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NAM's big storm for Feb 24th ...there's some reason to see why it can be done

Typhoon Tip

By Typhoon Tip,
in New England

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ORH_wxman

ORH_wxman

Posted
Posted

I dunno about that ; I said in the opener, let's not disregard this solution... We're inside 30 hours in a scenario that requires a finite mesh. The NAM more than just seems to do well with these thermal compression scenarios, and having a potent warm front park S of the area while a huge wind max roars over top is real real dicey. Rapid cyclogenesis scenarios are no unwarranted. The NAM just spins up a secondary at bombogen rates and clobbers the area while doing so.

I could see the NAM sort of having the right idea but I think that secondary would probably bomb too late for us. It was entertaining to see the solution though at 18z for tomorrow night.

For laughs, look at what it spits out here at 33 hours....TSSN with 0C at 850mb, lol...talk about isothermal snow bomb

http://68.226.77.253/text/MESOSFC/NAM_KORH.txt

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Amped

Amped

Posted
Posted

As everyones 496th favorite forcaster I will now awkwardly chime in,

NAM showing a foot of snow @ while +10C at 850mb makes it over NYC which is kind of finny Funny.

There maybe some warm layer problems especially south of Concord NH at H7 since winds are out of the SW and there are warm temps just to your south.

So a lot of sleet is my guess after the initial thump. Then over to drizzel and 40s.

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ski MRG

ski MRG

Posted
Posted

Just tired of half my posts which there is nothing wrong with always getting deleted.

I'm hopeful we all see snow..but I feel like Scooter and raising the flags. Alot can go wrong

I think that there should be a member advisory panel set up to monitor the actions of moderators and be a tool for members to contest unfair sanctions. This model has worked well nationwide where citizen advisory panels have helped to lower instances of police brutality. Getting back to the weather, I could really see this going either way. I won't be surpised if this busts with only 1-2" here or if it thumps 8" in record time. Gun to head I'd say 5.7" by noon and then maybe a little icing on the cake Fri night with 1-2" additional.

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dendrite

dendrite

Posted
Posted

Would be odd to have 0.25 cm increments...that is probably inches, but wow, that is a lot of dampness

Why would it be odd? I think cm is more likely than inches. At least for the model's sake I hope it is cm because otherwise they should just can it for neing horrible. lol
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HoarfrostHubb

HoarfrostHubb

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Why would it be odd? I think cm is more likely than inches. At least for the model's sake I hope it is cm because otherwise they should just can it for neing horrible. lol

Well, in most data output, when you see something output in metric units, they don't go by quarter units.

For inches, yes.

Looking at the scale, maye it is cm, though, since the colors correspond to 0.1 units. Maybe just the way it is run they post contours to 0.25 cm intervals

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Ginx snewx

Ginx snewx

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Why would it be odd? I think cm is more likely than inches. At least for the model's sake I hope it is cm because otherwise they should just can it for neing horrible. lol

I would say CM but every other data set is English , but then again I would take a inch WE, cold thruout, funny every time I check this model it's pretty warm. Meh but...

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It's Always Sunny

It's Always Sunny

Posted
Posted

so there will be lil accumulations because of poor lift and or BL temps being borderline? kinda what most figured

one poster mentioned warm ground and this is a garbage argument in april or may if rates are high

hopefully this busts positive

i like what mark webster is saying and they have been mentioning this in the NYC forum....that storm E of maine is CRANKIN

Not a fan of snow, but wouldn't mind seeing at least one snowfall event that came close to the accumulation of the Oct Noreaster. If that vort max wasn't too far offshore at that the time the bulk of the precip passes through I'd be outside building a snowfort.

post-7595-0-66176900-1330046034.gif

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