atownwxwatcher Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 850 line straddling across the ABE region with the freezing line at the surface looking north of ABE.. This looks like it may start off as snow/sleet in ABE but quickly change to rain and it would not surprise me to see this change to rain all the way to NE PA ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 The 0Z runs definitely looked a bit better for the initial start to be snow/sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Euro is pretty similar in terms of snow/no snow line (near I-78 in general) although the 850's at the front end are a bit colder. Definitely thinking we could see a period of sleet on the front end from this in the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Yep it appears that ABE is becoming more wet then white... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Yep it appears that ABE is becoming more wet then white... wouldn't surprise me if the hills around the valley got an inch or two of snow initially while the valley wasn't getting much of anything to stick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dssbss Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 So, it sounds like the Hamburg area should be on the south tip of the frozen in regard to Berks county? Should we expect frozen down into Reading or further before a changeover? I notice the lows tonight are set for only around 31....not too impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 So, it sounds like the Hamburg area should be on the south tip of the frozen in regard to Berks county? Should we expect frozen down into Reading or further before a changeover? I notice the lows tonight are set for only around 31....not too impressive. front end burst of sleet/snow to cold rain. I think you might get a coating or a half inch unless you're on the mountain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Still a shot at some snow/sleet at the front end at TTN, I think. Accumulation should be minimal however (i.e. less than an inch and quite possibly just a trace). This thing comes in so fast its a bit tough to tell just how fast things warm up, but there's enough dry air in place at 12Z tomorrow such that it could wetbulb down enough to allow some snow/sleet to reach the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dssbss Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 What's the latest? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 What's the latest? Euro 2" isohyet into the Poconos, GFS still just south of the PA/NY border. Still seems like all rain at PHL even in the colder Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dssbss Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Well...that doesn't sound to exciting...when are we looking for this to start? Looks like more of the same for this winter...the last two were awesome though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Well...that doesn't sound to exciting...when are we looking for this to start? Looks like more of the same for this winter...the last two were awesome though. Tomorrow late morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Adam, Enjoy. I don't think there can be any more shades of red. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feb Posted February 28, 2012 Share Posted February 28, 2012 Adam, Enjoy. I don't think there can be any more shades of red. I picture Adam sitting at his desk, feet propped up on it with a nice adult beverage in one hand, a nice Cuban cigar in the other. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wederwarrior Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 I picture Adam sitting at his desk, feet propped up on it with a nice adult beverage in one hand, a nice Cuban cigar in the other. With the A/C cranking? What do those values mean? Is that into the 80's? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 With the A/C cranking? What do those values mean? Is that into the 80's? Probability of above normal.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wederwarrior Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Probability of above normal.. Thanks. wasn't sure. As far as the leap day storm.....As Bobby Weir has said "looks like " Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Adam, Enjoy. I don't think there can be any more shades of red. what about the following week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 what about the following week Why would it be any different? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 My apologies for posting the NAEFS map in this thread, thought I was in the medium range thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar Posted February 29, 2012 Author Share Posted February 29, 2012 My apologies for posting the NAEFS map in this thread, thought I was in the medium range thread. Yes, whats the difference anyway with this winter. Hell, I expect you may want to the tropical forecast maps, heat advisory maps and ocean water temperature maps as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 GFS bumps rain totals to 1.5" with a second batch coming in after the initial shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eastonwx Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Anyone interested in starting an obs thread for this event? You know, an occasional ice pellet ping, a slushy coating on grassy surfaces, or a wet snow flake mixed in here or there? Oh, and we can't forget the 2-3" on a grill in the Poconos! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Anyone interested in starting an obs thread for this event? You know, an occasional ice pellet ping, a slushy coating on grassy surfaces, or a wet snow flake mixed in here or there? Oh, and we can't forget the 2-3" on a grill in the Poconos! Hooked you up! Good luck up that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eastonwx Posted February 29, 2012 Share Posted February 29, 2012 Hooked you up! Good luck up that way. Thanks. Not expecting much, but you know with this winter, anything frozen is newsworthy... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar Posted February 29, 2012 Author Share Posted February 29, 2012 Bar is closed. Last call for Sun/Mon possible storm otherwise Dave and Busters will entertain those who have ruled this winter over and are waiting for the first Philllies game. Special drink-- for last call - Damn-The-Weather Cocktail Scale ingredients to servings 1 tbsp sweet vermouth 1 oz gin 1 tbsp orange juice 1 tsp triple sec Read more: Damn-The-Weather Cocktail recipehttp://www.drinksmix...l#ixzz1noefhQZo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 Ok here is the verification based on whoever that was that was calling for a hecs. Below is the 12z euro run from that day and the final verification. First of all the general idea and placement of the low for a 192hr prog was pretty gosh darn good. While the final destination was farther north, it wasn't by much. But where it erred was once again overphasing or too rapidly intensifying a solution which was common this winter beyond 3 or 4 days. While the placement of the low wasn't too bad, other features that affected the ptype were not. This was with many of the models. The euro clown maps snowfall trended snowier for our area peaking with the 12z run on Sunday, then became progressively warmer. The model was too strong with its Quebec high. Finally (this occurs with meteorologists too), there remains way too much acceptance of model qpf with events. While the models are good at capturing the ideas, they are still off as to where and it gets worse anytime convection gets involved. The 12z runs on Wednesday brought what would have been about 1/4 to 1/2 inch of additional ice to Mike2010 that night. In reality, the convection cut off the northward advance of the precipitation and an even within 24hr model qpf was not that good. You can see the low on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 VT ski areas received epic snows, insane powder skiing pic's in new england ski thread. Wish I was there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SP Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 VT ski areas received epic snows, insane powder skiing pic's in new england ski thread. Wish I was there Heading to NH in two weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceman56 Posted March 2, 2012 Share Posted March 2, 2012 Heading to NH in two weeks. Ditto for me April - Bretton Woods condo - snowshoeing and hopefully snowmobiling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.