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NAM's big storm for Feb 24th ...there's some reason to see why it can be done

Typhoon Tip

By Typhoon Tip,
in New England

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dendrite

dendrite

Posted
Posted

oh I hope so bro, that sure is a juiced run. Thinking back to similar systems, seems very plausible with that inflow.

It slowly cools off after this point (00z) and in the 6hr period after that it spits out 0.70" here...lol.

Date: 12 hour AVN valid 0Z SAT 25 FEB 12
Station: 43.43,-71.62
Latitude:   43.43
Longitude: -71.62
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LEV PRES  HGHT  TEMP  DEWP  RH  DD   WETB DIR SPD THETA THE-V THE-W THE-E   W
 mb	 m	 C	 C	%   C	 C  deg knt   K	 K	 K	 K	g/kg
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SFC  966   250   0.2  -0.8  93  1.0  -0.2  96  14 276.0 276.7 274.7 286.2  3.73
 2  950   384  -0.7  -1.3  96  0.6  -0.9  98  23 276.5 277.1 274.9 286.6  3.66
 3  900   815  -2.1  -2.4  98  0.3  -2.2 113  36 279.4 280.0 276.3 289.3  3.57
 4  850  1271  -0.3  -0.7  98  0.3  -0.5 144  35 285.8 286.5 280.4 298.0  4.28
 5  800  1757   0.1  -0.2  98  0.3  -0.0 171  38 291.2 292.1 283.4 304.9  4.71
 6  750  2273  -2.1  -2.4  98  0.3  -2.2 183  41 294.3 295.1 284.1 306.9  4.28
 7  700  2822  -3.0  -3.6  95  0.6  -3.3 206  51 299.2 300.0 285.9 311.8  4.18
 8  650  3406  -6.1  -7.2  92  1.1  -6.5 217  58 302.1 302.7 286.2 312.6  3.42
 9  600  4028  -9.9 -10.8  93  0.9 -10.2 225  58 304.7 305.2 286.6 313.5  2.81
10  550  4694 -14.5 -15.4  93  0.8 -14.8 233  58 306.9 307.2 286.6 313.6  2.10
11  500  5409 -20.1 -20.4  98  0.3 -20.1 240  58 308.6 308.9 286.6 313.5  1.51
12  450  6180 -26.4 -26.8  96  0.4 -26.5 239  77 310.0 310.2 286.5 313.2  0.95
13  400  7019 -33.0 -33.3  97  0.3 -33.0 236 109 312.2 312.3 286.8 314.2  0.58

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CT Rain

CT Rain

Posted
Posted

very deep spring-like mixing layer as ryan said. good low/mid level CAA but surface temps that will probably still be anywhere from 3 to 5C so you get very steep 1000-800 LRs. and good pressure rise.

lol I was being sort of sarcastic with the sun angle comment... but yeah if you have 60 knots at the top of the BL you're going to rip tomorrow.

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CT Rain

CT Rain

Posted
Posted

Stupid. The most overrated argument by Mets and they should no better.

I've never seen 1/2SM or better snow not accumulate on pavement.

If your argument is rates will remain light then use that... the warm pavement thing is just idiotic.

How does hail pile up on roads in July?

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Ginx snewx

Ginx snewx

Posted
Posted

Seems like most of TOL Cty had about 3 inches..though Stafford to the north had 2 or so.

...TOLLAND COUNTY...

   TOLLAND                3.0   708 AM  2/24  HAM RADIO

   COVENTRY               3.0   747 AM  2/24  NONE

Seemed pretty consistent from you to me and Garth, just south of us in Griswold, Colchester looked like 4

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Tropopause_Fold

Tropopause_Fold

Posted
Posted

lol I was being sort of sarcastic with the sun angle comment... but yeah if you have 60 knots at the top of the BL you're going to rip tomorrow.

i actually think there's some truth to it this year though. lol

if we had a widespread snowpack or it was going to be cloudy it'd be different. but the one theme of the last 2 or 3 weeks has been to bust high on daytime temps. i imagine that holds true tomorrow as well. the soundings are mixed to like 750 / 800 mb.

if interior areas end up with a SC deck and surface temps are too low, maybe it doesn't but i don't know...even using the raw surface values gives the well mixed soundings.

06z MOS has 29 knots at BOS and BDL. That's ripping.

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Damage In Tolland

Damage In Tolland

Posted
Posted

Seemed pretty consistent from you to me and Garth, just south of us in Griswold, Colchester looked like 4

Yeah it was kind of a mix of lat/long for this..You had to be west to get snow but also south.

A narrow ribbon of 4-5 across south central CT on east and just to the north the 2ndary max of 3-4 and it dropps quickly as you work north. There's about 2 inches in Windsor here at the office...

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Ginx snewx

Ginx snewx

Posted
Posted

Yeah it was kind of a mix of lat/long for this..You had to be west to get snow but also south.

A narrow ribbon of 4-5 across south central CT on east and just to the north the 2ndary max of 3-4 and it dropps quickly as you work north. There's about 2 inches in Windsor here at the office...

Nice surprise event, second overperformer this winter for me anyway.

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