H5 low closes off. The whole trough axis and vort max is still moving east though. Seems a bit extreme to me without the trough going extreme neg. tilt, but there's definitely some consistency starting to show up so it's not without merit. 0z Nam showed 4-6" north of 401 and 2-4" south of 401. Its alot better than the 18z Nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 better banding getting going west of DVN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 0z Nam showed 4-6" north of 401 and 2-4" south of 401. Its alot better than the 18z Nam. link? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 link? I dont know. Some one posted on accuwx forums. I believe its instantweathermaps, not sure. Also the total qpf thru 33 hours shows north gta in the .50 to .75 range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 Some nice new bands taking off over and just northwest of DVN. Also some cellular precip down near Galesburg looks interesting. Precip should continue to rapidly increase and expand over northern Illinois over the next several hours as that vort in Iowa moves closer. Btw, rain/sleet mixture here. http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=N0R&rid=dvn&loop=yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 24, 2012 Author Share Posted February 24, 2012 what are your thoughts on radar trends for our area? everything seems to be going close to what was expected for now. convective-ish elements are present down around GBG/MQB, with a rapidly developing/intensifying area of snow along and north of I-80 in E. Iowa/NW. Illinois (including some nice meso scale banding). this will all move intot he LOT CWA over the next few hours. earlier call of 2-7" along/north of I-80 looks good (localized high amts). still think the heaviest axis will be from Lee to Cook Co...but the given that the earlier FGEN band overproduced up north, the axis might have to be expanded up there too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmichweather Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 Sigh I should have warned everyone that I was driving into Detroit today and I would be bringing my snow jinx. I'm sorry SE MI posters I accept all blame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 I should have warned everyone that I was driving into Detroit today and I would be bringing my snow jinx. I'm sorry SE MI posters I accept all blame. I believe your namesake brought good luck up here though lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 pretty out there.. looks like kevlons wonderfull shots earlier. grass covered and tree's plastered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpsycho Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 I should have warned everyone that I was driving into Detroit today and I would be bringing my snow jinx. I'm sorry SE MI posters I accept all blame. Your fired!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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