wxhstn74 Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 http://weatherhistorian.blogspot.com/2012/02/wintery-mixed-precipitation-to.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Staring to snow here! 34° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Started as snow here but quickly transitioned to rain. NAM has us at almost an inch or rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 3:24 PM EST TUESDAY 28 FEBRUARY 2012. --------------------------------------------------------------------- WATCHES/WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN ONTARIO... FREEZING RAIN WARNING FOR: =NEW= SARNIA - LAMBTON =NEW= ELGIN =NEW= LONDON - MIDDLESEX =NEW= SIMCOE - DELHI - NORFOLK =NEW= DUNNVILLE - CALEDONIA - HALDIMAND =NEW= OXFORD - BRANT =NEW= HURON - PERTH =NEW= WATERLOO - WELLINGTON. FREEZING RAIN EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== A COLORADO LOW WEST OF THE GREAT LAKES WILL SPREAD FREEZING RAIN AND SOME SNOW INTO THE REGIONS OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. SURFACE TEMPERATURES WELL BELOW FREEZING COMBINED WITH EASTERLY WINDS MAY GIVE FREEZING RAIN LASTING 4 TO 6 HOURS AS THE MAIN PRECIPITATION BAND MOVES FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH THE REGIONS EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. ICE ACCRETION ON SURFACES MAY CAUSE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS ON UNTREATED SURFACES AND TRAVELLERS ARE URGED TO USE CAUTION. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO END LATE IN THE MORNING WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO CLIMB ABOVE ZERO MIDDAY WITH RAIN SHOWERS OR DRIZZLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. REFER TO YOUR LOCAL PUBLIC FORECAST FOR FURTHER DETAILS. END/OSPC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Started as rain and continuing to rain. 33.4 °F on top of the met building. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magoos0728 Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Snow here in Kenosha. Fat, big flakes falling for the past 20 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 After looking at the most recent model trends, it looks like Toronto should actually see mostly wintry precip tommorow. I think a decent band of snow will develop and should give about 2-4'' then go over to ice pellets/freezing rain and then just drizzle by the afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevlon62 Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Some sleet falling here for the last ten minutes. 39 on the car temp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 After looking at the most recent model trends, it looks like Toronto should actually see mostly wintry precip tommorow. I think a decent band of snow will develop and should give about 2-4'' then go over to ice pellets/freezing rain and then just drizzle by the afternoon. My preliminary thoughts for the GTA, I see atleast 2" almost everywhere and even by the Lake though I expect no more near the Lake. Areas away from the Lake I think a range of about 2-4" is a good bet. and btw I got banned from accuwx forums Hahhaa, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 My preliminary thoughts for the GTA, I see atleast 2" almost everywhere and even by the Lake though I expect no more near the Lake. Areas away from the Lake I think a range of about 2-4" is a good bet. and btw I got banned from accuwx forums Hahhaa, lol. wow really for what? N o wonder I didn't see you post there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 wow really for what? N o wonder I didn't see you post there just random bs, their too strict. it doesnt matter to me....that forum sucks...no mets and plus every1 hates me cause "I'm a know it all". this forum is the best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Sleet obs at MSN at the beginning, literally saw nothing here but I probably just missed it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 This forecast is interesting from Saint Cloud, MN Tonight Breezy. Sleet possibly mixed with rain and snow in the evening...then snow possibly mixed with sleet after midnight. Areas of blowing and drifting snow through the night. Snow may be heavy at times. Snow and sleet accumulation of 1 to 10 inches. Lows around 30. East winds 15 to 25 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 My preliminary thoughts for the GTA, I see atleast 2" almost everywhere and even by the Lake though I expect no more near the Lake. Areas away from the Lake I think a range of about 2-4" is a good bet. and btw I got banned from accuwx forums Hahhaa, lol. What do you say that pissed off JD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 just random bs, their too strict. it doesnt matter to me....that forum sucks...no mets and plus every1 hates me cause "I'm a know it all". this forum is the best. Pretty soon there will be no one left posting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 What do you say that pissed off JD. i said, "Im so wasted" in a post and I was arguing a point that I was right about. He gave me 60% warning and today im banned lol. haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI 430 PM EST TUE FEB 28 2012 ...A WINTRY MIX OF SNOW, SLEET, AND FREEZING RAIN DEVELOPING LATE TONIGHT... .A STORM SYSTEM LIFTING OUT OF THE WESTERN PLAINS THIS EVENING WILL SPREAD A WINTRY MIX OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN LATE TONIGHT AND INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON WEDNESDAY. WARM AIR ALOFT AND COOL EASTERLY WINDS AT THE SURFACE WILL SUPPORT A TRANSITION FROM SNOW, TO SLEET, TO FREEZING RAIN, ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE 69 CORRIDOR DURING THE PRE-DAWN HOURS ON WEDNESDAY. ONLY MINOR SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED HERE BEFORE THE TRANSITION TO FREEZING RAIN OCCURS. ONCE FREEZING RAIN DEVELOPS, UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE ACCUMULATION CAN BE EXPECTED ON UNTREATED ROADS, SIDEWALKS, AND ELEVATED SURFACES SUCH AS BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. FURTHER NORTH, THE PRECIPITATION TYPE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN PREDOMINANTLY SNOW, WITH ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE BEFORE A TRANSITION TO FREEZING RAIN OR FREEZING DRIZZLE ON WEDNESDAY MORNING. ONLY A SMALL AMOUNT OF ICING CAN CREATE HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Getting a light sleet/snow mixture here.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 After looking at the most recent model trends, it looks like Toronto should actually see mostly wintry precip tommorow. I think a decent band of snow will develop and should give about 2-4'' then go over to ice pellets/freezing rain and then just drizzle by the afternoon. Can't argue with this. Could be the last snow of this so called winter. Enjoy it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Latest RUC showing 4-6" here, and that's with some fairly strong convection moving through the OV: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpsycho Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Pretty soon there will be no one left posting Here is a little fun one for you from the RR Model: http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/RR/displayMap.cgi?keys=rr:&runtime=2012022820&plot_type=acsnw_t7sfc&fcst=18&time_inc=60&num_times=19&model=rr&ptitle=RR%20Model%20Fields%20-%20Experimental&maxFcstLen=18&fcstStrLen=-1&domain=t7&adtfn=1&wjet=1 12-18" in NE Lapeer County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Latest RUC showing 4-6" here, and that's with some fairly strong convection moving through the OV: You buy it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Can't argue with this. Could be the last snow of this so called winter. Enjoy it. Ya the ensembles looked very warm for the second week of march Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Here is a little fun one for you from the RR Model: http://rapidrefresh....&adtfn=1&wjet=1 12-18" in NE Lapeer County. 25 Miles little more south and I'm in business Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 As of yesterday, Rhinelander had recorded 54.6" of snow this season. This morning/afternoon a report came out of 5" of snow reported just NW of the city. Add to that 12" or so expected with the brunt of the storm tonight into tomorrow, and Rhinelander will be well above their average (which remarkably is pretty close to Milwaukee and Madison's average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 After this one I'm going to pull my salter and return equipment back to the shop. No need to have it sitting on site where it can be messed with for no reason. EC is showing 5 snowflakes this weekend for the Windsor area..... First time this season!!! For this system rain, sleet and broken dreams. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 You buy it? Anything's possible but I wouldn't go forecasting amounts that high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Anything's possible but I wouldn't go forecasting amounts that high. Citynews and Global are both saying 2-5cm. Seems a little low but who knows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Citynews and Global are both saying 2-5cm. Seems a little low but who knows lol. I don't watch City too often but I tuned in today. They have two wx presenters in the same broadcast? That's a first for me. It's such a delicate forecast tomorrow. Things that could go wrong: -models too cold aloft...thus quicker change to pl/zr. -convection across the OV robs moisture transport, resulting in light qpf (rgem sort of indicates this) -dry air eats away at a good 1-2 hours worth of pcpn, resulting in lower amounts. If all three of those show up...2cm is probably a good bet. 2/3...5cm....1/3...7-10cm....0/3 maybe that RUC depiction looks good and 10-15cm falls. Very, very precarious situation tomorrow. I'm just spliiting the difference, going for 1.5/3 or about 5-7cm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 After this one I'm going to pull my salter and return equipment back to the shop. No need to have it sitting on site where it can be messed with for no reason. EC is showing 5 snowflakes this weekend for the Windsor area..... First time this season!!! For this system rain, sleet and broken dreams. What does 5 snowflakes graphic mean? lol. Id say this winter there were only 2 snows that NEEDED plowing, but of course local contractors did parking lots much more than that. But Id say the salters were needed the most for all those nuisance snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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