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NAM's big storm for Feb 24th ...there's some reason to see why it can be done

Typhoon Tip

By Typhoon Tip,
in New England

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dendrite

dendrite

Posted
Posted

06z GFS was pretty bullish for up here later today but also tracked the low further NW thru DE maine, Euro was further SE and thru the Bay of Fundy, A blend of the two would really bode well

The big problem here is 800mb temps. Best case scenario here are those WRF NMM/ARW runs from 00z last night. We need this secondary cranking early. I won't hold my breath.
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nzucker

nzucker

Posted
Posted

Total bust in the Monadnocks, another insult in the winter 11-12, the winter of our discontent. Just a light coating on the ground, NWS has cut totals severely here, doesn't look like we'll see much of anything as the mid-levels jump above freezing before the coastal gets cranking. When the column cools, most of that CCB will probably be in Maine/Northern NH and not the Monadnocks. Unreal how fragmented the radar looks given what the NAM and GFS showed yesterday, but the Euro once again had the right idea of the lift weakening as banding translated east.

With a cutter coming in early March and nothing brewing after that, what are the odds we don't reach the 69.5" Dobbs Ferry had last year here at 1200' in New Hampshire? 90%? Disgusting!

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HIPPYVALLEY

HIPPYVALLEY

Posted
Posted

Total bust in the Monadnocks, another insult in the winter 11-12, the winter of our discontent. Just a light coating on the ground, NWS has cut totals severely here, doesn't look like we'll see much of anything as the mid-levels jump above freezing before the coastal gets cranking. When the column cools, most of that CCB will probably be in Maine/Northern NH and not the Monadnocks. Unreal how fragmented the radar looks given what the NAM and GFS showed yesterday, but the Euro once again had the right idea of the lift weakening as banding translated east.

With a cutter coming in early March and nothing brewing after that, what are the odds we don't reach the 69.5" Dobbs Ferry had last year here at 1200' in New Hampshire? 90%? Disgusting!

I really feel for you man, you moved to one of the snowiest areas in SNE/CNE and it has been a complete and utter screw job.

The Monads are usually a lock for 70"+

I was up in Catamount SF in Colrain (1400') yesterday and the woods were almost completely bare.

Weird year.

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dryslot

dryslot

Posted
Posted

Well it doesn't mean the same will work out, up that way. I really haven't looked all that much for your area to be honest.

The big problem here is 800mb temps. Best case scenario here are those WRF NMM/ARW runs from 00z last night. We need this secondary cranking early. I won't hold my breath.

I think that is going to be the case here in the coastal plain, BL temps are going to be an issue early on unless we can get this thing to crank earlier

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