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Feb 22nd-24th Severe Thread


andyhb

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It's possible they might have been on the way to investigate the broadcast media's reports in Augusta, which might be part of the reason such a quick response in that area.

It's possible that an employee lived nearby too, as those kinds of quick surveys are fairly common. Especially if they are anticipating the need for multiple surveys in the CWA. Getting one done the day of the event really saves time for the next day.

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The idea with some tv news stations seems to be to present the facts as quickly as possible with a generalized image of a tornado that relates to the general idea if not the specific tornado until accurate actual photos/video can be obtained. I do think it is lazy journalism.

Considering the high base of that picture and relative lack of precip, I had a few red flags hoisted right away.

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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL

307 PM EST FRI FEB 24 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

NORTHERN WAYNE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA

EXTREME NORTHERN PIERCE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA

SOUTHERN APPLING COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA

BACON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA

* UNTIL 345 PM EST

* AT 307 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE

TRACKING A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR

ALMA...MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO

SURRENCY...ODUM...JESUP AND DOCTORTOWN.

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I cant believe a news channel with an actual meteorologist would fall for that today. The ceiling is way too low and the tornado in North was rain wrapped.

WIS 10 showed the picture. Those guys are all idiots. Havent had a real meteorologist since brooks garner.

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Squall line forming in western NC headed east I would think once it gets going we are gonna see ALOT of wind damage reports.

Keep an eye on that dp man, down to 59 at the airport, RDU a little higher with 61, but Smithfield down to 54. Don't know the effect yet from this prefrontal stuff, although in terms of surface based cape it can't be good. How many times have we seen these late and early season events lack a spark. 0-1km helicity may be phenomenal, absent of a ignition source we don't see full or even half the potential realized. This "pre" got cranking with Svr just to out east and south, Onslow, Beaufort, Jones. Our best chance is another 2hrs away, keep tabs on the dp, much below 60 and we are going to be hard pressed, interested to see the hit RAH takes cause that will likely translate east to at least 95, probably here too. RAH is primed, Brick heads up!

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Looks like Charleston has gone ahead and issued a large Severe T-Storm Warning in advance of a line of storms rapidly developing that are currently in FFC's CWA:

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC

333 PM EST FRI FEB 24 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...

BULLOCH COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...

CANDLER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...

NORTHWESTERN EFFINGHAM COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...

NORTHERN EVANS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...

JENKINS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...

SCREVEN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...

NORTHWESTERN TATTNALL COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...

ALLENDALE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...

WESTERN HAMPTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...

EXTREME NORTHWESTERN JASPER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 430 PM EST

* AT 332 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES

NORTHEAST OF HERNDON TO 21 MILES SOUTHWEST OF HERNDON TO 29 MILES

WEST OF ALINE TO 38 MILES WEST OF ALINE TO 56 MILES WEST OF

COBBTOWN...MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

PREPARE NOW FOR THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS...

DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...

HAIL UP TO QUARTER SIZE...

* SOME LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...

HERNDON...PERKINS...MILLEN...EMMALANE...MARTIN...MILLETT...

HILLTONIA...

post-2167-0-51426600-1330116020.jpg

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You've got a train of supercells setting up over SE GA right now. This could get interesting.

Southern edge of the first one is running over me right now... some good heavy rain and lots of lightning, but nothing crazy yet. I think the second cell is going to skirt by me to the south.

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Keep an eye on that dp man, down to 59 at the airport, RDU a little higher with 61, but Smithfield down to 54. Don't know the effect yet from this prefrontal stuff, although in terms of surface based cape it can't be good. How many times have we seen these late and early season events lack a spark. 0-1km helicity may be phenomenal, absent of a ignition source we don't see full or even half the potential realized. This "pre" got cranking with Svr just to out east and south, Onslow, Beaufort, Jones. Our best chance is another 2hrs away, keep tabs on the dp, much below 60 and we are going to be hard pressed, interested to see the hit RAH takes cause that will likely translate east to at least 95, probably here too. RAH is primed, Brick heads up!

Back edge of the deck showing signs of breaking up SE of Charlotte back towards Fayetteville, hopefully this will help fuel the line some, the squall line is really forming up well you guys west of RAH should get smacked pretty good..

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A strong cell just went overhead. Very heavy rain, wind, but surprisingly no lightning. It's one of the strongest cells in NC. As it went by it weakened and now on radar it's strung out a bit. The line does not look as impressive in NC. It'll probably be much different in SC and GA, no doubt.

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mcd0158.gif

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0158 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0224 PM CST FRI FEB 24 2012 AREAS AFFECTED...WRN VA...WRN NC...NWRN SC CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 36... VALID 242024Z - 242130Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 36 CONTINUES. CONVECTION APPEARS TO BE INCREASING ALONG THE ADVANCING COLD FRONT AS IT APPROACHES THE ERN EDGE OF WW36. GIVEN THE SPEED/MOVEMENT OF THIS ACTIVITY IT SHOULD QUICKLY SPREAD INTO WRN PORTIONS OF WW38 OVER THE NEXT HOUR. HOWEVER...SRN PORTION OF THE STRONGER LINE SEGMENTS MAY LINGER ACROSS THE NC COUNTIES OF WW36 BEYOND 21Z. FOR THIS REASON A LOCAL EXTENSION IN TIME MAY BE REQUIRED TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS THREAT.

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mcd0158.gifMESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0158 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0224 PM CST FRI FEB 24 2012 AREAS AFFECTED...WRN VA...WRN NC...NWRN SC CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 36... VALID 242024Z - 242130Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 36 CONTINUES. CONVECTION APPEARS TO BE INCREASING ALONG THE ADVANCING COLD FRONT AS IT APPROACHES THE ERN EDGE OF WW36. GIVEN THE SPEED/MOVEMENT OF THIS ACTIVITY IT SHOULD QUICKLY SPREAD INTO WRN PORTIONS OF WW38 OVER THE NEXT HOUR. HOWEVER...SRN PORTION OF THE STRONGER LINE SEGMENTS MAY LINGER ACROSS THE NC COUNTIES OF WW36 BEYOND 21Z. FOR THIS REASON A LOCAL EXTENSION IN TIME MAY BE REQUIRED TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS THREAT.

Sounds like the bad stuff has even really started yet.

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