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February 24-25 Severe/Wind/General obs/discussion


Ellinwood

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC

946 AM EST FRI FEB 24 2012

ANZ530>543-DCZ001-MDZ006-007-011-013-014-016>018-VAZ052>057-

251000-

CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD-

CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT MD-

CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD-

CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD-

CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA-

TIDAL POTOMAC FROM KEY BRIDGE TO INDIAN HEAD MD-

TIDAL POTOMAC FROM INDIAN HEAD TO COBB ISLAND MD-

TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA-

PATAPSCO RIVER INCLUDING BALTIMORE HARBOR-

CHESTER RIVER TO QUEENSTOWN MD-EASTERN BAY-

CHOPTANK RIVER TO CAMBRIDGE MD AND THE LITTLE CHOPTANK RIVER-

PATUXENT RIVER TO BROOMES ISLAND MD-

TANGIER SOUND AND THE INLAND WATERS SURROUNDING BLOODSWORTH

ISLAND-DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-NORTHERN BALTIMORE-HARFORD-

SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-PRINCE GEORGES-ANNE ARUNDEL-CHARLES-ST. MARYS-

CALVERT-PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK-FAIRFAX-

ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-STAFFORD-SPOTSYLVANIA-

KING GEORGE-

946 AM EST FRI FEB 24 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE MARYLAND PORTION OF THE

CHESAPEAKE BAY...TIDAL POTOMAC RIVER...AND ADJACENT COUNTIES IN

CENTRAL MARYLAND AND NORTHERN VIRGINIA AS WELL AS THE DISTRICT OF

COLUMBIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. THUNDERSTORMS

WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...HAIL AND

POTENTIALLY ISOLATED TORNADOES. THE BEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE IN SOUTHERN MARYLAND AND THE NORTHERN NECK

OF VIRGINIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON.

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Did I miss something?

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC

1044 AM EST FRI FEB 24 2012

&&

.NEAR TERM /THIS AFTN/...

-- Changed Discussion --

WARM FNT S OF CHO HAVG DIFFICULTY PUSHING N ACROSS THE CWA. THIS

IS KEEPING MRNG TEMPS BLO XPCTD VALUES. BUT BLV AS THE CD FNT

DRAWS CLOSER THE WARM FNT WL BE FORCED N AND TEMPS SHOULD STILL

CLIMB INTO THE U60S/L70S E OF THE MTNS.

2/24 AND AREA IS CONTEMPLATING SVR WX INSTEAD OF WINTER WX. TSTM

WTCH CURRENTLY IN EFFECT. 12Z NAM BUFKIT PROFILES SHOW FNT

REACHING MRB ARND 3 PM...NHK AT 6 PM. THIS IS LN W/ ERLR MDL

TIMING. NHK HAS ARND 1000 J/KG DURG THE LATE AFTN HRS. OVERALL

HODOGRAPH IS STRAIGHT LN/UNDIRECTIONAL FLOW...BUT HODOGRAPH DOES

SHOW SOME TURNING IN THE LOWEST LVLS - THE MOST IMPORTANT PART.

SREF SVR PARAMETERS SHOW THE BEST SVR THREAT IS E OF I-95 AFTR 4

PM...SUSPECT THAT LWR SRN MD HAS THE BEST CHC OF ANY IN THE CWA.

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Svr usually busts in DC in April let alone late Feb. NC is the place to be for rain wrapped tornadoes moving 100 mph.

This is one of your best posts in a long time.
:lmao:

It looks like DC is about to clear out, low level inversion is already starting to break up the clouds; all is not lost sir Ian.
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I just want a thunderstorm. Doesn't need to be severe. It's been a crappy run of boring weather. Even tonights winds event has me interested. Sheesh. I do need a new hobby.

Should prob still get some thunder up there. Could get some damaging wind with storms. Going to need to push out cold air ASAP for more. I'm about an hour away from stepping out into 70 degree dews.. Not sure I'm ready.

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Should prob still get some thunder up there. Could get some damaging wind with storms. Going to need to push out cold air ASAP for more. I'm about an hour away from stepping out into 70 degree dews.. Not sure I'm ready.

You will enjoy it no matter what

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