wisconsinwx Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Nothing points to him being even remotely near or inching towards the "snow bullseye zone" In general the storm trends this year have been south. That being said, I'm not feeling it with this storm in the southern half of Wisconsin; a cold rain and maybe some icing is what we're looking at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 0z GFS brings the low right over my house... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Nothing points to him being even remotely near or inching towards the "snow bullseye zone" The best snow track is literally 1 county north of me, and still 3 days away. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 27, 2012 Author Share Posted February 27, 2012 In general the storm trends this year have been south. That being said, I'm not feeling it with this storm in the southern half of Wisconsin; a cold rain and maybe some icing is what we're looking at. Looks like there could be quite a range across Milwaukee metro with more ice/snow north and more rain south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 The best snow track is literally 1 county north of me, and still 3 days away. lol lol, ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 I'm locking the GFS in tonite... I'll be lucky if I have to shovel... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 This is a N Wi special... Hayward to Wausau...areas north of the Twin Cities... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Looks like there could be quite a range across Milwaukee metro with more ice/snow north and more rain south. screaming southeast wind is not a recipe for much wintry precip in any part of mke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Turts= GFS torches MSN...45F ... shorts weather http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=KMSN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 The best snow track is literally 1 county north of me, and still 3 days away. lol I see just up 90/94 in Wisconsin Dells it is all frozen precip. Snow with some sleet. (and Baraboo) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Even MSP could have some mixing issues? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 27, 2012 Author Share Posted February 27, 2012 screaming southeast wind is not a recipe for much wintry precip in any part of mke. I'd say the best bet is just north of the city and inland as it stands right now, and probably more of an ice concern instead of snow. Lake temps are probably near their coolest but maybe just warm enough to have an influence. I think canuck said it earlier and I agree...if there is a shift it is more likely to be south in this setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 I honestly was thinking the same! With the GFS north, its the difference between hitting the 50s in the afternoon or staying in the 30s per NAM (and previous Euro's). Funny thing is even with the GFS solution, we still get a quick hitting ice storm in the morning before it torches. Ill take the NAM, snow/sleet with a glaze of ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnchaser Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 I'm locking the GFS in tonite... I'll be lucky if I have to shovel... We haven't had to shovel once this year! Looks to be the case with this one too a little mix with maybe a few inches of slush. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 I'd say the best bet is just north of the city and inland as it stands right now, and probably more of an ice concern instead of snow. Lake temps are probably near their coolest but maybe just warm enough to have an influence. I think canuck said it earlier and I agree...if there is a shift it is more likely to be south in this setup. Usually when the wind is off the lake during an icing event areas close to the lake escape significant icing. Areas like Waukesha County could be in for a period of freezing rain. I would expect only southward adjustment from here on out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Not much different around here. I think I've shoveled a total of 3 times. And one or 2 of those was probably unnecessary... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 I think what helped us last year with the Feb 20th event was the -NAO and the Strong H/P tot he north (PV)..Basically plenty of cold air stuck...warm air could not win.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Lol the 6z GFS says enjoy your slop MSP and the 6z NAM trended that way as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 HPC really hitting the freezing rain potential hard. I dont see it happening as temp look to be above freezing in the areas they have outlined. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Going to be interesting watch this unfold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Going to be interesting watch this unfold. Latest sref mean brings the 32 degrees line all the way north of the twin cities. Not much gonna happen around here I dont think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 12z NAM looks to continue its warmer trend as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Trend since 0z is warmer. Seems that by slowing down the system just a bit, it allows enough of a recovery for the downstream ridge, forcing everything more to the north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 If that is the case, with the newer models trending warmer...then I'm really not likely to see anything at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 If that is the case, with the newer models trending warmer...then I'm really not likely to see anything at all. If nothing else we get a half inch of rain out of this thing to help ease the drought going into spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpsycho Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 If nothing else we get a half inch of rain out of this thing to help ease the drought going into spring. This would be a very good thing. Hopefully there is 1" or more in MN/northern WI and northern MI. I would like to see this area have a pretty wet spring honestly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 the 12z GFS has come in even warmer for my region. I think the trend is deffinately towards plain rain in Toronto. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 If the GFS is right we could make a run at 40 Tuesday night. A glorified frost sucker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 Looks like it has the low even further north (just north of LSE)... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 27, 2012 Share Posted February 27, 2012 hour 48 and twister data has the Low almost due east of the twin cities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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