yoda Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 LWX going mid 70s in their zones tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 On 2/23/2012 at 9:04 PM, yoda said: LWX going mid 70s in their zones tomorrow Oooo. The Yoda machine is starting up! Not sure if good or bad sign for svr around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 On 2/23/2012 at 9:05 PM, Kmlwx said: Oooo. The Yoda machine is starting up! Not sure if good or bad sign for svr around here. Copy and paste at your service Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 Taking the Earl Barker soundings for 18z tomorrow, pretty good ML Lapse Rates around 6.5 C/KM and SRH in the 1km level around 180. LIs are okay -3ish. 0 to 6 km shear 80 to 90 kts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 On 2/23/2012 at 9:12 PM, yoda said: Taking the Earl Barker soundings for 18z tomorrow, pretty good ML Lapse Rates around 6.5 C/KM and SRH in the 1km level around 180. LIs are okay -3ish. 0 to 6 km shear 80 to 90 kts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 Dear lord, a 106kt gust in PA lol, well obviously this is exaggerated, but still extremely impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted February 23, 2012 Author Share Posted February 23, 2012 Hodographs for tomorrow are friggen awesome on the 18z NAM... doubt it'll be that good when the time actually arrives tomorrow, but it's nice to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 On 2/23/2012 at 9:26 PM, Ellinwood said: Hodographs for tomorrow are friggen awesome on the 18z NAM... doubt it'll be that good when the time actually arrives tomorrow, but it's nice to see. I saw your tweet. Do they also look good up near DC in addition to SEVA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 On 2/23/2012 at 9:25 PM, ddweatherman said: Dear lord, a 106kt gust in PA lol, well obviously this is exaggerated, but still extremely impressive. How is that even calculated? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 On 2/23/2012 at 9:28 PM, Kmlwx said: How is that even calculated? Idk, of course its off its rocker, but still ridiculous nonetheless and proves some significant winds are possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted February 23, 2012 Author Share Posted February 23, 2012 On 2/23/2012 at 9:27 PM, Kmlwx said: I saw your tweet. Do they also look good up near DC in addition to SEVA? They aren't as intense in the DC region because the low-level jet will be to our south, but they're still alright. I'd definitely be more concerned with the post-frontal winds up this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 On 2/23/2012 at 9:26 PM, Ellinwood said: Hodographs for tomorrow are friggen awesome on the 18z NAM... doubt it'll be that good when the time actually arrives tomorrow, but it's nice to see. They were okay up here... EHI's were between 1-2 at DCA and IAD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 my god what a disconcerting thread title...maybe add plague of locusts too? wind maybe, but seems too soon for severe and fire Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted February 23, 2012 Author Share Posted February 23, 2012 On 2/23/2012 at 9:47 PM, needbiggerboat said: my god what a disconcerting thread title...maybe add plague of locusts too? wind maybe, but seems too soon for severe and fire lol Severe's a possibility to the south no doubt. Last year's big brush fire event was on Feb. 19th... I think temps were in the 50s behind the front, with dewpoints in the low tens/single digits! EDIT: Found the sounding from IAD that morning... Had the mix layer labeled to show that gusts up to 65 knots were possible that day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 On 2/23/2012 at 9:47 PM, needbiggerboat said: my god what a disconcerting thread title...maybe add plague of locusts too? wind maybe, but seems too soon for severe and fire Fires can happen anytime it is dry and windy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 On 2/23/2012 at 9:51 PM, Kmlwx said: Fires can happen anytime it is dry and windy. im pretty sure this and after leaf drop are our "fire seasons" if we have them. once it greens up not as much a concern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 On 2/23/2012 at 7:45 PM, mapgirl said: Hopefully it won't be too bad! On 2/23/2012 at 9:51 PM, Kmlwx said: Fires can happen anytime it is dry and windy. Our 911 center has already had a busy day with field / mulch fires. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 On 2/23/2012 at 9:56 PM, Ian said: im pretty sure this and after leaf drop are our "fire seasons" if we have them. once it greens up not as much a concern Definitely. But dead brush can still cause issues come summertime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
That Hurricane Guy Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 The severe threat is trending slightly better. Better chances obviously south and east of DC. Not good enough to get excited about but interesting enough to keep an eye on tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 I sort of have a fire weather fetish. Shame i dont have a car. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
That Hurricane Guy Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 I have a wind fetish. Seems like our fetishes go hand in hand in a way... Perhaps we could ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 Starting to hear thunder in the distance as some storms approach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 Some nice low topped convective showers moving trough SE of DC... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 On 2/24/2012 at 4:30 AM, wxmeddler said: Some nice low topped convective showers moving trough SE of DC... Is this activity from the warm-front or something else? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 Wind gusts won't be much slower even if we don't get Tstorms. Temps spike to 74f on the Nam tomorrow. It's almost like a Colorado Chinook event. W boulder gusted to 104mph this year with no precip. I was in Pitt Hurricane Ike and we gusted to 75 with partly cloudy skies. So I'm not worried about tstorms tomorrow, they will not increase the windspeed much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southmdwatcher Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 KLWX level 2 radar feed for dual pol radar is up now on GR products Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 On 2/24/2012 at 4:37 AM, Riptide said: Is this activity from the warm-front or something else? Yep, from the warm front, those showers are tapping the moist air coming out of NC. Speed shear above and a vort lobe to the NW is also helping the cells get going despite the lousy temp profile in the surrounding environment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 Getting some good downpours here right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 BEHOLD!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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