NAM's big storm for Feb 24th ...there's some reason to see why it can be done

[NorEastermass128]

No snow south of NH

50s for everyone

If it snows 5" in Tolland...

...we all use reverse psychology for the rest of the season.

Heck...maybe me and coastalwx can get a few inches, while Ray is too far north? That'd make everybody happy.

[CoastalWx]

Basically the lift and associated LLJ develop and move east, but weaken as it moves away to the south of SNE.

[HoarfrostHubb]

Congrats Block Island?

[ineedsnow]

yesterday i didnt think i was really going to see more then a few flakes.. Its amazing how bad models have been this winter

[N. OF PIKE]

with that beast in the maritimes seeing this round 1 pushed south into pike-CT over thru PIKE-RI-scooter land

[mattb65]

nam still has a solid omega thump..moves more e than n but overall...still a good look (all things considered).

it's also probably frozen right to the coast.

There's a sneaky warm layer around 800 mb - might cause some pinging problems for some on the edge if the NAM is right... Verbatim it keeps things snow but it's really close to pingers, and flips over to pings just as the precip is moving out.

[ineedsnow]

I wonder if box updates and places most of northern ct in a advisory or if they will wait awhile

[CoastalWx]

If Ekster lived in Attleboro, he'd probably have another sappling snapper with 2" of 7:1 ratio snow.

[HoarfrostHubb]

Thin batch of moisture extends almost back into Nebraska on radar. Also pulling in some from the southern region

[Modfan]

Well, down to 36 here in NE CT. Be interesting to see if I wake up to anymore than an inch.....

[dendrite]

wicked disastah

[ski MRG]

Thin batch of moisture extends almost back into Nebraska on radar. Also pulling in some from the southern region

I'm starting to think I'll get smoked.

[HoarfrostHubb]

I'm starting to think I'll get smoked.

You always do...

Norfolk, CT jackpot?

[CoastalWx]

Well maybe if this keeps going south, people like Dendrite will reap the benefits of the secondary tomorrow night.

[Baroclinic Zone]

This is nuts. These probs have steadily risen in SNE over the past couple days.

[HoarfrostHubb]

Well maybe if this keeps going south, people like Dendrite will reap the benefits of the secondary tomorrow night.

Batch 1 goes south of me

Batch 2 goes north

Stuck in the middle with you...

[N. OF PIKE]

waz up w/ that secondary .....rain to hvy snow for EMA?

[OKpowdah]

wicked disastah

Yep, SNH officially just went from a 3-5"/3 hour pounding to nothing.

I kept saying round of heavy snow tomorrow morning ... well that's a bust lol

[CoastalWx]

waz up w/ that secondary .....rain to hvy snow for EMA?

No not here. Maybe in NNE.

[dendrite]

Well maybe if this keeps going south, people like Dendrite will reap the benefits of the secondary tomorrow night.

The secondary was all snow here on 18z...00z is PL to SN. I'm still trying to figure out what happened today...lol.

I'm due for a climo payback though.

[HoarfrostHubb]

The secondary was all snow here on 18z...00z is PL to SN. I'm still trying to figure out what happened today...lol.

I'm due for a climo payback though.

I'll have a bite of that sandwich...

[ORH_wxman]

That is a hellacious band that develops over N PA and the southern tier of NY...we'll have to watch how much it weakens before hitting SNE...its tough to actually intensify it so much there and then all of the sudden weaken it enough to have lower impact over that short distance.

[dendrite]

Yep, SNH officially just went from a 3-5"/3 hour pounding to nothing.

I kept saying round of heavy snow tomorrow morning ... well that's a bust lol

At least those who cancelled winter and expected 50s/60s tomorrow will be rewarded with snow.

[CoastalWx]

The secondary was all snow here on 18z...00z is PL to SN. I'm still trying to figure out what happened today...lol.

I'm due for a climo payback though.

I noticed after the 18z GFS and then the HRRR runs after, that it started hinting at maybe this being a little more south. That's when we commented on the BTV WRF. It's probably going to come down to a nowcast deal, but seems like that's the trend.

[ski MRG]

You always do...

Norfolk, CT jackpot?

Usually works out pretty well.

[ORH_wxman]

I think my final forecast for here will be 2-4"...though I may leave it at 1-3" if GFS looks really ugly or something like that.

[weatherMA]

Interesting. I never thought there would be a chance I could miss this to the south lol. I feel good about 2-3" here but not great. Being the weenie I am, I will probably get like 4 hours of sleep tonight because of this storm lol.

[CoastalWx]

Would be nice to actually have measurable in my hood. I hope that nrn edge of the mega bands can make it into nrn MA anyways.

[ski MRG]

At least those who cancelled winter and expected 50s/60s tomorrow will be rewarded with snow.

Can you impose Kevin's 3 month self exile if he gets 5" should he try to break his promise to us all?

[Baroclinic Zone]

I wonder if the southerly trend of this 1st batch is being driven by the low bombing out over Nova Scotia. Develops just enough confluence to pinch this S.