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NAM's big storm for Feb 24th ...there's some reason to see why it can be done


Typhoon Tip

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  On 2/24/2012 at 1:04 PM, CoastalWx said:

Yeah I think I mentioned that it's possible we could see something like that happen. It was when we were talking about the various scenarios. The snow literally vaporized over Mass.

Ok, Trying to get a feel for here later, How was the HRR? It seemed like it handled ok as well

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  On 2/24/2012 at 1:08 PM, Dryslot said:

06z GFS was pretty bullish for up here later today but also tracked the low further NW thru DE maine, Euro was further SE and thru the Bay of Fundy, A blend of the two would really bode well

The big problem here is 800mb temps. Best case scenario here are those WRF NMM/ARW runs from 00z last night. We need this secondary cranking early. I won't hold my breath.
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Total bust in the Monadnocks, another insult in the winter 11-12, the winter of our discontent. Just a light coating on the ground, NWS has cut totals severely here, doesn't look like we'll see much of anything as the mid-levels jump above freezing before the coastal gets cranking. When the column cools, most of that CCB will probably be in Maine/Northern NH and not the Monadnocks. Unreal how fragmented the radar looks given what the NAM and GFS showed yesterday, but the Euro once again had the right idea of the lift weakening as banding translated east.

With a cutter coming in early March and nothing brewing after that, what are the odds we don't reach the 69.5" Dobbs Ferry had last year here at 1200' in New Hampshire? 90%? Disgusting!

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  On 2/24/2012 at 12:56 PM, radarMan said:

quarter inch on the railings here but nothing on pavement. Got to be the 5th or 6th time that's happened this month, but not one sig updater.

Dusting here. We have had a bunch of those too. Only 2 were measurable

Oct 27 (3") > Dec and Feb

Congrats Ginxy and those other lucky bustards

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  On 2/24/2012 at 1:07 PM, litchfieldlibations said:

Have to love new england..........record high of 60 yesterday, 2 inches of snow today. Off to build a snowman..................

Lol congratulations joe.....from best spring ever 2 to 2 inches of paste....funny how it work out for u...

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  On 2/24/2012 at 1:20 PM, nzucker said:

Total bust in the Monadnocks, another insult in the winter 11-12, the winter of our discontent. Just a light coating on the ground, NWS has cut totals severely here, doesn't look like we'll see much of anything as the mid-levels jump above freezing before the coastal gets cranking. When the column cools, most of that CCB will probably be in Maine/Northern NH and not the Monadnocks. Unreal how fragmented the radar looks given what the NAM and GFS showed yesterday, but the Euro once again had the right idea of the lift weakening as banding translated east.

With a cutter coming in early March and nothing brewing after that, what are the odds we don't reach the 69.5" Dobbs Ferry had last year here at 1200' in New Hampshire? 90%? Disgusting!

I really feel for you man, you moved to one of the snowiest areas in SNE/CNE and it has been a complete and utter screw job.

The Monads are usually a lock for 70"+

I was up in Catamount SF in Colrain (1400') yesterday and the woods were almost completely bare.

Weird year.

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  On 2/24/2012 at 1:16 PM, CoastalWx said:

Well it doesn't mean the same will work out, up that way. I really haven't looked all that much for your area to be honest.

  On 2/24/2012 at 1:17 PM, dendrite said:

The big problem here is 800mb temps. Best case scenario here are those WRF NMM/ARW runs from 00z last night. We need this secondary cranking early. I won't hold my breath.

I think that is going to be the case here in the coastal plain, BL temps are going to be an issue early on unless we can get this thing to crank earlier

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