am19psu Posted February 23, 2012 Share Posted February 23, 2012 Let's not head in that direction. You can see what earth did in NYC thread with all the beatings and he is not a red mod tagger like our Ray . Hi. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 Hi. Hi adam, we know you and that ribs dude are here Hope your enjoying the torch . Back to topic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SP Posted February 24, 2012 Share Posted February 24, 2012 I agree with you for the big city I95 zone. As for the Poconos....... Last week we had two bonus events. The first was on Thursday, where the snow held on for the entire day. Then on Sat, sn showers blasted the area for a quick 2-3" coating. Now I am not predicting a blizzard. As a former baseball player.....its fair to say their are ducks on the pond, though it might not be a frozen pond, for the 1500'+ crowd in PA. Exactly why I bought my cabin The dreaded snow thrower curse hold service for coastal monmouth. For the last three years I kept it running using Macgyver like solutions and it dueled the best its ever seen, not once giving up. During the fall I had a pro tune her up rock solid. She is ready for battle, greater than ever experienced. I have to remember to give her a start. 4 months standing at attention is a long time for anything, or anyone....with out a stretch. I might see 60 today.....perfect conditions for a stretch. ok then....nice bonus snow last night....still have a shot for another bonus blast tomorrow..... I'll take "small ball" snow events this year.....why not? pitchers and catchers reported this week....position players to follow.....base hits all day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feb Posted February 25, 2012 Share Posted February 25, 2012 Hopefully Philly gets the storm. They've had a rough 10 years. What does this even mean? I haven't seen anyone from our region in the NE forum posting. Why bring up Philly? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 25, 2012 Share Posted February 25, 2012 What does this even mean? I haven't seen anyone from our region in the NE forum posting. Why bring up Philly? I'm not sure why you brought that in here... that being said, I don't think anyone can say Philly had a rough 10 years considering that their average increased with the latest normals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted February 25, 2012 Share Posted February 25, 2012 I'm not sure why you brought that in here... that being said, I don't think anyone can say Philly had a rough 10 years considering that their average increased with the latest normals. I could think of 1967-8 through 1976-7 as being a rough nine year stretch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feb Posted February 25, 2012 Share Posted February 25, 2012 I'm not sure why you brought that in here... that being said, I don't think anyone can say Philly had a rough 10 years considering that their average increased with the latest normals. Because it involved this "storm" threat. A threat none of us in this forum have ever taken seriously unless you like rain and 48 degrees. I also think Scott was being sarcastic since the winters haven't been that bad around here lately, well until this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 25, 2012 Share Posted February 25, 2012 Now that I think about it, Coastal may have been referring to March specifically, and in that case, he's right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted February 25, 2012 Share Posted February 25, 2012 Now that I think about it, Coastal may have been referring to March specifically, and in that case, he's right. Lately what we've gained in December, we have lost in March. At anyrate, taken the latest GFS as is, Mike2010 is the only one that would stand a chance at some snow if it was a perfect prog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 Pretty strong surface high progged by all of the models in southeast Canada, northern part of Mt. Holly CWA looks like its in for a potpourri of ptypes (with Mike2010 or Wantage as the snow winners). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 TTN *might* scrape out a coating of snow at the beginning and then again at the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eastonwx Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 Pretty strong surface high progged by all of the models in southeast Canada, northern part of Mt. Holly CWA looks like its in for a potpourri of ptypes (with Mike2010 or Wantage) as the snow winners. any early thoughts on the Lehigh Valley's chances for more frozen than wet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 any early thoughts on the Lehigh Valley's chances for more frozen than wet? Can I answer this later today? (I'm back at work this afternoon) In itself its sort of an answer if you think about it. Thank-you for the information you send to us. We don't get too many reports from Northampton County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 In the main section, Phil882 has a fantastic explanation of this upcoming system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar Posted February 26, 2012 Author Share Posted February 26, 2012 Good, the bar will continue serving drinks till 2 with phl882 explanation. Rain shadow, with this setup- a lot of cold air damming in place? Prolong ice storm in the LV? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eastonwx Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 Can I answer this later today? (I'm back at work this afternoon) In itself its sort of an answer if you think about it. Thank-you for the information you send to us. We don't get too many reports from Northampton County. Absolutely, and you are welcome. I am surprised that more people up this way aren't more active with either Cocorahs or being Skywarn spotters. Perhaps we need to hold a recruiting seminar! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 Absolutely, and you are welcome. I am surprised that more people up this way aren't more active with either Cocorahs or being Skywarn spotters. Perhaps we need to hold a recruiting seminar! We only have one CoCoRahs observer in Monroe County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chrisNJ Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 Absolutely, and you are welcome. I am surprised that more people up this way aren't more active with either Cocorahs or being Skywarn spotters. Perhaps we need to hold a recruiting seminar! I'd be willing to participate if led in the right direction. I am curious how the commute will be to NW NJ early Wednesday AM. Looks messy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 I'd be willing to participate if led in the right direction. I am curious how the commute will be to NW NJ early Wednesday AM. Looks messy! Chris, This is the link: http://www.cocorahs.org/ Yeah, looks messy. Saving commuting grace maybe if (big if) it comes in slower and doesn't start until later that morning. By the way if any of you look at web site ptype soundings, the Bourgoiun method is showing erroneous results at some of our northern sites. The op nam and gfs both have a slug of warm air forecast at or above 850mb, its going to be tough to be snow (vs sleet or something else) anywhere in our cwa from early wed afternoon onward. (Not looking at the back end, we don't have nam soundings yet). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eastonwx Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 I'd be willing to participate if led in the right direction. I am curious how the commute will be to NW NJ early Wednesday AM. Looks messy! With cocorahs, you need to purchase a 4" rain gauge, and then report your amounts daily on their site. Pretty easy! Skywarn requires going to the training (about 2 hours each for the basic and advanced class), and then just reporting significant events. Both are on a volunteer basis, and your level of involvement is based on what you are willing to contribute. As for Wednesday AM, we haven't had many commuting concerns this winter. We'll see how people handle it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 With cocorahs, you need to purchase a 4" rain gauge, and then report your amounts daily on their site. Pretty easy! So easy my parents can do it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 Euro is still the coldest of all the globals. It brings the precip in a little later than the GFS/GGEM, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 Euro is still the coldest of all the globals. It brings the precip in a little later than the GFS/GGEM, though. Can't see the Euro, so does it bring any snow to our area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 Can't see the Euro, so does it bring any snow to our area? no, mainly confines any ptype other than rain from lehigh valley north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 Can't see the Euro, so does it bring any snow to our area? Looks like it, probably some ice too. Unlike near the coast, at ABE surface temps stay at freezing from Wednesday afternoon through Thursday morning. Haven't seen the soundings yet to check if there's a sneaky warm layer somewhere. Edit: Forgot Matt was in Collegeville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 Euro has been trending 'colder' (not necessarily "southward" as JB put it) compared to everyone else. Here's the wunder clown map for Wednesday...if the Euro is right it could snow into Chesco/Montco for a time. http://wxug.us/kqrf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 maybe im crazy, but i am sort of interested in this again, the euro isnt that far from giving a lot of us some snow, and for once it is trending better not worse. still somewhat of a longshot, i know, but this winter everything has been. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 Euro has been trending 'colder' (not necessarily "southward" as JB put it) compared to everyone else. Here's the wunder clown map for Wednesday...if the Euro is right it could snow into Chesco/Montco for a time. http://wxug.us/kqrf I like how it conveniently misses TTN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainshadow Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 Absolutely, and you are welcome. I am surprised that more people up this way aren't more active with either Cocorahs or being Skywarn spotters. Perhaps we need to hold a recruiting seminar! I'd put the Lehigh Valley at 50/50 mixture as long as you are asking your question as "frozen" vs pure snow. Some AWIPs Euro problems this afternoon, so can't see their soundings. The other two get a sleet look to them eventually plus boundary layer issues once precipitation lessens. Yeah Euro is the coldest of the models, but it did pretty good with the confluence event south of us last weekend. At anyrate all of the models are showing a good frontogenetic burst along the leading edge, right now a consensus average is north of the Lehigh Valley, but its three days away so some n/s wiggle room has to be factored into it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 26, 2012 Share Posted February 26, 2012 Looks like it, probably some ice too. Unlike near the coast, at ABE surface temps stay at freezing from Wednesday afternoon through Thursday morning. Haven't seen the soundings yet to check if there's a sneaky warm layer somewhere. Edit: Forgot Matt was in Collegeville. Since no one is talking about it in the Central PA thread, what does it look like for my area, 30 miles NW and about 500 ft higher? More freezing/frozen, or similar to the LV? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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