NAM's big storm for Feb 24th ...there's some reason to see why it can be done

[ski MRG]

28/23, CAAVU

[CoastalWx]

Scott, I remember now that ne MA was another real screw zone in 2010 for some reason....if you look at Will's map....I had 54.5", but you had up about by Groveland and that area and it was like 38" lol

Yeah I remember, I was just trying to think of the storms that he beat you in.

[moneypitmike]

I'd prob go 3-5 for your area...but maybe less up by MPM...the band might be stronger as it enters W MA.

New NAM keeps the heaviest of the first batch south of us, but brings it in enough so that we'd get a few inches. More specifically, I'm thinking 3-5" for Pete and I, 2-3" up by MPM. Batch two starts as rain, maybe some freezing rain on the east slope, before ending as brief burst of snow. We might get an inch or two from that, but we have a strong upslope signal for tomorrow night during CAA. Depending on how this transpires, it could bring several inches of additional snow for someone, especially N Berks, S Greens. Northern Greens are going to get smoked with wrap around and upslope.

I'm glad my excitement was limited to about 4 hours. These trends are disheartening for the extremes of GC. Drying out on the overnight and the second round will be 1) too warm on the front end, and 2) too dry (west) on the back end. Perhaps I'll be sawing this weekend as I had earlier thought.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Yeah I remember, I was just trying to think of the storms that he beat you in.

I forget.

[CoastalWx]

So what's this looking like for the Boston area? I've been in class for the past few hours and it seems like things have changed.

Maybe coating to half inch. Probably a 30% chance of an inch if I had to guess. It will depend on the banding, If it rips, we could do surprisingly well.

[CoastalWx]

I don't think it would weaken much...I worry about the final latitude it attains. As of now, I think it looks pretty good for ORH-BOS corridor.

Radar that is. Hopefully it doesn't get ragged looking after moving east into SNE.

[OKpowdah]

You even sound like a grad student, what's the annual snow there?

Thanks. Normal annual snowfall: 44.1" ...not horrible.

[40/70 Benchmark]

I won't really flip either way......just see what happens.

It will be nice to see snow if I get it, but if I don't then I will take solace in the record.

[ORH_wxman]

I don't think it would weaken much...I worry about the final latitude it attains. As of now, I think it looks pretty good for ORH-BOS corridor.

A place to watch is the southern tier....like BGM...if they get into good stuff, we are probably going to do well.

[ChrisM]

ChrisM all of the sudden went from swallowing an UZI to possibly jackpot..lol.

Dude I was close to, snownh can run and tell dat

Homeboi

What's your pre gfs call

[40/70 Benchmark]

A place to watch is the southern tier....like BGM...if they get into good stuff, we are probably going to do well.

I think you post that before every west-east moving event. lol

True, though....makes sense.

[CoastalWx]

A place to watch is the southern tier....like BGM...if they get into good stuff, we are probably going to do well.

Yeah that's probably a good benchmark.

[ORH_wxman]

I think you post that before every west-east moving event. lol

True, though....makes sense.

They are just barely south of BOS-ORH latitude...so a system moving E to ENE that hits them well is in line to hit us downstream.

[Baroclinic Zone]

28/23, CAAVU

I've dropped to 40F. DP at 22F though so I can wet bulb a bit.

[CoastalWx]

A place to watch is the southern tier....like BGM...if they get into good stuff, we are probably going to do well.

Maybe you can luck out and stay just to the north of the dryslot in the weenie west to east band. At least the returns might allow for a few more hours of snow.

[dryslot]

Jeff needs the NAM to verify tmw, or I got that one, too.

I do?

[Ginx snewx]

Yeah that's probably a good benchmark.

LOL, are you supposed to be up for work at like 215

[ineedsnow]

I honestly cant believe box does not have an advisory out

[40/70 Benchmark]

They are just barely south of BOS-ORH latitude...so a system moving E to ENE that hits them well is in line to hit us downstream.

I'd say by about 2AM.....you'll be derobed, Kocin book in one hand, Bud Light in the other, all the while typing BGM obs with your nose.

[40/70 Benchmark]

I do?

You be that I'd get 5" by the end of Feb, didn't you

[dryslot]

You be that I'd get 5" by the end of Feb, didn't you

No, Rick, (Logan11) did i believe

[CoastalWx]

LOL, are you supposed to be up for work at like 215

Nah 4:30. I like these events. Pretty sad when your hometown might not get more than a sloppy coating, but I do have to deal with it at work.

[40/70 Benchmark]

No, Rick, (Logan11) did

I could have sworn it was you.....

[ORH_wxman]

Maybe you can luck out and stay just to the north of the dryslot in the weenie west to east band. At least the returns might allow for a few more hours of snow.

Yeah there is probably going to be a bit of a tail on the precip shield after the main first thump moves through. So whoever gets in that tail could get a few extra hours of light snow.

[Typhoon Tip]

I honestly cant believe box does not have an advisory out

Read their 10pm AFD - they'll likely pull that trigger.

[Ginx snewx]

You can see that weenie band starting to jell on radar. My bet, Pete to Will Jackpot.

[OKpowdah]

Pretty cool to finally have something interesting to track at least. Hopefully this holds a pleasant surprise for everyone!

Radar is certainly looking impressive from northern OH to PA, and then the band with the ULL from IA to WI is pretty good looking too.

[dryslot]

I could have sworn it was you.....

No, I was posting in the thread but i did not bet, Hell i was not even sure i was going to see another 5"............lol

I think its back in here

http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/32597-feb-17-storm-disco-i-looking-like-a-pos-special/page__st__140

[HoarfrostHubb]

Yeah there is probably going to be a bit of a tail on the precip shield after the main first thump moves through. So whoever gets in that tail could get a few extra hours of light snow.

I'm outa the game for the most part? Maybe and inch or 2?

[ineedsnow]

Just did I think im going to go to bed at 11 and wake up at 3 this will be fun to watch unfold

Read their 10pm AFD - they'll likely pull that trigger.