NAM's big storm for Feb 24th ...there's some reason to see why it can be done

[CoastalWx]

I mentioned 1/12/2011 completely non-jokingly yesterday

Seriously, this has significant similarities

?? No way.

[40/70 Benchmark]

I mentioned 1/12/2011 completely non-jokingly yesterday

Seriously, this has significant similarities

I agree.

[NorEastermass128]

That would be bordering on worth it....

I just could do without the 1-2", 2-4"-to cold rain $hit.

It's just nasty and boring.

I'm just glad to see anything at this point whether it be a coating or 1-3".

There is bust potential either way with this system, which is kind of exciting. It would be cool to wake up to a mantle of white tomorrow (even if it does changeover).

[40/70 Benchmark]

?? No way.

I think he just meant the general compact nature and explosive deepening.

[NorEastermass128]

?? No way.

Does he mean 1/12/12?

[CoastalWx]

I think he just meant the general compact nature.

I still don't see it. That was a compact bomb near ACK. This is a warm front with an occlusion going by.

[dendrite]

18z BTV WRF pounds NW CT tomorrow morning and then wallops C/N NE tomorrow night.

[ChrisM]

Everyone just needs to remember that this started out as a 60f windstorm

[40/70 Benchmark]

I still don't see it. That was a compact bomb near ACK. This is a warm front with an occlusion going by.

Well, I haven't looked at anything and didn't know there was an event on hand until this PM, so......

I just read that it was compact and doing to deepen rapidly.

[ChrisM]

18z BTV WRF pounds NW CT tomorrow morning and then wallops C/N NE tomorrow night.

Game on thank god ill behome

[dendrite]

Keep it to weather guys.

[CoastalWx]

Well, I haven't looked at anything and didn't know there was an event on hand until this PM, so......

I just read that it was compact and doing to deepen rapidly.

But this won't deepen rapidly until it approaches Toots fanny. If anything, this has more similarities of SWFE in 2007...minus the antecedent airmass.

[Damage In Tolland]

Cooling off surprisingly well..35.8/24

[NorEastermass128]

Cooling off surprisingly well..35.8/24

Congrats on your 2-3" tonight!

Radar shows some impressive returns in OH. Should translate nicely eastward.

[Damage In Tolland]

Keep it to weather guys.

Agreed and thanks

[Baroclinic Zone]

Keep it to weather guys.

Agreed.

I just deleted all the innuendo, sexual posts.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Down to 34 off a high of 44 so that's a start. Albany's NOAA Wx Radio is calling for 1-3" in the N Ct Valley so we'll see.

I just realized this week that my Subaru factory radio has Weather bands. Only had the car for two years...

[bboughton]

Agreed.

I just deleted all the innuendo, sexual posts.

Fair enough. Thanks

[OKpowdah]

As I said in the last thread, very similar type of dynamics of at play.

Insane vorticity advection and diffluent flow ahead of the upper low.

THE ONLY DIFFERENCE between 1/12/2011 (YES, 2011) is a -NAO.

The last few days of model runs hinted at this, and the 18z NAM shows this beautifully!

[ski MRG]

32/26, liking Box's forecast. It's fun to see Kevin get drawn in. He'll be all in by bedtime. It would almost be worth it if this was a total bust with not a flake in SNE and 50's to Canada only after he's 180'd his forecast. Nah. Let it snow.

[CoastalWx]

Oh that's what you meant? Yeah I suppose...but in terms of placement...no where near Jan 12 2011. Maybe for Toot...lol.

[OKpowdah]

Oh that's what you meant? Yeah I suppose...but in terms of placement...no where near Jan 12 2011. Maybe for Toot...lol.

Oh yeah, no I wasn't drawing any analogs to placement. Again, the -NAO kinda screws us there. But the dynamics are huge

[ski MRG]

Oh that's what you meant? Yeah I suppose...but in terms of placement...no where near Jan 12 2011. Maybe for Toot...lol.

The Euro is a troublesome red flag, no?

[CoastalWx]

Oh yeah, no I wasn't drawing any analogs to placement. Again, the -NAO kinda screws us there. But the dynamics are huge

Yeah similar placement and style of that vortmax rounding the eastern side of the ULL.

[CoastalWx]

The Euro is a troublesome red flag, no?

Kind of, but more for this area. It brings better lift into western MA ans CT, but weakens it as a weak wave slides south of SNE.

[powderfreak]

18z BTV WRF pounds NW CT tomorrow morning and then wallops C/N NE tomorrow night.

LOL can you say "front-end thump"

CT gets absolutely lit up before the lift weakens quickly as it moves north and east.

[ski MRG]

Kind of, but more for this area. It brings better lift into western MA ans CT, but weakens it as a weak wave slides south of SNE.

Oh, ok, who cares then.

j/k

[ski MRG]

LOL can you say "front-end thump"

CT gets absolutely lit up before the lift weakens quickly as it moves north and east.

is that all snow though?

[CoastalWx]

I didn't even look at the BTV WRF, but that's what I was wondering. Maybe not weaken significantly, but perhaps max out there. But then again, the NAM and SREFs don't really agree with that and do favor areas a little more north.

[mayjawintastawm]

Rootin' for ya... last year SNE won every time while we were dry as a bone, this year the opposite, not that they're connected...

Funny how some years (this year in SNE!) you agonize over 1 vs 2 inches, others you ignore a half a foot (last year in SNE!).

last night we had what was supposed to be a relatively benign FROPA with some flurries after an evening in the 50s and we wound up with 6-8 inches of flurries in about 5 hours, after a temp drop of 15 degrees in about an hour. 64" on the season IMBY (seasonal average around 60). Wish I hadn't sold the John Deere blower before we left C MA.